Posted:
#1
Yesterday 1-0, +1.93units
Season 11-2, +15.51units
Tor (+100) at KC, risk 2 units to win 2
What? First he bets against King Felix (and won), and now he is on the overpaid hype machine Toronto? Yes, and for the same reason. All year the Jays have been favored, with their last 5 games games coming in from -125 to -140. Getting them at +100 here is just too good to pass up. The lineup that everyone has been raving about all winter is still there. They've had their moments. Their OPS this season is .733. Bad, but not horrible. Good for 18th in the majors. This line is an over-reaction and lets take advantage of it.
Happ for the Jays. Happ rolled in spring compiling a 1.90ERA over 23.2IP with 6.8ks/9IP and a K/BB ratio of 2.57. In his first start this year against Boston he went 5.1 innings allowing only 1 hit and striking out 6. Last year vs KC, he pitched 6 innings allowing only 5 baserunners. You would think that for a +100 line you wouldnt be seeing stats like this, especially with a Jays offence that could explode at any moment. Again, let's take advantage.
Mendoza for KC. He's 1-2 in 5 appearances vs Tor, with a 5.64ERA/1.93whip/.379BAA. Last year his line was 4.23/1.42/.278 and he was equally bad at home with 4.50/1.43/.271. Plain and simple, he gives up more than a hit an inning (10.3/9IP) and also walks his fair share (3.3/9IP). The Jays have an opportunity to get the bats going against a less than stellar pitcher.
The line is off again on this one. Grab the +100
Season 11-2, +15.51units
Tor (+100) at KC, risk 2 units to win 2
What? First he bets against King Felix (and won), and now he is on the overpaid hype machine Toronto? Yes, and for the same reason. All year the Jays have been favored, with their last 5 games games coming in from -125 to -140. Getting them at +100 here is just too good to pass up. The lineup that everyone has been raving about all winter is still there. They've had their moments. Their OPS this season is .733. Bad, but not horrible. Good for 18th in the majors. This line is an over-reaction and lets take advantage of it.
Happ for the Jays. Happ rolled in spring compiling a 1.90ERA over 23.2IP with 6.8ks/9IP and a K/BB ratio of 2.57. In his first start this year against Boston he went 5.1 innings allowing only 1 hit and striking out 6. Last year vs KC, he pitched 6 innings allowing only 5 baserunners. You would think that for a +100 line you wouldnt be seeing stats like this, especially with a Jays offence that could explode at any moment. Again, let's take advantage.
Mendoza for KC. He's 1-2 in 5 appearances vs Tor, with a 5.64ERA/1.93whip/.379BAA. Last year his line was 4.23/1.42/.278 and he was equally bad at home with 4.50/1.43/.271. Plain and simple, he gives up more than a hit an inning (10.3/9IP) and also walks his fair share (3.3/9IP). The Jays have an opportunity to get the bats going against a less than stellar pitcher.
The line is off again on this one. Grab the +100
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