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Alright, Saturday leans and Discussion. Come in and have a cold one

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Posted: #1
First locked in for the Weekend after tonights 2nd half win with Cincinatti.


Mississippi State +7.5

leaning many more...
 
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Posted: #2
Texas Tech +3


 
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Posted: #3
LSU has a bad offense, but I just can't stand this Miss State offense.  And LSU has the speed on defense to keep up with the option they run.  I can see LSU winning 17-6...I feel more comfortable playing the under.
 
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I can guarantee you MSU puts up more pts than that. I wish that was a TT bet, I would be rich. I know what you mean though, the offense won't stay like that with a Mullen coached offense. Look at last year how they matched up well against LSU, its safe to say MSU has improved and LSU has not from last year and MSU was one yard away from a win. I know comparing years isn't logical but Ive watched the teams that Mullens offenses succeed against and I like this spot.
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

Texas Tech +3


Only question , is the Longhorns offense as bad as it's played or has Mack Brown " held back"  targeting this game. We all know what's happened in the past to ruin Longhorns NCG aspirations???  Don't know why he wouldn't play it close to the vest, seeing the teams that he's played so far.  Probably a no play for me, but think if I did bet it, I'd buy a 1/2 pt and take the Horns.  Just my opinion.   BOL
 
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Posted: #6

disagree on both picks.

2 teams up against them are bout twice as talented.

 
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As for Texas Tech, even though its Tubervilles first year in Lubbock. Not only do they always match up well with Texas, but anyone that knows Tommy T from the SEC knows firsthand he is one of the best game day coaches there is against teams better than his. Ive been there to see his unranked teams dethrone my Gators SU as 24 pt or more dogs more than once. His record against Top 5 teams and top 10 is absolutely second to none in this business. 
 
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I already locked in Miss St +7.5 on Monday.

LSu would not have moved sh*t IF NC had their real defense in it. Miss St shot themselves in the foot vs. Auburn. I think this game is a lt closer than people expect. Yes, I hate its at night in Death Valley, but its not the 1st game for Misst St there
 
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Quote Originally Posted by bracks:

I already locked in Miss St +7.5 on Monday.

LSu would not have moved sh*t IF NC had their real defense in it. Miss St shot themselves in the foot vs. Auburn. I think this game is a lt closer than people expect. Yes, I hate its at night in Death Valley, but its not the 1st game for Misst St there

I know, if this line were around 13.5 to get even action, I'd been a little more weary. I know MSU can win this game and be in it to the end
 
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Posted: #10
Florida (-13.5) 


On paper, the Tennessee run defense looks fairly average. The Volunteers clearly have some questions against the run, having given up more than 150 yards per game on the ground. Still, Florida's offense has not run the ball as well as it has in the past few years, ranking just 50th in rushing offense after two weeks. One of the main concerns for the Volunteers on the defensive line is their size. Only one starter - defensive tackle Montori Hughes - weighs more than 265 pounds. The other three starters average 255 pounds. The average starting defensive line checks in at 6 foot 3.75, 267 pounds. That's a far cry from a normal SEC defensive line. Particularly given Tennessee's lack of depth across the board, the lack of size could be problematic for the Volunteers. In any event, Tennessee hasn't been extremely successful stopping the run so far this year. In large part, that can be attributed to size up front.

Oregon offensive line, the Volunteers really struggled. Last week against Oregon, they gave up 245 yards rushing on 44 carries. Oregon's average starting offensive line checked in at 6 foot 5.5, 296 pounds..The Gators have no player under 300 pounds in the projected starting lineup for Saturday. The shortest starter is listed at 6 foot 3. The average height and weight for the projected starting offensive line is an impressive 6 foot 4.5, 321 pounds.
 
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Posted: #11
Ive never seen a Gator team be more disrespected in my life like this, its actually very odd.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

Ive never seen a Gator team be more disrespected in my life like this, its actually very odd.

I think UFs offense is just as explosive as Oregons. And I give the nod at QB to Florida, defense to Florida, and coaching to Florida. Can definately see a repeat of this past Saturday when Oregon walloped Tennessee 48-13. Florida wins by three scores easy.

 
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Its the play calling, and sadly it won't change unless UF starts losing games they shouldn't due to an Oline coach calling the plays. This week though might be one of those weeks where running the football will be a positive to control the game throughout and keep the defense unbalanced and then start hitting the PA passes and so on just like what happened in the 2nd half last week leading a 38-7 outscore of USF in the last 2 quarters.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by jwheels86:

I can guarantee you MSU puts up more pts than that. I wish that was a TT bet, I would be rich. I know what you mean though, the offense won't stay like that with a Mullen coached offense. Look at last year how they matched up well against LSU, its safe to say MSU has improved and LSU has not from last year and MSU was one yard away from a win. I know comparing years isn't logical but Ive watched the teams that Mullens offenses succeed against and I like this spot.
Is this guarantee going to be better than the jets win guarantee?
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by VegasMaxx:

Is this guarantee going to be better than the jets win guarantee?


That was no guarantee, I was just trying to get a game thread going to be honest. Also in the end I pushed on that 2nd half pk bet with them losing by 1.

do you not think MSU will score a TD against LSU?
 
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I just think something clicked in the 2H last week. I have 3 close friends on UFs coaching and training staff and I know for a fact that UFs play calling has been very vanilla for a reason, it was Miami (OH) and USF. We rarely threw it downfield (one of Brantleys strengths) ran very few drag routes (a traditional Meyer play), and very little misdirection(another Meyer staple). Brantley has also been giving the ball on every single option, I think this was by design. Look for him to pitch it more and even keep it himself (he has faster straight line speed than Tebow). Also look for Burton to get Tebows short yardage and goal line carries. The offensive line has been getting better and lets remember this Gator team has more 5 star players on it than any in the country. Its games likes this, on the road, at Tennessee in a tough SEC environment that brings out the best in these types of players. The defense is amazing, and the offense will open it up more than you have seen and light up the scoreboard.
 
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Posted: #17
Oh, I completely agree. We will start running those drags to guys like Hines and get him in space and just run over guys because he is a monster and another thing we have been leaving out is the jet sweep completely. That is where I expect us to start getting Debose involved and just spread the defense out everywhere. I expect more overall this weekend and I will be there so hopefully Im celebrating by the 3rd quarter. Brantley will show everyone what he has very soon, the kid is legit.
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by CoachE:

I think UFs offense is just as explosive as Oregons. And I give the nod at QB to Florida, defense to Florida, and coaching to Florida. Can definately see a repeat of this past Saturday when Oregon walloped Tennessee 48-13. Florida wins by three scores easy.





Fla offense doesn't come close Oregon's.  They've played two inferior opponents at home and struggled offensively.  Totaling 212 yds against Miami Ohio is a joke...Oregon would rack up 500+ yards against that team at home. 
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by CalBear:





Fla offense doesn't come close Oregon's.  They've played two inferior opponents at home and struggled offensively.  Totaling 212 yds against Miami Ohio is a joke...Oregon would rack up 500+ yards against that team at home. 


The two teams they played aren't near as bad of football teams as you think. Either way the defense absolutely dominated both games and will all year, just imagine when the offense gets going how the scores can look against teams.
 
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Posted: #20

Tennessee may be too scared to show up for this game after last week.  Too many young kids.  Florida explodes this weekend.

Jwheels...I'm staying away from all 3 point lines this week.

Nebraska/Wash  TTech/Tex  Cal/Nev

All simple coin flips imo

 
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Posted: #21
Yea, the only one I like is TT. Thats a trap for Texas money in every single sense of the word "Trap"
 
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Posted: #22
Liking this 3 team ML parlay:

FSU
UF
USC

There is a chance one could lose, but the value Is good enough to throw at it anyway instead of laying the pts with FSU and USC. At worst they will both win and UF should win.
 
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Posted: #23
Notre Dame (+4)
 
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Posted: #24
Miss St ML 



 
 
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Posted: #25
Clemson (+7.5)
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