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#1
Wednesday 3-2: Had potential for a huge day after a 2-0 start in the morning plays, but it wasn't meant to be. I am happy that it was a profitable day and I was able to put a stop a mini 2 day skid. The last 10 days have been good for me, this was the #8 day I was able to turn a profit. Hopefully the rest of the week and the near future produce similar results. I have really stepped up the amount of hours I've been researching lately and it's paid off.
26-19 Last 45 (57%)
Season: 123-129-3
ML: 70-70
RL: 15-12
Totals: 28-34-2
Props: 10-13-1
Reds RL (+105): The Reds enter this contest on an remarkable run winners in 12 of 13 games, they have also have gone 19-3 in the last 22 games. During that stretch the Reds have covered the RL 14 times in there 19 wins, that comes to a very juice 73%. The chances of them improving on that % is very likely in Thursday's series finale. The Reds will be sending there ace Johnny Cueto to the mound in the final game of the 4 game set vs. the Padres. Mr. Cueto has really enjoyed pitching at home in front of the Reds faithful, he has gone 7-1 with an era of 1.94. Mr. Cueto also really loves to pitch during the day. He enters this contest undefeated, 8-0 with a 1.36 era during day games. It should also be noted Johnny Cueto hasn't allowed a home run in 11 straight starts. He must wake up, eat his Wheaties and get to the ball park nice and early to deliver these kinda gems. The Padres will be countering with there reliever turned into starter Ross Ohlendorf. On the season Ohlendorf is 3-1 but has an era of 5.01. These numbers would be a little higher if he didn't have the benefit of playing at pitchers park Petco. Unfortunately for him, this game will be played at a hitters park Citizen Field in Cincy. When taken out of his natural habit, Ohlendorf has struggled. He enters this game with a 6.43 era on the road with a combination of that being in relive duty and starting duty. Both teams are about middle of the pack vs right handed pitching, with the Padres haven't a slight edge, but Cueto vs. Ohlendorf more then makes up for that. The Reds will have the advantage in the bullpen. Bradon Phillips will be back in the line up after a rest day, Ryan Ludwick will look to continue his torrid past (14-32) .437 average, 4 home runs, 13 RBIS in his last 9 games. The Padres will be w/o there star catcher Yasmani Grandal who was placed on the 15 day DL today. That's a huge missing piece for a team that relies on every person in the line up contributing to score runs. I think the Padres are gonna struggle to score runs in this one vs. Cueto's home and day dominating numbers. The Reds should cruise here and cover the RL w/ relative ease.
Giants ML (-129): As a die hard Giants fan, I know my team very well. I haven't touched a game they have been involved in since Pablo Sandoval went down with injury. I have even thrown out my 2 cents and agreed with lots of good cappers on here who have picked good spots to fade the Giants. That being said, it's time to jump back on this team. It's all about picking your spots and this is one of those spots. Let's start with the pitching match up. The Giants will be sending Barry Zito to the hill to face off against Chris Young. I honestly feel Zito is one of those guys, you either love him or hate him. He hasn't been able to "wow" anybody for quite some time, but his numbers aren't bad. On the year he is 8-7 with a 3.89 era. Despite a poor showing against LA in his last outing, he is 1-1 with a 3.26 era in his last 3 outings. Zito will have an advantage being a south paw facing off against a Mets team that haven't been hitting lefties, they are batting just .205 in there last 10 games vs lefties. Zito has an era in the 3s lifetime vs the Mets, to go along with good career numbers vs the offensive threats of the Mets. David Wright is 4-15 0 homers, 1 double, 1 RBI, Scott Hairston is 7-29 with 1 home run, Jason Bay is 3-10, Daniel Murphy is 0-3, Ike Davis is 0-6, lots of Mets have very limited experience vs Zito. This will also give him the upper hand navigating through the line up the first few times. On the other side of the hill the Mets will be sending Chris Young to the mound. On the year Chris is 2-5 with a 4.58 era. In his most recent outings he is 0-2 with 5.79 era. He has struggled all year on the road, despite a 2-3 record his era is 5.70. Entering this game Young is winless during day starts 0-3 with a 5.50 era. He has allowed a home run in 5 straight starts, and in 6 of his last 7 starts including a multiple home run game. At first glance, you might not think Zito has that big of an advantage of Young, but heading into this day contest in SF, he really does. The Giants will also have the upper hand in the batting line up. The addition of the right handed batter Hunter Pence will make Cabrera and Posey even better. I realize I am Giants fan, but like I said, I truly pick my spots with my team, and this is my 1st bet I am making on them since Pablo Sandovals injury. I fully expect the Giants to come out flying in front of the home crowd in this one and get a big win
The rest of Thursday's card doesn't look appealing at all, it honestly reminds me a lot like Monday's crappy/tough card. I may have an afternoon play, but right now I am leaning towards these 2 plays being the only thing I touch on Thursday. As always, best of luck!!!
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26-19 Last 45 (57%)
Season: 123-129-3
ML: 70-70
RL: 15-12
Totals: 28-34-2
Props: 10-13-1
Thursday Bases
Reds RL (+105): The Reds enter this contest on an remarkable run winners in 12 of 13 games, they have also have gone 19-3 in the last 22 games. During that stretch the Reds have covered the RL 14 times in there 19 wins, that comes to a very juice 73%. The chances of them improving on that % is very likely in Thursday's series finale. The Reds will be sending there ace Johnny Cueto to the mound in the final game of the 4 game set vs. the Padres. Mr. Cueto has really enjoyed pitching at home in front of the Reds faithful, he has gone 7-1 with an era of 1.94. Mr. Cueto also really loves to pitch during the day. He enters this contest undefeated, 8-0 with a 1.36 era during day games. It should also be noted Johnny Cueto hasn't allowed a home run in 11 straight starts. He must wake up, eat his Wheaties and get to the ball park nice and early to deliver these kinda gems. The Padres will be countering with there reliever turned into starter Ross Ohlendorf. On the season Ohlendorf is 3-1 but has an era of 5.01. These numbers would be a little higher if he didn't have the benefit of playing at pitchers park Petco. Unfortunately for him, this game will be played at a hitters park Citizen Field in Cincy. When taken out of his natural habit, Ohlendorf has struggled. He enters this game with a 6.43 era on the road with a combination of that being in relive duty and starting duty. Both teams are about middle of the pack vs right handed pitching, with the Padres haven't a slight edge, but Cueto vs. Ohlendorf more then makes up for that. The Reds will have the advantage in the bullpen. Bradon Phillips will be back in the line up after a rest day, Ryan Ludwick will look to continue his torrid past (14-32) .437 average, 4 home runs, 13 RBIS in his last 9 games. The Padres will be w/o there star catcher Yasmani Grandal who was placed on the 15 day DL today. That's a huge missing piece for a team that relies on every person in the line up contributing to score runs. I think the Padres are gonna struggle to score runs in this one vs. Cueto's home and day dominating numbers. The Reds should cruise here and cover the RL w/ relative ease.
Giants ML (-129): As a die hard Giants fan, I know my team very well. I haven't touched a game they have been involved in since Pablo Sandoval went down with injury. I have even thrown out my 2 cents and agreed with lots of good cappers on here who have picked good spots to fade the Giants. That being said, it's time to jump back on this team. It's all about picking your spots and this is one of those spots. Let's start with the pitching match up. The Giants will be sending Barry Zito to the hill to face off against Chris Young. I honestly feel Zito is one of those guys, you either love him or hate him. He hasn't been able to "wow" anybody for quite some time, but his numbers aren't bad. On the year he is 8-7 with a 3.89 era. Despite a poor showing against LA in his last outing, he is 1-1 with a 3.26 era in his last 3 outings. Zito will have an advantage being a south paw facing off against a Mets team that haven't been hitting lefties, they are batting just .205 in there last 10 games vs lefties. Zito has an era in the 3s lifetime vs the Mets, to go along with good career numbers vs the offensive threats of the Mets. David Wright is 4-15 0 homers, 1 double, 1 RBI, Scott Hairston is 7-29 with 1 home run, Jason Bay is 3-10, Daniel Murphy is 0-3, Ike Davis is 0-6, lots of Mets have very limited experience vs Zito. This will also give him the upper hand navigating through the line up the first few times. On the other side of the hill the Mets will be sending Chris Young to the mound. On the year Chris is 2-5 with a 4.58 era. In his most recent outings he is 0-2 with 5.79 era. He has struggled all year on the road, despite a 2-3 record his era is 5.70. Entering this game Young is winless during day starts 0-3 with a 5.50 era. He has allowed a home run in 5 straight starts, and in 6 of his last 7 starts including a multiple home run game. At first glance, you might not think Zito has that big of an advantage of Young, but heading into this day contest in SF, he really does. The Giants will also have the upper hand in the batting line up. The addition of the right handed batter Hunter Pence will make Cabrera and Posey even better. I realize I am Giants fan, but like I said, I truly pick my spots with my team, and this is my 1st bet I am making on them since Pablo Sandovals injury. I fully expect the Giants to come out flying in front of the home crowd in this one and get a big win
The rest of Thursday's card doesn't look appealing at all, it honestly reminds me a lot like Monday's crappy/tough card. I may have an afternoon play, but right now I am leaning towards these 2 plays being the only thing I touch on Thursday. As always, best of luck!!!
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