Money Ball 5.06.2013

https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=101568922

If you have never read my wagering strategy I encourage you to do so. Whether or not you adopt is it your choice.

MLB 2012 Regular Season: 363-369 +245.87 Units 6.72% ROI

MLB 2012 Playoffs: 12-9-3 +10.29 Units 14.6% ROI 

MLB 2012 @ 1 unit per play = +51.23 Net Units

5.05.2013, 2-4, -8.75 Units, -29.2% ROI

YTD – 79-82-13, +15.94 Units, +2.01% ROI

5 & 9 Innings – ALWAYS Specify Pitchers – NO action plays

All plays are 5 Units Flat, unless otherwise noted

If I had been in my right mind yesterday the streak would have hit 18-0-1 with the Marlins before the White Sox dropped the F5 and that would have been the longest non-losing streak of my career. Once upon a time I hit 17 straight without a push, so I guess that still has to rank #1. Oh well, life goes on, still a very nice streak. The trick to coming off a big streak is to be conservative and try to get another going, but not with a lot of picks on a short card. I will play only one and wait for the full card tomorrow.

Marlins-Padres F5 OVER 4 (+105) (LeBlanc / Cashner)

The Marlins had a long flight yesterday but played an afternoon game and picked up R&R time with that as well as the clock differential which added another three hours. They are finally hitting the ball fairly well versus righty and have averaged 4 earned runs in only 5.17 innings their last 4 and are 2-2 in the 5 inning game category. Cashner does appear exceptional and is actually a step down from the righties the Marlins have been facing, 66.1 versus Cashner’s 65.7. LeBlanc versus the Padres is an even better story. He is a 61.6 while the Padres have to date faced a 69.6 schedule of lefty quality. They are only 3-9-3 in the 5 inning game versus lefty but an oera of 3.3 per 9 is not so bad when adjusted for their schedule and the quality of LeBlanc versus the guys they have been facing. So, I don’t expect the Padres to have a problem with LeBlanc and the Marlins could possibly be helped by a slight wind (10mph) out to right versus Cashner. One other advantage to a 5 inning over at Petco is that the suppressive Marine Layer will not yet have moved in and the first 5 should be played in sunlight.

BOL

Pardon me, I accidentally quoted that line it is

Over 3.5, -110

Key,

What do you think about taking Mia at + money on the RL (F5)?

The mods must have deleted killamurphy. Who the hades did he think he was anyway?

 Oh well, see you tomorrow gentlemen, thanx for your support