First Inning Runs picks based on historical outcomes stratified by the
full game O/U, the only variable that is highly correlated to the
outcome of this prop.
This season 354-304, +73.1 units, last season 180-170, +37.05 units Current YTD YES%=53.1%
At
the high-water mark for the season in terms of units. Tread lightly
here as this has been running ridiculously hot, going 68-39, +52.7
units, over the last 2+ weeks.
Cin/CHN NO -130, 2 units (must bet -163 or better)
Will post later games as lines come out.
GL
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
First Inning Runs picks based on historical outcomes stratified by the
full game O/U, the only variable that is highly correlated to the
outcome of this prop.
This season 354-304, +73.1 units, last season 180-170, +37.05 units Current YTD YES%=53.1%
At
the high-water mark for the season in terms of units. Tread lightly
here as this has been running ridiculously hot, going 68-39, +52.7
units, over the last 2+ weeks.
Cin/CHN NO -130, 2 units (must bet -163 or better)
Stl/Phi YES +105, 1 unit (must bet -101 or better) SD/Pit YES +100, 1 unit (must bet -105 or better) Bos/Cle YES -105, 1 unit (must bet -111 or better) LA/Mia YES +115, 1 unit (must bet +110 or better) Atl/Mia YES +105, 2 units (must bet -105 or better) Mil/Hou YES -105, 1 unit (must bet -111 or better) Oak/CWS YES +100, 2 units (must bet -111 or better) TB/Min YES -105, 1 unit (must bet -111 or better) Was/AZ YES +100, 1 unit (must bet -105 or better) Sea/LAA YES +115, 2 units (must bet -101 or better)
GL
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Thanks Hansel. You too. Adding:
Stl/Phi YES +105, 1 unit (must bet -101 or better) SD/Pit YES +100, 1 unit (must bet -105 or better) Bos/Cle YES -105, 1 unit (must bet -111 or better) LA/Mia YES +115, 1 unit (must bet +110 or better) Atl/Mia YES +105, 2 units (must bet -105 or better) Mil/Hou YES -105, 1 unit (must bet -111 or better) Oak/CWS YES +100, 2 units (must bet -111 or better) TB/Min YES -105, 1 unit (must bet -111 or better) Was/AZ YES +100, 1 unit (must bet -105 or better) Sea/LAA YES +115, 2 units (must bet -101 or better)
Thanks for posting the addl picks. Im pretty much with you on most picks most days except i rarely pay the juice on your NO 2 unit picks since (a) theyre pricey to begin with and (b) based on the 3 books i use, i cant find the prices youre getting. My YES prices are always better than yours, but my NO prices are always worse.
I tried to open a pinnacle account because they provided outs that were noticably different than what i already use, but i didnt realize they dont accept US deposits. Oh well.
Looking forward to your picks on monday!
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Thanks for posting the addl picks. Im pretty much with you on most picks most days except i rarely pay the juice on your NO 2 unit picks since (a) theyre pricey to begin with and (b) based on the 3 books i use, i cant find the prices youre getting. My YES prices are always better than yours, but my NO prices are always worse.
I tried to open a pinnacle account because they provided outs that were noticably different than what i already use, but i didnt realize they dont accept US deposits. Oh well.
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