Posted: 8/7/2012 1:48:41 PM
Yesterday: (5-4) +6.7050
Last 7 days: (27-32) +21.5331
Yesterday I did poorly on the -RL and 2 parlays (thanks Reds), but I went 4-1 on totals and won Lar's POD to make for a great one.
Will be travelling tonight / today and over the next few days so I will be hit or miss. Will do my best to respond as I can, but I won't be able to hit you guys up in your threads like I normally do.
Teamrankings O/U: (15-5) Last 38 days
Both Teamrankings plays hit yesterday, putting them at 3-0 since their 0-5 run. I will be back on the track of a blind follow on those. 75% is a rate I can live with, especially when you are getting the totals at -105 and sometimes better odds.
There is one qualifying TR O/U play today, the Cubs / Padres O7.5 at 66.5%. I had looked at this play hard, and this being a TR qualifier locks it for me. I believe Ohlendorf will give up some runs to the Cubs. And the Cubs are starting a rookie pitcher that has given up a hit an inning in AAA. I know Petco is stingy with runs, but the Over trends on the Padres side have led me towards the Over. Plus, the Padres are 6-4 on the Over in their last 10 at Home. I'm making this my double for the day.
Cubs / Padres O7.5 Even 6 / 6
The Indians had a much better pitcher on the mound yesterday, and they couldn't do any better than completely getting their behind kicked. This Deduno kid has excellent stuff, and the Indians bats have rigor mortise. I say the Twins win yet another one. The Indians only hope for a win will be on Wednesday in the Duensing vs. Masterson matchup.
Twins ML +107 3 / 3.21
I thought to myself, why the hell is the Indians TT at 4.5? Shouldn't it be lower? They've only gone higher than that in 3 of their last 10. Like I said...dead bats. I think this TT is too high, and it's worth a shot.
Indians TT U4.5 -110 3.3 / 3
I recently took the Rangers on the 1st 5 RL vs. Hochevar and the Royals. They won me the 1st 5 and then promptly lost the FG thereafter. I really like the even odds on the 1st 5 ML in a rebound game vs. the Red Sox. All I have to worry about is the Dempster vs. Lester matchup, and I think I have the advantage there.
Rangers 1st 5 ML Even 3 / 3
Seattle plays a lot better Away, and hits LHP well. Britton has been a disaster his last few games and sports a 8.35 ERA on the season. Beavan has given up 5 runs in his last 22.1 IP, and the Mariners have won his last 4 starts. The Umpire seems to dislike the Orioles as well (Road team is 5-0 in Wegners last 5 games behind home plate vs. Baltimore, Road team is 5-1 in Wegners last 6 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. Baltimore). I can't find a reason not to take a chance on the Mariners today.
Seattle ML +117 3 / 3.51
Houston sucks. And they suck vs. LHP. Go Nats Go.
Nats -RL -125 3.75 / 3
I have stared holes in this card for other plays I liked. The Rays get back Longoria today but good grief they've been terrible with the bats. The Mets hit LHP well, but the Fish get Stanton and Murphy back today and their pitcher beat the Braves at home last time he faced them. I want to play the Dodgers -RL vs. the Rox, but they haven't hit for garbage lately either. Better that I don't try to make something that isn't there.
If I have time at one of the airports / heliports, I will put my Wednesday together and post it, as I will be in limbo that whole day.
BOL to all on the Tuesday bases!!