Went 1-2 yesterday losing 1.26 units.
2013 YTD Bases posted on Covers: 26-16, +9.06 units
Here's what I like today ...
Houston 100-120 Kansas City
KC slumping and shouldn't be a road fave against anyone right now, even the lowly Stros. Furthermore, they are faves with Davis is gives up way too many walks and hits (WHIP is 1.89). Stros sends Norris to the mound who with the exception of two starts has pitched pretty well. He also pitches much better at home where he's held all his opponents this year to 2 ERs or less. Think there's some value here with the home dog even if it's the Stros.
Miami 105-100 Philadelphia
Can't believe I'm playing the Marlins and Stros in the same day ... Ugh. But I like the matchup today. Miami sending Fernandez today who has been pretty good except for a couple of road starts. He has a season WHIP of 1.16 and ERA of 3.48. He is much better at home keeping his opponents to 2 ERs or less. He also has faced Philly twice this year where he has been stellar against blanking them on both starts. Furthermore he's held them to 2 and 4 walks/hits respectively in each start. Hard to score when you get a couple of hits/walks per game.
LA Dodgers 125-100 Milwaukee
Liking Greinke here and fading a slumping Brewers. Greinke has been solid in his 3 starts this year keeping his opponents to 2 ERs or less with a WHIP of 0.78. Towards the end of last year, he held his last 7 of 8 opponents to 2 ERs or less and it looks like it's spilling over to this year. He's facing his old team from last year so he's no stranger to pitcher-friendly Miller park where he sports a 15-0 record with a 2.89 record. Brewers struggling winning only 2 of their last 10. Burgos gives up hits and walks as indicated in his season WHIP of 1.50 and WHIP of 1.87 in his last 3 starts. He's given up the long ball in 4 of his 5 starts. 125 is a decent price to take a stab at the matchup and fading a slumping team.
GL everyone with your plays today.
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