Tigers ML (-126) 1 Unit: Is
there any team more disappointing in the early going then the Toronto
Blue Jays? I am guilty of taking the bait on the Jays twice and it cost
me both times. So this time I choose to fade them, which means they will
probably win haha. But in all seriousness this team is still trying to
find it's groove and that takes time. All the talent in the world
doesn't translate into wins, if you don't have team chemistry. This
years Jays team reminds me of the Tigers at the beginning of last
season. The Tigers had just landed Fielder and expectations were at an
all time high. They struggled out the gate but eventually got to the
world series. Point is, these things take time. In this match up we have
the Tigers going with Sanchez and the Jays countering with Morrow. Both
starters were equally as impressive in their respective wins. Sanchez
was able to take advantage of a hit or miss type of line up in
Minnesota, meanwhile Morrow faced a similar hit or miss type of offense
that the Indians have. Can't go wrong with siding with either one of
Tuesday's starters as they both are pretty reliable solid starters. In
terms of the lines ups, of course the Tigers will have the edge. That
edge could be even bigger if Bautista doesn't return to the line up, I
know he is 50-50 and if I had to guess he will probably give it a go on
Tuesday. Even if he suits up though, the Tigers line up is still better,
more consistent and more of a threat. The Jays are batting just .223 as
a team and haven't gotten any contributions from Edwin or Colby. I am
not sold on either teams bullpen production but I trust the Tigers
bullpen a bit more. Then you add in home cooking @ Comerica and I am
sold on taking the Tigers in this game. There aren't gonna be too many
opportunities to back the Tigers, but 1 of them comes Tuesday with the
hyped up Jays providing us with the low line opportunity on backing the
Tigers.
Yankees ML (-122) 1 Unit I
was kicking myself for not backing the Yankees on the low line
opportunity that was presented on Monday. So needless to say I was
chomping at the bit to jump on board Tuesday. I liked the line up Giradi
rolled with on Monday and I anticipate him rolling with a very similar
one on Tuesday as the Yanks bats came alive in a big way. The Yankees
were able to take advantage of Ubaldo Jimenez who remains to be one of
the most red hot or ice ice cold pitchers in the game. In Tuesday's
match up we will see the veteran Andy Pettitte take the hill against
youngster Carlos Carrasco. The young righty Carrasco will be making his
first start since 2011 and is starting in the place of Scott Kazmir.
Talk about a tall task, a spot start vs the Yankees of all teams. Sure
the 2013 Yankees are banged up but they are still a legitimate team that
will give many teams trouble. The Bronx Bombers have put up 18 runs in
their past 2 games. Anyways back to Carrasco, he will be making his 3rd
career start against the Yankees, he enters 1-1, having allowed 6 runs
and 15 hits in 11 innings of work. I can't speak too much more into
Carrasco as I simply don't know enough about him other then what's on
paper. Now let's talk about the vet Pettitte, he opened his 2013
campaign with a strong outing against the Red Sox where he went 8 strong
innings, allowing just 1 run on 8 hits, walking just 1 and striking out
3. In 21 career starts against the Indians, Pettitte is 8-8 with a 4.17
era, 1.47 whip and the tribe have hit .288 against him. Sure, those
aren't #s that would make you all warm and fuzzy inside; However, I
personally like to look at recent starts vs a team since it paints a
much more accurate pitcher. In his last 3 outings dating back to 2009
season, Andy is 2-0 with a 1.94 era. If you go back the past 6 starts to
the 2007 season, he is 3-1 with a 2.17 era. Let's face it when you been
in the league 23 years, career #s from you first started are a little
bit skewed. Ill admit the 1 thing that has been a little worried is
Andy's home vs away splits, where he struggled on the road in 2012.
There are always gonna be pros and cons of things you like and dislike
on a particular bet and it'd be delusional to ignore anything negative. I
just simply feel the pros outweigh the cons in this one and the Yankees
bats are hot right now. I see that continuing on Tuesday's, with
Pettitte being sharp enough to get the win and get the Yankees to the
.500 mark.
Royals/Twins U 8.5 (-115) 1 Unit: Let
me first start
off by saying I really like the Royals in this one but I simply can't
lay -150 juice on them. Anyway who followed my thread last year and so
far this year can tell you, I don't ever play high juiced faves.
Majority of my plays are -125 or for + money. Every once in a while ill
fire a -140, but that is absolutely my max on the juice. Anything can
happen in sports and consistently laying heavy chalk is a recipe for
disaster. I have always said if you feel so confident to lay -150, -175,
-200, then you should have enough confidence in taking a team on the
RL. It's simple math, but the winning % needed on that high of chalk
plays makes it to hard to be profitable in the long run. I apologize for
going on a little ramble their but I always see heavy chalk plays in a
bunch of threads on a daily basis and I am always mind boggled by it.
Anyways, like I said I like the Royals in this game, but I am not laying
the ML juice, and I don't trust them enough on the RL just yet this
season. So with that being said I do really like the under in this game.
In Monday's opener both teams were held in check by Santana and Correia
and I see a very similar thing happening on Tuesday with Pelfrey and
Guthrie. Both of these guys had fantastic season openers and I think
they will have strong 2nd starts as well. The Twins Pelfrey was making
his first start since tommy john surgery last April. He was lights out
in his only 3 starts for the Twins 2012 before his season was cut short
due to the injury. He kicked off right where he left off though in his
season opener with an impressive performance in Detroit, allowing just 2
runs, on 5 hits, in 5 and 2/3rds. He is a ground ball pitcher that
induces a ton of ground outs, which bodes well for an under play.
Meanwhile on the other side we have Jeremy Guthrie. I backed the Royals
in Guthrie's season debut last week against the White Sox. The days of
Guthrie's major struggles in Colorado are long long gone. He has been
very solid since coming to the Royals and I see that continuing on
Tuesday in front of the Royal faithful. This one has the look and feel
of a pitcher's dual and Id be pretty surprised if this went over the
total.
Lean's that didn't make the cut: SD/LA O 6.5 -110, A's +141, Nats RL +135
Best of Luck to everyone on Tuesday
0
Tuesday's Plays
Tigers ML (-126) 1 Unit: Is
there any team more disappointing in the early going then the Toronto
Blue Jays? I am guilty of taking the bait on the Jays twice and it cost
me both times. So this time I choose to fade them, which means they will
probably win haha. But in all seriousness this team is still trying to
find it's groove and that takes time. All the talent in the world
doesn't translate into wins, if you don't have team chemistry. This
years Jays team reminds me of the Tigers at the beginning of last
season. The Tigers had just landed Fielder and expectations were at an
all time high. They struggled out the gate but eventually got to the
world series. Point is, these things take time. In this match up we have
the Tigers going with Sanchez and the Jays countering with Morrow. Both
starters were equally as impressive in their respective wins. Sanchez
was able to take advantage of a hit or miss type of line up in
Minnesota, meanwhile Morrow faced a similar hit or miss type of offense
that the Indians have. Can't go wrong with siding with either one of
Tuesday's starters as they both are pretty reliable solid starters. In
terms of the lines ups, of course the Tigers will have the edge. That
edge could be even bigger if Bautista doesn't return to the line up, I
know he is 50-50 and if I had to guess he will probably give it a go on
Tuesday. Even if he suits up though, the Tigers line up is still better,
more consistent and more of a threat. The Jays are batting just .223 as
a team and haven't gotten any contributions from Edwin or Colby. I am
not sold on either teams bullpen production but I trust the Tigers
bullpen a bit more. Then you add in home cooking @ Comerica and I am
sold on taking the Tigers in this game. There aren't gonna be too many
opportunities to back the Tigers, but 1 of them comes Tuesday with the
hyped up Jays providing us with the low line opportunity on backing the
Tigers.
Yankees ML (-122) 1 Unit I
was kicking myself for not backing the Yankees on the low line
opportunity that was presented on Monday. So needless to say I was
chomping at the bit to jump on board Tuesday. I liked the line up Giradi
rolled with on Monday and I anticipate him rolling with a very similar
one on Tuesday as the Yanks bats came alive in a big way. The Yankees
were able to take advantage of Ubaldo Jimenez who remains to be one of
the most red hot or ice ice cold pitchers in the game. In Tuesday's
match up we will see the veteran Andy Pettitte take the hill against
youngster Carlos Carrasco. The young righty Carrasco will be making his
first start since 2011 and is starting in the place of Scott Kazmir.
Talk about a tall task, a spot start vs the Yankees of all teams. Sure
the 2013 Yankees are banged up but they are still a legitimate team that
will give many teams trouble. The Bronx Bombers have put up 18 runs in
their past 2 games. Anyways back to Carrasco, he will be making his 3rd
career start against the Yankees, he enters 1-1, having allowed 6 runs
and 15 hits in 11 innings of work. I can't speak too much more into
Carrasco as I simply don't know enough about him other then what's on
paper. Now let's talk about the vet Pettitte, he opened his 2013
campaign with a strong outing against the Red Sox where he went 8 strong
innings, allowing just 1 run on 8 hits, walking just 1 and striking out
3. In 21 career starts against the Indians, Pettitte is 8-8 with a 4.17
era, 1.47 whip and the tribe have hit .288 against him. Sure, those
aren't #s that would make you all warm and fuzzy inside; However, I
personally like to look at recent starts vs a team since it paints a
much more accurate pitcher. In his last 3 outings dating back to 2009
season, Andy is 2-0 with a 1.94 era. If you go back the past 6 starts to
the 2007 season, he is 3-1 with a 2.17 era. Let's face it when you been
in the league 23 years, career #s from you first started are a little
bit skewed. Ill admit the 1 thing that has been a little worried is
Andy's home vs away splits, where he struggled on the road in 2012.
There are always gonna be pros and cons of things you like and dislike
on a particular bet and it'd be delusional to ignore anything negative. I
just simply feel the pros outweigh the cons in this one and the Yankees
bats are hot right now. I see that continuing on Tuesday's, with
Pettitte being sharp enough to get the win and get the Yankees to the
.500 mark.
Royals/Twins U 8.5 (-115) 1 Unit: Let
me first start
off by saying I really like the Royals in this one but I simply can't
lay -150 juice on them. Anyway who followed my thread last year and so
far this year can tell you, I don't ever play high juiced faves.
Majority of my plays are -125 or for + money. Every once in a while ill
fire a -140, but that is absolutely my max on the juice. Anything can
happen in sports and consistently laying heavy chalk is a recipe for
disaster. I have always said if you feel so confident to lay -150, -175,
-200, then you should have enough confidence in taking a team on the
RL. It's simple math, but the winning % needed on that high of chalk
plays makes it to hard to be profitable in the long run. I apologize for
going on a little ramble their but I always see heavy chalk plays in a
bunch of threads on a daily basis and I am always mind boggled by it.
Anyways, like I said I like the Royals in this game, but I am not laying
the ML juice, and I don't trust them enough on the RL just yet this
season. So with that being said I do really like the under in this game.
In Monday's opener both teams were held in check by Santana and Correia
and I see a very similar thing happening on Tuesday with Pelfrey and
Guthrie. Both of these guys had fantastic season openers and I think
they will have strong 2nd starts as well. The Twins Pelfrey was making
his first start since tommy john surgery last April. He was lights out
in his only 3 starts for the Twins 2012 before his season was cut short
due to the injury. He kicked off right where he left off though in his
season opener with an impressive performance in Detroit, allowing just 2
runs, on 5 hits, in 5 and 2/3rds. He is a ground ball pitcher that
induces a ton of ground outs, which bodes well for an under play.
Meanwhile on the other side we have Jeremy Guthrie. I backed the Royals
in Guthrie's season debut last week against the White Sox. The days of
Guthrie's major struggles in Colorado are long long gone. He has been
very solid since coming to the Royals and I see that continuing on
Tuesday in front of the Royal faithful. This one has the look and feel
of a pitcher's dual and Id be pretty surprised if this went over the
total.
Lean's that didn't make the cut: SD/LA O 6.5 -110, A's +141, Nats RL +135
Hey man, its all season you will be in the positive. Its too early to tell which team is motivated. I personally think the reds get to the world series this year.
Love the Yanks pick. Havent seen them as dogs in the early season in awhile. They have great value even with the injurys
0
Hey man, its all season you will be in the positive. Its too early to tell which team is motivated. I personally think the reds get to the world series this year.
Love the Yanks pick. Havent seen them as dogs in the early season in awhile. They have great value even with the injurys
Start drinking now, but pace your self since its a night game haha. In all seriousness I like Timmy's chances to have a strong out since its a home start. If he can avoid having too many of the dreaded free passes, I think he will be fine
0
Pasteur,
Start drinking now, but pace your self since its a night game haha. In all seriousness I like Timmy's chances to have a strong out since its a home start. If he can avoid having too many of the dreaded free passes, I think he will be fine
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