Blown Saves: 6 Extra Innings: 5-0-1 Record on the open: 10-8 Winners because of the Open: 0 Losers because of the Open: 0 Pushes because of the Open: 0 Full-game vs. 1st half losers: 1 Poor juice decisions: 2
Notes: -Zito
was awful as I sorta expected based on the line, but Liriano wasn't
much better yet breezed to a win. Hopefully the bad 'pen was used
because of what you'll see below -Hughes not good either, he just
can't get past the 2nd strike on hitters and then he walks guys leading
to short outings putting the bullpen out there to cover too many outs.
He also gave up a 2-run shot in one of the hardest parks to do it at,
just can't seem to get away from the longball. -Tough to see Chris
Archer make one mistake and get an L, but he also threw a lot of pitches
(likely because that's the Boston strategy and it's been that way for
years). Bailey still not solid even picking up the save tonight as he
should have walked the first two men if not for a gift 3-0 strike before
Jennings got too aggressive 3-1 and popped out. Rays pen starting to
perform better, which is essential
Guesses: NYM +110/6.5o20 CHC +105 COL -110/11 PIT +110/7.5o15 OAK -105/7.5o15 BAL -125/10 TB -120/8o20 TEX -230/9o20 MIN +125/7.5u15
leans: COL o10.5 BOS o9.5
locked in from the open: San Francisco ML (-105) @ Pittsburgh Philadelphia-Minnesota UNDER 7.5 (-110)
0
Blown Saves: 6 Extra Innings: 5-0-1 Record on the open: 10-8 Winners because of the Open: 0 Losers because of the Open: 0 Pushes because of the Open: 0 Full-game vs. 1st half losers: 1 Poor juice decisions: 2
Notes: -Zito
was awful as I sorta expected based on the line, but Liriano wasn't
much better yet breezed to a win. Hopefully the bad 'pen was used
because of what you'll see below -Hughes not good either, he just
can't get past the 2nd strike on hitters and then he walks guys leading
to short outings putting the bullpen out there to cover too many outs.
He also gave up a 2-run shot in one of the hardest parks to do it at,
just can't seem to get away from the longball. -Tough to see Chris
Archer make one mistake and get an L, but he also threw a lot of pitches
(likely because that's the Boston strategy and it's been that way for
years). Bailey still not solid even picking up the save tonight as he
should have walked the first two men if not for a gift 3-0 strike before
Jennings got too aggressive 3-1 and popped out. Rays pen starting to
perform better, which is essential
Guesses: NYM +110/6.5o20 CHC +105 COL -110/11 PIT +110/7.5o15 OAK -105/7.5o15 BAL -125/10 TB -120/8o20 TEX -230/9o20 MIN +125/7.5u15
leans: COL o10.5 BOS o9.5
locked in from the open: San Francisco ML (-105) @ Pittsburgh Philadelphia-Minnesota UNDER 7.5 (-110)
Should read 42-32-3 (56.8%) above, unit totals are correct
COL over reasoning:
-Weather is really warm in Denver and I know they are worried about the fires down in Colorado Springs, hopefully they can get it all under control. The game being played features Ross Detwiler who is just coming off the disabled list and I don't think he has built up enough to go deep in the game. That means we get a decent amount of the struggling Nats bullpen, and that's before considering the other hurler. Jeff Francis is horrible and the Rockies bullpen is missing Betancourt to lock games down at the back end possibly leading to a blown save from whoever's replacing him. The umpire is James Hoye, who has under results on his résumé despite no huge strike percentage. I don't think he can overcome the amount of bullpen combined with the hot weather and the ball jumping off bats to keep this game under 11 runs.
Sf reasoning:
-The lineup is weak, but Matt Cain can't even be close to Charlie Morton even when he's having the worst season of his life. Morton can't get lefties out and while the Giants have a bunch of sluggers out due to injury, they have plenty of lefties to throw at him. I think Cain gets back on track trying to avoid the sweep in Pittsburgh and I like that Clint Hurdle used Grilli last night so they could see him.
Min under reasoning:
-Cliff Lee could throw a shutout and I like Kevin Correia. He is a decent starter and if he throws his normal 6ip 3r quality start I think we will see a third straight under in the series. Cliff could certainly bail this total out if he throws a gem, but I don't think that's a requirement today. Bruce Dreckman behind the plate will help the pitchers and I'm not convinced the Phillies can hit without Chase Utley's bat in the lineup. Revere has been better, but Chase makes them go and Ryan Howard is too much of a HR-or-nothing guy for me to be afraid.
0
Should read 42-32-3 (56.8%) above, unit totals are correct
COL over reasoning:
-Weather is really warm in Denver and I know they are worried about the fires down in Colorado Springs, hopefully they can get it all under control. The game being played features Ross Detwiler who is just coming off the disabled list and I don't think he has built up enough to go deep in the game. That means we get a decent amount of the struggling Nats bullpen, and that's before considering the other hurler. Jeff Francis is horrible and the Rockies bullpen is missing Betancourt to lock games down at the back end possibly leading to a blown save from whoever's replacing him. The umpire is James Hoye, who has under results on his résumé despite no huge strike percentage. I don't think he can overcome the amount of bullpen combined with the hot weather and the ball jumping off bats to keep this game under 11 runs.
Sf reasoning:
-The lineup is weak, but Matt Cain can't even be close to Charlie Morton even when he's having the worst season of his life. Morton can't get lefties out and while the Giants have a bunch of sluggers out due to injury, they have plenty of lefties to throw at him. I think Cain gets back on track trying to avoid the sweep in Pittsburgh and I like that Clint Hurdle used Grilli last night so they could see him.
Min under reasoning:
-Cliff Lee could throw a shutout and I like Kevin Correia. He is a decent starter and if he throws his normal 6ip 3r quality start I think we will see a third straight under in the series. Cliff could certainly bail this total out if he throws a gem, but I don't think that's a requirement today. Bruce Dreckman behind the plate will help the pitchers and I'm not convinced the Phillies can hit without Chase Utley's bat in the lineup. Revere has been better, but Chase makes them go and Ryan Howard is too much of a HR-or-nothing guy for me to be afraid.
Morton hasn't pitched in a long time so any past stats of his can be thrown out the door. he is a ground ball pitcher so Sf won't be scoring a lot against him tonight. I see a low scoring Pitt win for the sweep. Cain will pitch good tonight, but not good enough for a win.
0
Morton hasn't pitched in a long time so any past stats of his can be thrown out the door. he is a ground ball pitcher so Sf won't be scoring a lot against him tonight. I see a low scoring Pitt win for the sweep. Cain will pitch good tonight, but not good enough for a win.
Morton hasn't pitched in a long time so any past stats of his can be thrown out the door. he is a ground ball pitcher so Sf won't be scoring a lot against him tonight. I see a low scoring Pitt win for the sweep. Cain will pitch good tonight, but not good enough for a win.
He has thrown only 19 innings in four starts at AAA, which isn't good. I'm also not sure how you can ignore a 58-point difference in BA and 79 in OBP facing one side versus the other besides being blinded by the successful Pittsburgh franchise's rings in your avatar. If Cain pitches well I'm not sure how y'all win, but good luck with the sweep as I'd like to see the Buccos in the playoffs
Docter, lar-- time for the bounceback
0
Quote Originally Posted by theguru1:
Morton hasn't pitched in a long time so any past stats of his can be thrown out the door. he is a ground ball pitcher so Sf won't be scoring a lot against him tonight. I see a low scoring Pitt win for the sweep. Cain will pitch good tonight, but not good enough for a win.
He has thrown only 19 innings in four starts at AAA, which isn't good. I'm also not sure how you can ignore a 58-point difference in BA and 79 in OBP facing one side versus the other besides being blinded by the successful Pittsburgh franchise's rings in your avatar. If Cain pitches well I'm not sure how y'all win, but good luck with the sweep as I'd like to see the Buccos in the playoffs
By FIP these are the #2 and #4 ranked bullpens in baseball. And By wOBA the Nationals are dead last in the league, behind the marlins... well behind the marlins, in hitting lefties. Not so sure Im feeling it there GWarn
0
By FIP these are the #2 and #4 ranked bullpens in baseball. And By wOBA the Nationals are dead last in the league, behind the marlins... well behind the marlins, in hitting lefties. Not so sure Im feeling it there GWarn
By FIP these are the #2 and #4 ranked bullpens in baseball. And By wOBA the Nationals are dead last in the league, behind the marlins... well behind the marlins, in hitting lefties. Not so sure Im feeling it there GWarn
No closer is a huge hole for Colorado's, meanwhile the Nats's pen was really banged up earlier in the year. But I'm more talking about how we will likely see a bunch of theirs due to limitations on Detwiler.
I definitely prefer the Nats vs RHP, but Francis isn't scary to me despite the possibility of going out there and throwing a gem to kill this under
0
Quote Originally Posted by MetSox:
By FIP these are the #2 and #4 ranked bullpens in baseball. And By wOBA the Nationals are dead last in the league, behind the marlins... well behind the marlins, in hitting lefties. Not so sure Im feeling it there GWarn
No closer is a huge hole for Colorado's, meanwhile the Nats's pen was really banged up earlier in the year. But I'm more talking about how we will likely see a bunch of theirs due to limitations on Detwiler.
I definitely prefer the Nats vs RHP, but Francis isn't scary to me despite the possibility of going out there and throwing a gem to kill this under
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