not at all. Im saying the people on covers are no different than the public %. The ratio of covers members on a game to the ratio of public players on a game are probably very similar. So if i see a majority of covers members on TCU tonight i think the proper % of plays should actually be heavier on TCU while we are being told that the large % of the public is on BYU.
The bigger factor is that we dont actually get to look into the books figures and see what people are betting on. The only thing we get to depend on are these sites and what they tell us. I just think these sites dont always have it correct. The site i most often use to look at public play % is vegasinsider. Sometimes also these are numbers from early plays and i think are not always updated. I will admit i may be completely off on this analysis but it makes sense to me.
Just ask yourself this. Why does a line move 4.5 points in two or less days if the larger % of the public is on BYU? I dont think books would keep moving the points in the opposite direction that much. Besides the books make money off the juice we pay and are very happy to take that money to build there casino's, pay there employees and do what ever they do with that money.
not at all. Im saying the people on covers are no different than the public %. The ratio of covers members on a game to the ratio of public players on a game are probably very similar. So if i see a majority of covers members on TCU tonight i think the proper % of plays should actually be heavier on TCU while we are being told that the large % of the public is on BYU.
The bigger factor is that we dont actually get to look into the books figures and see what people are betting on. The only thing we get to depend on are these sites and what they tell us. I just think these sites dont always have it correct. The site i most often use to look at public play % is vegasinsider. Sometimes also these are numbers from early plays and i think are not always updated. I will admit i may be completely off on this analysis but it makes sense to me.
Just ask yourself this. Why does a line move 4.5 points in two or less days if the larger % of the public is on BYU? I dont think books would keep moving the points in the opposite direction that much. Besides the books make money off the juice we pay and are very happy to take that money to build there casino's, pay there employees and do what ever they do with that money.
no byu is a public play, a cappers play is when the line is not going the opposite direction. the majority might be on byu but if the right sharps start laying money on tcu, vegas will quickly adjust the line. this is why they open the lines to the sharps before releasing the public.
no byu is a public play, a cappers play is when the line is not going the opposite direction. the majority might be on byu but if the right sharps start laying money on tcu, vegas will quickly adjust the line. this is why they open the lines to the sharps before releasing the public.
Exactly but about 70% of the public was on the Giants and the line NEVER budged.The cappers on here are a small sample size and know more than the normal public.
Exactly but about 70% of the public was on the Giants and the line NEVER budged.The cappers on here are a small sample size and know more than the normal public.
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