White sox +130 *1 unit (Seems like an even pitching matchup to me. Both pitchers have been going real well and already went toe to toe once back on April 1st in quite a pitchers duel. Should see a repeat of that today in a low scoring game so in that case I'll take a shot at a good price)
Leaning towards the braves/reds over, rangers and Rays also... not sure I quite trust Ubaldo enough to back him
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First play:
White sox +130 *1 unit (Seems like an even pitching matchup to me. Both pitchers have been going real well and already went toe to toe once back on April 1st in quite a pitchers duel. Should see a repeat of that today in a low scoring game so in that case I'll take a shot at a good price)
Leaning towards the braves/reds over, rangers and Rays also... not sure I quite trust Ubaldo enough to back him
White sox pending... game went exactly as expected, regardless of the final outcome)
Monday night plays:
Giants -138 *3 units (Like the Giants a lot in this one. The phillies confidence has to be a little shaken after being embarrassed at home yesterday and losing their last 2 games to the marlins. Now they have to fly across the country and face a hot Giants team with the great Bumgarner on the mound)
Rays -140 *2 units (Hellickson has been a bit up and down, but Buerhle has been terrible all season. The blue jays in general have been terrible and I like the Rays at home in this spot as they've been a very consistent team at home the last few years. Rays have even been swinging the bats a little lately which makes me feel pretty good about this one)
Braves/Reds over 7.5 -110 *1 unit (2 pitchers who I think have pitched a little over their heads this season. Maholm has done a good job re-inventing himself but he's not this good. I think the Reds should be able to score a few runs on him. On the other side, the Braves have enjoyed some success vs Arroyo the last few years and their offense has been solid all season)
Rangers -120 *1 unit (under the radar pitching matchup in this one... I'm pretty surprised at the success Feldman has had this year. If this one is close and gets into the bullpens late, I like the rangers chances)
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White sox pending... game went exactly as expected, regardless of the final outcome)
Monday night plays:
Giants -138 *3 units (Like the Giants a lot in this one. The phillies confidence has to be a little shaken after being embarrassed at home yesterday and losing their last 2 games to the marlins. Now they have to fly across the country and face a hot Giants team with the great Bumgarner on the mound)
Rays -140 *2 units (Hellickson has been a bit up and down, but Buerhle has been terrible all season. The blue jays in general have been terrible and I like the Rays at home in this spot as they've been a very consistent team at home the last few years. Rays have even been swinging the bats a little lately which makes me feel pretty good about this one)
Braves/Reds over 7.5 -110 *1 unit (2 pitchers who I think have pitched a little over their heads this season. Maholm has done a good job re-inventing himself but he's not this good. I think the Reds should be able to score a few runs on him. On the other side, the Braves have enjoyed some success vs Arroyo the last few years and their offense has been solid all season)
Rangers -120 *1 unit (under the radar pitching matchup in this one... I'm pretty surprised at the success Feldman has had this year. If this one is close and gets into the bullpens late, I like the rangers chances)
**Braves lineup note: Gattis making his first start in the OF... good to see the Braves will find way to keep his bat in the lineup now that McCann is back
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**Braves lineup note: Gattis making his first start in the OF... good to see the Braves will find way to keep his bat in the lineup now that McCann is back
Mariners -107 *2 units (Probably the lowest line I can remember for a King Felix pitched game... but it makes sense to me. I'll take Felix over AJ any day of the week)
Reds -110 *1 unit (No upton brothers or McCann in lineup... bullpen may be short handed today also. Reds pen should be rested and they have some momentum after last nights walk off win. Leake has had some success vs some of these braves hitters as well)
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Early Plays:
Mariners -107 *2 units (Probably the lowest line I can remember for a King Felix pitched game... but it makes sense to me. I'll take Felix over AJ any day of the week)
Reds -110 *1 unit (No upton brothers or McCann in lineup... bullpen may be short handed today also. Reds pen should be rested and they have some momentum after last nights walk off win. Leake has had some success vs some of these braves hitters as well)
Yanks -123 *2 units (in a nutshell, fading Jeff francis is generally a profitable strategy. CC will keep them in it even if he isn't completely on his game)
Tigers -125 *2 units
More later, GL to the forum
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2 daytime plays:
Yanks -123 *2 units (in a nutshell, fading Jeff francis is generally a profitable strategy. CC will keep them in it even if he isn't completely on his game)
Dbacks -117 *2 units (Corbin has been fantastic, Hamels has struggled to find his form this year. Phillies offense has been susceptible vs lefties)
Royals +105 *1 unit (more a gut play... Guthrie pitching well, just don't think the royals get swept)
Braves/Giants over 7.5 -105 *1 unit (Vogelsong has regressed this season, Teheran has be OK lately but not spectacular... like both offenses to get 3 or 4 runs minimum)
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Yanks and tigers pending...
3 more plays:
Dbacks -117 *2 units (Corbin has been fantastic, Hamels has struggled to find his form this year. Phillies offense has been susceptible vs lefties)
Royals +105 *1 unit (more a gut play... Guthrie pitching well, just don't think the royals get swept)
Braves/Giants over 7.5 -105 *1 unit (Vogelsong has regressed this season, Teheran has be OK lately but not spectacular... like both offenses to get 3 or 4 runs minimum)
Mariners -120 *2 units (like the pitching advantage in this one, A's have been reeling a little lately and Straily hasn't been too impressive)
Tigers RL +110 *1 unit
Pirates -110 *1 unit (almost bet the over, but the mets offense is really struggling and I'm not sure they will get more than a couple vs Wandy tonight. Marcum has looked really average since coming back and isn't fooling anybody with his assortment of offspeed pitches)
Yankees +104 *1 unit
Taking a longer look at the Cards and Orioles...
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4 plays so far:
Mariners -120 *2 units (like the pitching advantage in this one, A's have been reeling a little lately and Straily hasn't been too impressive)
Tigers RL +110 *1 unit
Pirates -110 *1 unit (almost bet the over, but the mets offense is really struggling and I'm not sure they will get more than a couple vs Wandy tonight. Marcum has looked really average since coming back and isn't fooling anybody with his assortment of offspeed pitches)
Royals -144 *3 units (Really like how Shields has pitched all season... With pettitte struggling lately, it just feels like a good spot to bet against the yankees. Their offense has been getting a lot of clutch hits, but has been slightly over-performing their capabilities in my opinion, and my gut says they are due for a clunker)
Angels/white sox over 8.5 -115 *1 unit (was gonna take the white sox ML, but frankly both pitchers have been bad lately... Jerome Williams in particular has been dreadful. Thinking at least one of these teams will score 5 runs, if not both.)
Mariners -103 *1 unit (Pure fade of Jerrod Parker and the struggling A's)
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AMD
Adding:
Royals -144 *3 units (Really like how Shields has pitched all season... With pettitte struggling lately, it just feels like a good spot to bet against the yankees. Their offense has been getting a lot of clutch hits, but has been slightly over-performing their capabilities in my opinion, and my gut says they are due for a clunker)
Angels/white sox over 8.5 -115 *1 unit (was gonna take the white sox ML, but frankly both pitchers have been bad lately... Jerome Williams in particular has been dreadful. Thinking at least one of these teams will score 5 runs, if not both.)
Mariners -103 *1 unit (Pure fade of Jerrod Parker and the struggling A's)
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