TX +170 1.25 Units BAL +121 1.5 Units SF +153 1 Units TB +153 1.25 Units METS +167 1 Units CIN +134 1.25 Units MIN +103 1.25 Units FLA +145 1 Unit
Large Card Today, Not very many strong plays but a bunch of average ones. Expecting a ok day nothing to great... hopefully keep the winning streak alive...
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SYSTEM PLAYS
TX +170 1.25 Units BAL +121 1.5 Units SF +153 1 Units TB +153 1.25 Units METS +167 1 Units CIN +134 1.25 Units MIN +103 1.25 Units FLA +145 1 Unit
Large Card Today, Not very many strong plays but a bunch of average ones. Expecting a ok day nothing to great... hopefully keep the winning streak alive...
Basically i have a set way of capping games based on your general statistics of capping games... no different than most, but i take % of each statistic according to my belief of value of the statistic, for instance like for the starting pitchers i look at the past 3 games as one of the stats.. and that is valued at a certain percentage of a team winning the game, so that is a small variable in a very large set of them... and when compiled with the other starting pitcher stats that i include it gives me a percentage of each team getting a win vs the opponent... that percentage is a one part of about 15 parts that go into it, but the starting pitcher portion is worth a higher percentage than most of the other 14...
so if you can follow that kinda, (sorry its tough to really explain all of it)... each of the 15 parts has smaller parts that create a whole... when i get all the part down it comes up with a rating for the team to win..
i then compare the final ratings to the lines and pending on the value i can get for each team will determine if the game is a bet..
generally the system plays dogs, with seldom favorites because the value isn't good enough according to the system... and the units that i play on games is based on the discrepancy of the rating and the line...
I hope this is helps
if you have any further questions just ask... i will be happy to answer, and lets keep taking it to the bookies!!!
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Basically i have a set way of capping games based on your general statistics of capping games... no different than most, but i take % of each statistic according to my belief of value of the statistic, for instance like for the starting pitchers i look at the past 3 games as one of the stats.. and that is valued at a certain percentage of a team winning the game, so that is a small variable in a very large set of them... and when compiled with the other starting pitcher stats that i include it gives me a percentage of each team getting a win vs the opponent... that percentage is a one part of about 15 parts that go into it, but the starting pitcher portion is worth a higher percentage than most of the other 14...
so if you can follow that kinda, (sorry its tough to really explain all of it)... each of the 15 parts has smaller parts that create a whole... when i get all the part down it comes up with a rating for the team to win..
i then compare the final ratings to the lines and pending on the value i can get for each team will determine if the game is a bet..
generally the system plays dogs, with seldom favorites because the value isn't good enough according to the system... and the units that i play on games is based on the discrepancy of the rating and the line...
I hope this is helps
if you have any further questions just ask... i will be happy to answer, and lets keep taking it to the bookies!!!
BOL...seems like you your system is really working, Congrats! The baseball season has been going pretty well for me as well, but I am excited to watch your system progress.
If you are interested you should check out my thread in the NFL forum. I have just cracked a system that has picked 86% over the past 7 years.
Keep up the good work!
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BOL...seems like you your system is really working, Congrats! The baseball season has been going pretty well for me as well, but I am excited to watch your system progress.
If you are interested you should check out my thread in the NFL forum. I have just cracked a system that has picked 86% over the past 7 years.
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