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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: 8/31 - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 8/30/2012 10:47:51 PM


8-31





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#2
Posted: 8/30/2012 10:48:39 PM
#01 Kris Medlen (1)
#02 Brett Anderson #N/A
#02 Jaime Garcia (21)
#04 Clayton Kershaw (5)
#05 CC Sabathia (7)
#06 Adam Wainwright (4)
#07 Max Scherzer (18)
#08 Cliff Lee (6)
#09 James Shields (23)
#10 Felix Hernandez (8)
#11 David Price (16)
#12 Madison Bumgarner (12)
#12 Roy Halladay (14)
#14 Justin Verlander (13)
#15 Cole Hamels (20)
#16 Johnny Cueto (25)
#17 Rick Porcello (65)
#18 Mike Fiers (10)
#19 Jon Lester (62)
#19 Jeff Samardzija (30)
#21 Steve Johnson #N/A
#22 Gio Gonzalez (26)
#23 Matt Moore (120)
#23 Paul Maholm (75)
#23 Jacob Turner (142)
#26 Doug Fister (17)
#27 Wade Miley (19)
#28 Yovani Gallardo (55)
#29 Hiroki Kuroda (41)
#30 Chris Sale (9)
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#3
Posted: 8/30/2012 10:48:52 PM
#133 Dallas Keuchel (206)
#134 Alex White (169)
#134 Gavin Floyd (151)
#134 Cole DeVries (152)
#137 Jose Quintana (122)
#138 Miguel Gonzalez (186)
#139 Nick Blackburn (204)
#140 Tim Hudson (93)
#141 Vance Worley (101)
#141 Zack Greinke (14)
#143 Lance Lynn (51)
#144 Barry Zito (194)
#145 Jake Westbrook (80)
#146 Franklin Morales #N/A
#147 Liam Hendriks (184)
#148 Ricky Romero (187)
#149 Chris Young (181)
#150 Samuel Deduno (192)
#151 Brooks Raley (201)
#152 Wandy Rodriguez (129)
#153 Ian Kennedy (82)
#154 Aaron Laffey (176)
#154 Josh Beckett (137)
#156 Henderson Alvarez (182)
#157 Tyler Skaggs #N/A
#158 Chris Seddon #N/A
#159 Tommy Hunter (162)
#159 Ross Ohlendorf (199)
#161 Roberto Hernandez #N/A
#162 Nathan Eovaldi (185)
#163 Armando Galarraga (211)
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#4
Posted: 8/30/2012 10:50:05 PM
Hopefully a better day tomorrow
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#5
Posted: 8/30/2012 10:50:13 PM
A lot of action involves pitchers on the above two lists.  Make sure you do your homework on the CURRENT form of the starting pitchers and bullpens.  I recommend last 30 days as the ideal sample size to measure and make this qualification.
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#6
Posted: 8/30/2012 10:51:35 PM
Anything jump out?
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#7
Posted: 8/30/2012 11:10:06 PM
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#8
Posted: 8/30/2012 11:10:36 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by WinSeeker:

Anything jump out?


Locked in:

7:05 EST - New York Mets (-155)
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#9
Posted: 8/30/2012 11:23:45 PM
I rate Karstens as better than Rogers on the season but in recent form the two have almost identical numbers.  -120 would imply that the Brewers and Pirates are offensively identical - this is certainly not the case.  I think Milwaukee has some line value, although I'm not inclined to take them yet for some reason.
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#10
Posted: 8/30/2012 11:27:43 PM
Strong lean on the over in Kansas City.  I will be watching the early line movement to see if sharp money has anything to say about it.
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#11
Posted: 8/30/2012 11:35:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

Strong lean on the over in Kansas City.  I will be watching the early line movement to see if sharp money has anything to say about it.

Locked in:

8:10 EST - Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals Over 9.5 (-110)
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#12
Posted: 8/30/2012 11:52:21 PM


Locked in:

10:10 EST - Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Over 7.5 (-110)
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#13
Posted: 8/30/2012 11:59:08 PM

Whoa 3 plays locked in already

You must be feeling good about tomorows card

Let's cash these plays!

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#14
Posted: 8/30/2012 11:59:30 PM
I'm leaving for Chicago in the early morning for the weekend.  Won't be around all that much to post.  Here's my card for now.. may add more, but probably won't be able to get to a computer until late tomorrow afternoon.



Current Card:

7:05 EST - New York Mets (-155)

8:10 EST - Minnesota Twins @ Kansas City Royals Over 9.5 (-110)

10:10 EST - Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Over 7.5 (-110)
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#15
Posted: 8/31/2012 12:07:17 AM

locked  ,thx si1ly, enjoy your wk.

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#16
Posted: 8/31/2012 12:13:28 AM
thanks silly!
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#17
Posted: 8/31/2012 12:41:51 AM
Tough to beat a team 4 in a row & twice at their house in same season. Dickey has been alternating W/L last several games & his team with him pitching has not won BB games since 7-12-12. Mets are 5-15 on Fridays.
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#18
Posted: 8/31/2012 1:11:33 AM
Any thoughts about Indians giving up?
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#19
Posted: 8/31/2012 1:21:30 AM
Looks like there's some pretty good value on the Tigers tomorrow coming back home, possibly even @ -1 to reduce the juice.  What say you?
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#20
Posted: 8/31/2012 1:35:36 AM
You're the man silly! 

Your sheets seem to show value on Toronto, Detroit, St. Louis, NY Yankees, Mets, and Milwaukee, not to mention the over in both New York games.

I'm sure you have a reason for passing on most of these but this is the type of day your sheets usually help me hit one of those gravy 7 teamers

Yankees might be one of my favorite plays.  After a sub par performance against the Jays, and now enter the hot Orioles with a (seemingly) good pitcher on the mound, the public won't be flocking to the ticket window to bet the house on the Bronx Bombers.  That's exactly the time I usually like to place MY house on them.

Good luck on your plays

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#21
Posted: 8/31/2012 2:14:55 AM
Thanks for posting even though your going out of town tomorrow. I know you have other things to do for your trip!
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#22
Posted: 8/31/2012 2:57:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:



Locked in:

10:10 EST - Los Angeles Angels @ Seattle Mariners Over 7.5 (-110)


why your spreadsheet says 7.14
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#23
Posted: 8/31/2012 3:09:48 AM
Jaime Garcia is the #2 starting pitcher? Your numbers must not have included tonight. Surely there are better pitchers the last 30 days. 8/25 - Pitched only 6 innings and gave up 4 runs with a WHIP of 1.5. Tonight (8/30) - Pitched 5.1 innings giving up 6 runs with a WHIP of almost 2.

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#24
Posted: 8/31/2012 5:27:50 AM
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#25
Posted: 8/31/2012 8:17:11 AM
I really like the Rockies tonight.  They handle lefties as shown by being ranked 5th on your list and their park is also a strong advantage.  White has actually pitched better over his last few starts despite only going 4 innings as shown by the leap from 169 to 134.

Sign me up.
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