Oklahoma St 42, Houston 21
Okie St rolls again, Houston won't be as good as in year's past without Briles. Too many points for a play.
Iowa St. 28, Kent St. 14
If line drops below 7 will play on ISU...I think they sneak up on some people this year, Kent st was miserable offensively against BC. Arnaud should be able to handle their D.
Wake 28, Ole Miss 24
Should be a good game. Ole miss has more talent, but I'm big against Houston Nutt. Had two of the best running backs in the country last year and hasn't really done much with them. Still, Wake's D, which should be very good this year, looked vulnerable with a moving qb from Baylor. Snead should get his, but Wake still wins. No play.
Cal 40, Wazzu 17
Don't know why Cal is laying 7 more than Okie St here...still think they cover, Riley played well against Mich St. Still really don't like laying this many on the road. May play but probably not.
W. Mich 21, NIU 17
Both coming off losses though NIU had a close one. NIU should be undervalued this year but I don't like them against a similarly undervalued Broncos team.
USF 33, UCF 14
USF is overrated in my opinion, but UCF will still get credit for last year's success. Two overrated teams, I like USF, but will not play.
Uconn 24, Temple 10
Uconn had a scare with the owls last year, which I don't think will be repeated. Still I didn't expect temple to dominate army last week and I'm not that high on Uconn this year. No play.
Kansas 31, La Tech 14
Watched most of the La Tech/Miss St. game, La Tech was no fluke beating MSU at their game. Would consider playing them here had they lost a close one and caught 5 or 6 more. 20 though is too easily surmounted by a couple big d/ spec teams plays. Will consider but probably no.
Memphis 42, Rice 35
Should be a barn-burner, lots of points, no d. If drops under a fg will probably play memphis, as I still don't love rice right here. Smu donated them the game last week. Still, Memphis is unpredicatable, turning it on late after a miserable start to the season last year, and then getting blown out in bowl game.
Utah 45, UNLV 14
Utah should demolish the Rebs but will lay off in case they have hangover from Mich win. This one might grow on me as the week goes on, if lines don't move like I want them too, but hate too play in this situation even with awful utah st on deck.
Arizona 45, Toledo 17
Don't know much about Toledo...Zona's defense is their knock but they did shut out a bad Idaho team. Will wait on this game to see if they're for real.
Stanford 31, Az St. 28
Az st returns a lot and is expected to compete this year but I see them struggling, maybe 8-4, 7-5. Still, may not play this because I'm not sure if Stanford can take advantage of that weakness and could easily get blown out if they're just happy to have beaten OSU.
Texas 60, UTEP 21
Texas blows them out here but more points than I want to lay. Pass.
ADDED GAMES:
Iowa 31, FIU 7
Blowout, boring. No comment.
Arkansas 27, ULM 17
A better game here...Ark struggled last week, and ULM struggled with mistakes, so prob a no play. Arkansas's going to have a long year, but I don't think last year's Bama-beaters are the ones to start it off. If looking for a big ML hit, this might be a possibility.
Tulsa 56 (-21)NO Tex 20 1 unit
Locked in at -21 though this line will climb. Tulsa's at least as good as KSU in my opinion, and so long as they bring a half-assed effort this should be an easy cover.
FAU 31, UAB 18
This game should be close throughout with FAU pulling away at the end. No play.
Maryland 31, MTSU 10
Maryland should roll here, would be excited about this play if the Terps acted like they actually wanted to score. Will consider it for later against a weak depleted Blue Raiders squad.
LSU 41, Troy 21
This line is probably low because of Troy's recent success, but I'm worried about LSU concentrating against a lower opponent not named Appalachian with gustav kicking around no play.
As of now:
Plays:
A&M -3
Tulsa -21
Ga Tech +7.5
Considering:
Navy, Ore St, Cuse, Tex tech, Iowa st, Cal, Memphis, Utah, Stanford, Maryland