Money Ball 5.15

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101568922he icing on the cake

If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.

MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI

MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI 

MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units

5.14.2013, 4-4, -2.26 Units, -6.5% ROI

YTD – 97-98-15, +36.54 Units, +3.79% ROI -

5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays

All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted

Mariners F5 (+100) FG (+111) (Iwakuma / Hughes)

It is way too early for Cy Young Award discussions but if we fast forward to September who is more likely to be in the conversation? The Yankees scored only 1 run versus Hernandez last night and this kid ia far closer to being in Hernandez class than Hughes is to being in Sabathia’s class. I know C.C. got his 10 K’s last night but those Mariners that “can’t hit” also knocked him for 10 hits, including a dinger. The beauty of that is the Mariners have nearly as high a rating versus righty as they do lefty, and Hughes is no Sabathia.

Milwaukee F5 (-105) FG (+112) (Gallardo / Rodriguez)

The Brewers should have sealed the deal last night but won only in 5 and failed in 9. As far as I am concerned they owe me money and it is due and payable tonight. Wandy has been better so far this year than Yovani but the offensive matchup edge favors the Brewers by a long shot.

Red Sox F5 (+105) FG (+115) (Lester / Price)

Catching Lester with an underdog bonus in this spot is a good play. I know the Rays have won 6 straight but the average quality of the opposing pitcher was a measly 64.1, and the two lefties, Stults and Romero, check in at 63.2, while Lester checks in tonight at 71.7 and that alone is worth 54 cents in line value. Price is not having a great season yet and checks in at 66.4, not much better than the guys the Rays have been beating. Tougher competition makes a big difference here.

BOL

The Jon Lester (5-0, 2.73 ERA) vs. David Price (1-3, 4.78) pitching matchup should be anticipated, but there is consternation to go around. Price is off to his worst start, with velocity missing and breaking pitches spinning instead of breaking. Lester knows the feeling after 2012, in which he was 9-14, with a career-worst 4.82 ERA. The Rays lefthander has gone 2-0 with a 2.21 ERA in his last five starts against Boston and the Rays have won six straight, averaging 6.3 runs a contest. With the Red Sox skidding at 3-9, Tampa Bay has gone from -110 to -125. With the BoSox not hitting, they are 12-29 after scoring four runs or less in three consecutive games. S-W Take – Tampa Bay wins

Quote Originally Posted by Vegas_bum:

GLAD THERE WAS "NO VALUE" IN HOUSTON TODAY CUZ I CASHED IN BIG WITH ML +330/RRL-1.5 +480

Doubt you played it

Some of you guys are old friends, some are new friends, but I have no idea why the trend, angle, and system players continue to stop in at my threads. If anyone can enlighten me, please do so.