DumbAzz Trend of the week

Road dogs getting 10.5 - 11 pts in a game are 8-2 ATS on the season. This would play to Ball State's favor in tonights game.

That one wasn't so dumb since Ball State won and the trend is now 9-2 ATS on the season... 

So, let me try to give you a couple of dumb ones for tonight's game...

Home dogs getting between 18.5 - 22 pts are 5-1 and reverses on home dogs getting between 14 - 23.5 pts are 6-3 on the year (A&M opened at +22 and has moved to +21 while betting is hovering around the mid-60s in Texas' favor). These dumbazz trends suggest it will be an Aggies cover.

OK... so I guess that one wasn't so dumb either with A&M getting the cover and taking those stats to home dogs getting between 18.5 - 22 pts are now 6-1 and reverses on home dogs getting between 14 - 23.5 pts are 7-3 on the year.

So...  back to the 1st dumbazz stat... Road dogs getting 10.5 - 11 pts in a game are 9-2 on the year... this would apply to Notre Dame and New Mexico State for today's play.

As an FYI... none of games today fall into the 2nd set of dumbass stats

OK... so here's one more that will seem a little weird because the line you will find probably doesn't fit into the dumbazz trend I am mentioning.

Road Favs giving between -16 & -18 are 15-3-1 on the year. According to the consistent source for the data used to generate these dumbazz trends, this will apply to Virginia Tech as they were listed at -16 when the data was pulled on Friday morning (which is also consistent throughout the year).  However, the line today is hovering between -15 & -15.5 depending upon your book.

I have only tracked these trends for college, so I don't know.  But, I doubt that there would be enough games that fall into these small categories to generate any meaningful stats.

Also... just to be upfront about everything... I am actually on Stanford -10 over ND even though the DumbAzz trend says 9-2 in favor on ND. 

Trends should only be used as part of your evaluation of a game, not something you blindly follow and I have never seen a game where some trends don't conflict with each other.

VT covers making this DumbAzz trend 16-3-1 on the year

New Mexico State's cover makes this stat 10-2 with Notre Dame probably covering as well

Notre Dame's cover makes this DumbAzz trend 11-2 for the year