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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: SJSharks - Tuesday Bases
SJSharks99
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#1
Posted: 8/14/2012 2:27:35 AM
Monday 2-2: I am my own worst enemy haha, I cost myself a 2-1 day with a late add play on the Giants/Nats U . The Rays handled business, the Sox/Jays played way under the 8.5. Meanwhile the Pirates looked flat and a lately rally fell short. All in all a split isn't the worst thing ever, just a little on the boring side haha.


59-37 Last 96 plays
(61.4%)


36-20 Last 56
plays (64.2%)



Season: 156-147-3
ML: 86-78
RL: 24-14
Totals: 34-41-2
Props: 12-13-1


Tuesday's Plays



Cardinals ML (-128)
: The Cardinals will be sending Joe Kelly to the mound to face Arizona's Ian Kennedy. By the #s this year Kelly has out pitched Zona's 2011 star Kennedy. On the year Kelly enters with a 2-5 record with a 3.47 era. He isn't the type of pitcher who will "wow" you, but he will do a good enough job to keep you in the game and give your offense enough chances to pull out the win. His record can is on the wrong end of a 2-5, due to the Cardinals inability to score runs when he starts. They are averaging just 3.7 runs per game in his start, below they're season average. However  scoring runs at home lately hasn't been too much of a struggle for  for the red birds. They have 75 runs in there last 15 home games, which works out to be an average of 5.6 runs per game, that will result in a win more times then not. Kelly should be able to handle an Arizona line up that struggles against right handed pitching and struggles on the road. Arizona  is a below .500 team on the road with a 26-30 mark, and have struggled against right handed pitching. Arizona enters the game batting in the the bottom third in the league at #20 offensively. The red birds on the other hand are ranked #3 against righties and will be squaring off against an under achieving Ian Kennedy. On the year Kennedy is 10-9 with a 4.34 era. Just a "little" bit different then his 2011 campaign when he went 21-4 with a 2.88 era. His struggles have come at both on the road at at home, with an era above 4 in both. He has also struggled lately with a 1-1 mark and era of 5.51. His elevating WHIP of 1.65 has gotten him in trouble lately. He has surrendered 7 home runs in his last 4 outings, with at least a home run in each. He has also allowed 9 home runs in his last 6 outings. If his recent struggles off free passes and base hits continues, the #3 ranked offense of the Cardinals should be able to take advantage and it could be a short outing for Kennedy. The Cardinals line up has plenty of threats for the long ball. His entire 2012 campaign has been a disappointing one for Kennedy, and there is no signs of that changing on Tuesday. I think the Cardinals will get to him quick and often en route to a nice home win.


A's ML (-127)
I can't recall the last time I have backed the A's, hell this might even be the first time all season that I have backed them. I normally use my bitter rival ness and look right pass the in many situations on the card. However, I honestly feel this is a great spot to back them. The A's are a feisty bunch and they get the job done in unorthodox ways sometimes. They will be heading into KC with a lot riding for them. We are approaching the mid way point of August and the A's are right in the thick of things in the AL West and the AL wild card. These are the type of games when you show whether you are a contender or a pretender. This team has a lot of grit and a why not us kinda attitude and as a bettor backing them, you gotta admire and like that. The A's will be sending one of there many young good pitchers to the mound Jarrod Parker. On the year Parker is 7-6 with a 3.55 era. Just like many of the fellow A's pitchers, he does benefit from pitching in the massive ballpark in Oakland, thus his home/away splits clearly favor him pitching at home. He has struggled in his last 3 outings with a 6.60 era, but that isn't why I am jumping for joy to back him. I think this will be a very good test for Parker, one that he will want to deliver upon in a good way. He knows he has struggled lately, and he knows how big this game and the ones down the stretch are gonna be for him and his fellow teammates. My gut tells me Parker has a strong outing and gives the A's a chance at a big win. It does help that the counterpart (and a major reason why I feel comfortable backing Parker in this spot) is Jeremy Guthrie. Guthrie is coming off 2 solid outings against the White Sox and Rangers, but I am not sold at all that he has turned a corner. He has struggled since the 1st day I saw him pitch and it would take more then 2 starts for me to believe he magically fix all of his mechanical errors. If he comes out and throws a gem in Tuesday's contest, ill gladly eat my words, but I wanna see it. He has an 0-2 mark at home since joining the Royals and a 6.55 era. If the leagues worst pitching team (Colorado) dumped you off to KC in exchange for Sanchez, you are definitely struggling. The Royals are the #9 ranked team against right handed pitching compared to the A's being #23, the Royals also have the #8 ranked bullpen compared to the A's being #24. I am usually not one to try and over think why a line is what it is, but the line favoring the A's has to be do to Parker being that much better than Guthrie, and I agree with it. The A's are also a .500 team on the road (27-27), meanwhile the Royals are DEAD LAST in the MLB at Home with a 21-32 mark. I think Parker will have a strong outing and the scrappy A's will do just enough to get the job done and earn a big win in a heated playoff race for them.


Best of luck to everyone on Tuesday!!!

quote
ac_bum
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#2
Posted: 8/14/2012 2:30:47 AM
 GL SHARK
quote
SJSharks99
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#3
Posted: 8/14/2012 2:30:55 AM
sorry for the spelling and grammar... you know this by now, it's time for some much needed s haha
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KktdocT
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#4
Posted: 8/14/2012 2:31:46 AM
GL, mate.
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SJSharks99
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#5
Posted: 8/14/2012 2:35:12 AM
AC_BUM - Thanks man, I hope you have an encore performance on Tuesday

KKDoct - Thank you sir



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ShadowWarrior
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#6
Posted: 8/14/2012 2:51:33 AM
Did not see your late add so as far as I am concerned you went 2-1.  Stay hot my friend!
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#7
Posted: 8/14/2012 2:53:28 AM
Good Luck.
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ninjutsu25
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#8
Posted: 8/14/2012 2:57:26 AM
with you on STL.. BOL
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#9
Posted: 8/14/2012 3:52:01 AM
Just posted my STL ML bet, and your the first post I clicked on sharky and Im glad were both riding them. BOL I feel the same as Kelly is going to get his third season win tomorrow.
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14allall41
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#10
Posted: 8/14/2012 3:57:42 AM
youre not the only one who got screwed by that runfest in SF. GL
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#11
Posted: 8/14/2012 4:00:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SJSharks99:

Monday 2-2: I am my own worst enemy haha, I cost myself a 2-1 day with a late add play on the Giants/Nats U . The Rays handled business, the Sox/Jays played way under the 8.5. Meanwhile the Pirates looked flat and a lately rally fell short. All in all a split isn't the worst thing ever, just a little on the boring side haha.


59-37 Last 96 plays
(61.4%)


36-20 Last 56
plays (64.2%)



Season: 156-147-3
ML: 86-78
RL: 24-14
Totals: 34-41-2
Props: 12-13-1


Tuesday's Plays



Cardinals ML (-128)
: The Cardinals will be sending Joe Kelly to the mound to face Arizona's Ian Kennedy. By the #s this year Kelly has out pitched Zona's 2011 star Kennedy. On the year Kelly enters with a 2-5 record with a 3.47 era. He isn't the type of pitcher who will "wow" you, but he will do a good enough job to keep you in the game and give your offense enough chances to pull out the win. His record can is on the wrong end of a 2-5, due to the Cardinals inability to score runs when he starts. They are averaging just 3.7 runs per game in his start, below they're season average. However  scoring runs at home lately hasn't been too much of a struggle for  for the red birds. They have 75 runs in there last 15 home games, which works out to be an average of 5.6 runs per game, that will result in a win more times then not. Kelly should be able to handle an Arizona line up that struggles against right handed pitching and struggles on the road. Arizona  is a below .500 team on the road with a 26-30 mark, and have struggled against right handed pitching. Arizona enters the game batting in the the bottom third in the league at #20 offensively. The red birds on the other hand are ranked #3 against righties and will be squaring off against an under achieving Ian Kennedy. On the year Kennedy is 10-9 with a 4.34 era. Just a "little" bit different then his 2011 campaign when he went 21-4 with a 2.88 era. His struggles have come at both on the road at at home, with an era above 4 in both. He has also struggled lately with a 1-1 mark and era of 5.51. His elevating WHIP of 1.65 has gotten him in trouble lately. He has surrendered 7 home runs in his last 4 outings, with at least a home run in each. He has also allowed 9 home runs in his last 6 outings. If his recent struggles off free passes and base hits continues, the #3 ranked offense of the Cardinals should be able to take advantage and it could be a short outing for Kennedy. The Cardinals line up has plenty of threats for the long ball. His entire 2012 campaign has been a disappointing one for Kennedy, and there is no signs of that changing on Tuesday. I think the Cardinals will get to him quick and often en route to a nice home win.


A's ML (-127)
I can't recall the last time I have backed the A's, hell this might even be the first time all season that I have backed them. I normally use my bitter rival ness and look right pass the in many situations on the card. However, I honestly feel this is a great spot to back them. The A's are a feisty bunch and they get the job done in unorthodox ways sometimes. They will be heading into KC with a lot riding for them. We are approaching the mid way point of August and the A's are right in the thick of things in the AL West and the AL wild card. These are the type of games when you show whether you are a contender or a pretender. This team has a lot of grit and a why not us kinda attitude and as a bettor backing them, you gotta admire and like that. The A's will be sending one of there many young good pitchers to the mound Jarrod Parker. On the year Parker is 7-6 with a 3.55 era. Just like many of the fellow A's pitchers, he does benefit from pitching in the massive ballpark in Oakland, thus his home/away splits clearly favor him pitching at home. He has struggled in his last 3 outings with a 6.60 era, but that isn't why I am jumping for joy to back him. I think this will be a very good test for Parker, one that he will want to deliver upon in a good way. He knows he has struggled lately, and he knows how big this game and the ones down the stretch are gonna be for him and his fellow teammates. My gut tells me Parker has a strong outing and gives the A's a chance at a big win. It does help that the counterpart (and a major reason why I feel comfortable backing Parker in this spot) is Jeremy Guthrie. Guthrie is coming off 2 solid outings against the White Sox and Rangers, but I am not sold at all that he has turned a corner. He has struggled since the 1st day I saw him pitch and it would take more then 2 starts for me to believe he magically fix all of his mechanical errors. If he comes out and throws a gem in Tuesday's contest, ill gladly eat my words, but I wanna see it. He has an 0-2 mark at home since joining the Royals and a 6.55 era. If the leagues worst pitching team (Colorado) dumped you off to KC in exchange for Sanchez, you are definitely struggling. The Royals are the #9 ranked team against right handed pitching compared to the A's being #23, the Royals also have the #8 ranked bullpen compared to the A's being #24. I am usually not one to try and over think why a line is what it is, but the line favoring the A's has to be do to Parker being that much better than Guthrie, and I agree with it. The A's are also a .500 team on the road (27-27), meanwhile the Royals are DEAD LAST in the MLB at Home with a 21-32 mark. I think Parker will have a strong outing and the scrappy A's will do just enough to get the job done and earn a big win in a heated playoff race for them.


Best of luck to everyone on Tuesday!!!


I have to disagree with you on KC. Oakland aren't getting this one. Sorry bud 
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kinggeorge27
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#12
Posted: 8/14/2012 5:38:43 AM
BOL today SJSharks, with ya on the Cards, let's GET IT!! 
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#13
Posted: 8/14/2012 5:48:55 AM
good luck shark!
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#14
Posted: 8/14/2012 6:15:42 AM
Nice record Shark..Tis a shame we cannot check it seeing you have limited your back dated posts .. That said BOL with your card tonight... 
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#15
Posted: 8/14/2012 7:17:31 AM
Can't complain about a 2-2 day....Sure as hell beats some of the other alternatives!   Keep plugging away Shark! 
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#16
Posted: 8/14/2012 7:26:13 AM
gl sharks
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#17
Posted: 8/14/2012 7:30:01 AM
Took the rays instead of halos.thanks
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#18
Posted: 8/14/2012 7:32:09 AM
GL SHARK
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#19
Posted: 8/14/2012 7:44:41 AM
SJS BOL
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#20
Posted: 8/14/2012 8:11:44 AM
Love the cards tonight!
Watching ian kennedy pitch this yr. Makes me wonder how he was so good last yr. Little to no movement, nothing on it,and when he is on his game everything is hittable.
gl
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#21
Posted: 8/14/2012 8:42:24 AM
Gotta keep a unit track, if your average play here is -120 you're down 20+ units on the year and if your average play is Even you're up a bunch. Lotta folks seem to value your input, basically your responsibility to keep units posted. 
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#22
Posted: 8/14/2012 8:43:31 AM
Especially if you're posting record without unit totals
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#23
Posted: 8/14/2012 8:44:08 AM
Mil/col under11 thoughts. Chatwood has talent, wolf probably yanked early, but seems big
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#24
Posted: 8/14/2012 8:45:01 AM
sHARKY
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ac_bum
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#25
Posted: 8/14/2012 8:58:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SJSharks99:

AC_BUM - Thanks man, I hope you have an encore performance on Tuesday

KKDoct - Thank you sir



YOU KNOW SOMETIMES IT CAN BE A GIFT OR A CURSE

 THANKS
quote
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