I got absolutely owned in the NBA last night going 0-3 and losing 10 units on some bull shit from Sactown and Houston.. Both just fell apart late in the game after playing and covering pretty much the entire game... Have had a good bowl season and am glad there is no NBA to bet on tonight as I would probably lose them right now..
Well the underdogs have been covering machines early in the season and I do not see that changing right now... SMU is going to a bowl game for the 1st time in a long time and they are fired up about it.. Mean while Nevada is coming in as a huge favorite and on a vacation this week in the sunshine state... June Jones lived in Hawaii and knows how to handle players down there while Nevada obviously does not.... Nevada is missing a bunch of key players and now 2 have been suspended for the game but stealing, which tells me they are not focused on the task at hand..... This Nevada team does not care about this game, the QB is leaving after this year to play baseball and the rest are just in it for a party... SMU will be determained to get their program back on track with a nice win here....
SMU +13 (8 Units)
SMU ML (1.1 Units to win 3.5 Units)
BOL and Merry Christmas Eve
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
NCAA- 66-56-2 + 57 Units
NFL-57-46-1 on Season, +38 Units
MLB Playoffs - 11-5 +9 Units
NBA- 15-11 +3 Unit
NCAA B-ball 0-1 -1.5 Units
NCAAF Bowl Season 3-1 +5 Units
I got absolutely owned in the NBA last night going 0-3 and losing 10 units on some bull shit from Sactown and Houston.. Both just fell apart late in the game after playing and covering pretty much the entire game... Have had a good bowl season and am glad there is no NBA to bet on tonight as I would probably lose them right now..
Well the underdogs have been covering machines early in the season and I do not see that changing right now... SMU is going to a bowl game for the 1st time in a long time and they are fired up about it.. Mean while Nevada is coming in as a huge favorite and on a vacation this week in the sunshine state... June Jones lived in Hawaii and knows how to handle players down there while Nevada obviously does not.... Nevada is missing a bunch of key players and now 2 have been suspended for the game but stealing, which tells me they are not focused on the task at hand..... This Nevada team does not care about this game, the QB is leaving after this year to play baseball and the rest are just in it for a party... SMU will be determained to get their program back on track with a nice win here....
I like SMU also. I think June Jones will have his team better prepared for the distractions, since he coached there for years. Plus the fact that it looks like Nevada will be without two of their top guns on offense and are not very good against the pass defensively. Not sure if SMU wins, but the 13 points look good.
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I like SMU also. I think June Jones will have his team better prepared for the distractions, since he coached there for years. Plus the fact that it looks like Nevada will be without two of their top guns on offense and are not very good against the pass defensively. Not sure if SMU wins, but the 13 points look good.
there's no way the nevada team as a whole is going to be focused and ready for this game with all the distractions. i'm taking the 12.5 points big time and grabbed the under at 72. it's dropped to 70.5 and 11 points at my book. BOL gents!
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there's no way the nevada team as a whole is going to be focused and ready for this game with all the distractions. i'm taking the 12.5 points big time and grabbed the under at 72. it's dropped to 70.5 and 11 points at my book. BOL gents!
At 8 pm, my selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Nevada. This game is similar to our New Mexico Bowl selection on Wyoming over Fresno State last Saturday, as the teams statistical profiles fit a system in which the underdog has covered 23 of 24 Bowl games when priced from +4.5 to +13 points. Like Fresno State, in that New Mexico Bowl, the Nevada Wolfpack is a great running team, and leads the nation with a 362.3 yards per game average. QB Colin Kaepernick is the key to the Wolfpack's "pistol formation" offense, and he ran for a career-high 1160 yards and nine TDs this season. Overall, Nevada averaged a staggering 7.6 yards per rush, and 159 passing yards per game (to go with those 362 rushing yards), and was the first team ever to boast three players with 1000+ yards on the ground. In comparison, SMU averaged 113 yards per game, 3.8 yards per rush, and 267 passing yards per game. But, as I mentioned, matchups with these statistics greatly favor the underdog in Bowl games, when priced from +4.5 to +13 points (23-1 ATS). And SMU's pass offense should have a field day against a Nevada pass defense that ranked 119 of 120 Division 1 Football programs (allowing 284 yards per game). Overall, Nevada gave up over 27 ppg, and almost 400 yards of offense per game. Besides having, for me, a big statistical edge, SMU also should great emotion in playing in this game. Unlike most teams, who play in bowl games more often than not each season, SMU has not been to the post-season since 1984, when its program went into a steep decline following an NCAA-mandated "Death Penalty" for recruiting violations. Indeed, before hiring June Jones, the Mustangs had gone 58-153-3 under their previous four coaches, and last had a winning record in 1997 (6-5). Look for SMU to cover the spread. Take the points. Good luck, as always...
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BOWL WINNER; NEVADA/SMU -- Thursday
At 8 pm, my selection is on the SMU Mustangs + the points over Nevada. This game is similar to our New Mexico Bowl selection on Wyoming over Fresno State last Saturday, as the teams statistical profiles fit a system in which the underdog has covered 23 of 24 Bowl games when priced from +4.5 to +13 points. Like Fresno State, in that New Mexico Bowl, the Nevada Wolfpack is a great running team, and leads the nation with a 362.3 yards per game average. QB Colin Kaepernick is the key to the Wolfpack's "pistol formation" offense, and he ran for a career-high 1160 yards and nine TDs this season. Overall, Nevada averaged a staggering 7.6 yards per rush, and 159 passing yards per game (to go with those 362 rushing yards), and was the first team ever to boast three players with 1000+ yards on the ground. In comparison, SMU averaged 113 yards per game, 3.8 yards per rush, and 267 passing yards per game. But, as I mentioned, matchups with these statistics greatly favor the underdog in Bowl games, when priced from +4.5 to +13 points (23-1 ATS). And SMU's pass offense should have a field day against a Nevada pass defense that ranked 119 of 120 Division 1 Football programs (allowing 284 yards per game). Overall, Nevada gave up over 27 ppg, and almost 400 yards of offense per game. Besides having, for me, a big statistical edge, SMU also should great emotion in playing in this game. Unlike most teams, who play in bowl games more often than not each season, SMU has not been to the post-season since 1984, when its program went into a steep decline following an NCAA-mandated "Death Penalty" for recruiting violations. Indeed, before hiring June Jones, the Mustangs had gone 58-153-3 under their previous four coaches, and last had a winning record in 1997 (6-5). Look for SMU to cover the spread. Take the points. Good luck, as always...
Jimmy! Been looking for you bowl picks.... weird-ass line movement on this one..... my local now has the line nevada -10.5..... was going to be a no play for me, but I couldn't resist and took the game nevada -10 (buying hook)....... let the dice roll on this one!
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Quote Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:
I like SMU as well. I got'em at +15.
Jimmy! Been looking for you bowl picks.... weird-ass line movement on this one..... my local now has the line nevada -10.5..... was going to be a no play for me, but I couldn't resist and took the game nevada -10 (buying hook)....... let the dice roll on this one!
Take Nevada -11 and Over 72. Attentions to anyone play ML on SMU, you till have enought time to recall your bet. Final score 48 Nevada - 24 SMU. you do the math, who you want to do. GL to all.
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Take Nevada -11 and Over 72. Attentions to anyone play ML on SMU, you till have enought time to recall your bet. Final score 48 Nevada - 24 SMU. you do the math, who you want to do. GL to all.
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Merry Christmas and happy New Year bro. BOL 
A lot of people siding with the dog here....Hopefully Vegas gives us an early Christmas present..
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