If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.
MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI
MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI
MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units
6.15.2013, 2-1, +9.4 Units, +62.7 ROI
YTD – 135-141-26, +53.94 Units, +3.29% ROI
5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Today’s comment: I won’t go 2-1 for a third day in a row because I only have one pick today. Sometimes we have to factor in the getaway-day approach and realize that is just one more influence, as well as the fact sometimes critical players get a day game off after a night game. Let’s hope it is 1-0.
Astros F5, +115(Santiago / Keuchel)
If the White Sox bats are capable of abandoning the job for Sale and Danks they are certainly capable of failing for Santiago as well. I said yesterday I thought the Astros had a pretty good shot at a sweep here and I don’t see any reason to change my mind. Keuchel will be only lefty going for Houston in this series and although the Sox bats are weak versus righty, they are even slightly less effective versus lefty. The Astros have now gone 4-0-1 versus the last 5 lefties they have seen and over their last 15 have seen a better schedule of lefties than the Sox. On any given day about 35% of bettors are willing to back the Astros but 45% are willing to back the Sox (another thing I track), and that is why the Sox have to be established as the favorite, in spite of the fact they are not the higher probability team. Bookmakers are businessmen, not gamblers, and they have to offer the public what they want in spite of the true probability. That is MY job.
BOL
All Sundays are Church and Family for me but today the kids and grandkids will make it especially nice for me. May not be back. A tip of the Fedora to all the responsible fathers out there. The others we don't need to discuss.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.
MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI
MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI
MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units
6.15.2013, 2-1, +9.4 Units, +62.7 ROI
YTD – 135-141-26, +53.94 Units, +3.29% ROI
5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays
All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted
Today’s comment: I won’t go 2-1 for a third day in a row because I only have one pick today. Sometimes we have to factor in the getaway-day approach and realize that is just one more influence, as well as the fact sometimes critical players get a day game off after a night game. Let’s hope it is 1-0.
Astros F5, +115(Santiago / Keuchel)
If the White Sox bats are capable of abandoning the job for Sale and Danks they are certainly capable of failing for Santiago as well. I said yesterday I thought the Astros had a pretty good shot at a sweep here and I don’t see any reason to change my mind. Keuchel will be only lefty going for Houston in this series and although the Sox bats are weak versus righty, they are even slightly less effective versus lefty. The Astros have now gone 4-0-1 versus the last 5 lefties they have seen and over their last 15 have seen a better schedule of lefties than the Sox. On any given day about 35% of bettors are willing to back the Astros but 45% are willing to back the Sox (another thing I track), and that is why the Sox have to be established as the favorite, in spite of the fact they are not the higher probability team. Bookmakers are businessmen, not gamblers, and they have to offer the public what they want in spite of the true probability. That is MY job.
BOL
All Sundays are Church and Family for me but today the kids and grandkids will make it especially nice for me. May not be back. A tip of the Fedora to all the responsible fathers out there. The others we don't need to discuss.
Really like the 'Stros today, how is the WS favored 3 games in a row on the road when they have such a bad record away from home (T-3rd worst in the league) is crazy.
The betting public EXPECTED to hate the Marlins and Astros and their wishes have come true, so they are always willing to fade those teams beyond the true probability. Teams that were expected to be terrible and got off to that kind of start always present good value later in the year. The amazing thing to me is that bettors never catch on. When teams like the Marlins and Astros have a little success, they go right on fading.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
Quote Originally Posted by EffTheBooks:
Really like the 'Stros today, how is the WS favored 3 games in a row on the road when they have such a bad record away from home (T-3rd worst in the league) is crazy.
The betting public EXPECTED to hate the Marlins and Astros and their wishes have come true, so they are always willing to fade those teams beyond the true probability. Teams that were expected to be terrible and got off to that kind of start always present good value later in the year. The amazing thing to me is that bettors never catch on. When teams like the Marlins and Astros have a little success, they go right on fading.
Really like the 'Stros today, how is the WS favored 3 games in a row on the road when they have such a bad record away from home (T-3rd worst in the league) is crazy.
exactly why I pounded the $hit out of em yesterday
0
Quote Originally Posted by EffTheBooks:
Really like the 'Stros today, how is the WS favored 3 games in a row on the road when they have such a bad record away from home (T-3rd worst in the league) is crazy.
exactly why I pounded the $hit out of em yesterday
3 teams I didn't think I would play much this year,Houston,Miami,Minn.,how can you pass up all those great odds at home,Minn.was a nice home dog last,easy win. Happy Fathers day to all of us.
0
3 teams I didn't think I would play much this year,Houston,Miami,Minn.,how can you pass up all those great odds at home,Minn.was a nice home dog last,easy win. Happy Fathers day to all of us.
Many thanks for your great insights and the cogent manner in which you present the vital determining factors and statistics. Your syntax is a breath of fresh air here on Covers and your dogged resolve to give us all the best advantage of taking the Bookmakers out behind the woodshed is much appreciated. At least by me it is.
Enjoy the kids and grandkids, today especially.
0
HAPPY FATHERS DAY KEY!!!
Many thanks for your great insights and the cogent manner in which you present the vital determining factors and statistics. Your syntax is a breath of fresh air here on Covers and your dogged resolve to give us all the best advantage of taking the Bookmakers out behind the woodshed is much appreciated. At least by me it is.
Many thanks for your great insights and the cogent manner in which you present the vital determining factors and statistics. Your syntax is a breath of fresh air here on Covers and your dogged resolve to give us all the best advantage of taking the Bookmakers out behind the woodshed is much appreciated. At least by me it is.
Enjoy the kids and grandkids, today especially.
I appreciate that but you better cool it. You make me sound like an intellectual. That can be considered offensive at Covers.
BOL Gents, I think the family is arriving.
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
0
Quote Originally Posted by capuchaboy:
HAPPY FATHERS DAY KEY!!!
Many thanks for your great insights and the cogent manner in which you present the vital determining factors and statistics. Your syntax is a breath of fresh air here on Covers and your dogged resolve to give us all the best advantage of taking the Bookmakers out behind the woodshed is much appreciated. At least by me it is.
Enjoy the kids and grandkids, today especially.
I appreciate that but you better cool it. You make me sound like an intellectual. That can be considered offensive at Covers.
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.
Hot Forum Topics
