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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: 7/31 - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#1 Posted: 7/30/2012 10:31:48 PM 7-31
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js4u	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 618 Location:	#2 Posted: 7/30/2012 10:57:03 PM Any leans or plays that are locked in?
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js4u	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 618 Location:	#3 Posted: 7/30/2012 10:57:19 PM
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WinSeeker	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: May 2012 Posts: 1783 Location: California	#4 Posted: 7/30/2012 11:01:04 PM Thanks for always working to find us the diamond in the rough!!!!
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Jmt908	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2009 Posts: 2106 Location: Maryland	#5 Posted: 7/30/2012 11:09:26 PM arizona?
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IGotPaypas	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 39 Location: Louisiana	#6 Posted: 7/30/2012 11:26:38 PM Not much jumping out from those sheets. All I see is Yankees RL and Arizona ML
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just2nice4u	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Sep 2009 Posts: 413 Location:	#7 Posted: 7/30/2012 11:29:35 PM enjoy your breakdown sheets... i think ima take yanks and yanks -1.5 also leaning towards zona over 7 whats your opinion?
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Junior316	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: May 2012 Posts: 128 Location: Canada	#8 Posted: 7/30/2012 11:33:09 PM Good stuff man appreciate the work you put into these, but just one question. What key things should I be looking for on your sheets? I already look for winning % and hitting rankings against lefties or righties but are there other key parts of the sheets I should be aware of too?
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kikkoman10	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2010 Posts: 45 Location:	#9 Posted: 7/30/2012 11:36:25 PM
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Xcountry	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Dec 2011 Posts: 174 Location:	#10 Posted: 7/31/2012 12:06:29 AM si1ly cant thank you enough for your sheets!! Very helpful tool! I didn't listen to you tonight for the first time and lost a good bit!! Your style is a tad bit cautious (for the sake of gambling) but that's why your up and I'm not!!! Keep it up bro! Your definitely one of the better cappers on this site!
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VietBlonde	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Mar 2010 Posts: 681 Location: California	#11 Posted: 7/31/2012 12:10:13 AM THANK YOU for sharing MASTER si1ly!!! Yes, you are THE BEST CAPPER FOR MLB!!!
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Pasteur	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 1887 Location: North Carolina	#12 Posted: 7/31/2012 12:27:51 AM Thanks si1ly! Have my list of 10 leans. Just curious, how many leans do you typically generate after your first pass over the sheet data?
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BIGCAT_LSU	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Jun 2012 Posts: 665 Location: Louisiana	#13 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:02:09 AM Please let me know if I am reading your sheets right. Leans Mil, det, kc, nyy,cws, phil/waqsh under? Thanks for the help.
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tstove	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Feb 2011 Posts: 883 Location: Pennsylvania	#14 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:03:47 AM thank you.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#15 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:05:05 AM Locked in: 7:05 EST - New York Yankees -1 (-125)
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#16 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:06:18 AM Also really liking Arizona and the Over tomorrow. Trying to figure out the best way to attack that game.
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904HotPlay	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Dec 2010 Posts: 2709 Location: Florida	#17 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:09:33 AM si1ly yanks ml what u think even tho its kinda pricy..?
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#18 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:11:03 AM Right now I think the first 5 over in Los Angeles is the best play. The Dodgers have a number of strong righties in the line-up now that Ramirez is in the line-up and they've already done well this season against lefty starters as far as W/L goes. They also seen Miley twice on the season. On the other hand, Arizona ranks #1 against lefties in my offensive power rankings. Capuano has shown declining numbers in every month and I expect his regression to continue against the Diamondbacks who have already seen him twice and taken him for 13 hits in 11 innings so far. This is a big game for both teams and I think it's very likely that somebody jumps out early. If the total for the first 5 is 3.5, I think over is the play.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#19 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:15:52 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Pasteur: Thanks si1ly! Have my list of 10 leans. Just curious, how many leans do you typically generate after your first pass over the sheet data? If there are 15 games on the card, at this point in the season the lines are usually so tight that I've got between 4-6 leans and I'll narrow that quickly down to 1-3. Earlier in the year when the lines are looser I'll probably have between 5-8 leans and narrow it down to 2-4.
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rajvora	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Jul 2009 Posts: 9 Location:	#20 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:19:11 AM Hey silly thanks for all your hard work on these sheets...do u mind giving the best way to read the sheets to determine who you are going to select or not select...if it is too dumb of a question i understand if you don't want to explain it, but would appreciate it if you would
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dumped97	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2007 Posts: 877 Location: Ontario	#21 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:21:16 AM can someone explain the -1 line because the calculator i use when i enter the desired wager amount of $3000 it tells me $2455 ML $1395 RL this is more then the desired wager so I am confused. Thanks
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Pasteur	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 1887 Location: North Carolina	#22 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:24:08 AM Given J. Marquis success vs. RH batters and CIN has almost all RH batters, the under 8.5 in Cincy is on my short list. MIL TT Over also looks tasty...
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sportschat	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: May 2009 Posts: 2445 Location: Delaware	#23 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:27:52 AM like the brewers TT also
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#24 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:33:38 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by dumped97: can someone explain the -1 line because the calculator i use when i enter the desired wager amount of $3000 it tells me $2455 ML $1395 RL this is more then the desired wager so I am confused. Thanks Desired wager = the amount you want to win. 3850 to win 3000 sounds about right. That's a moneyline of -128
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Pasteur	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2012 Posts: 1887 Location: North Carolina	#25 Posted: 7/31/2012 1:35:42 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly: If there are 15 games on the card, at this point in the season the lines are usually so tight that I've got between 4-6 leans and I'll narrow that quickly down to 1-3. Earlier in the year when the lines are looser I'll probably have between 5-8 leans and narrow it down to 2-4. Sounds like you're much better at the narrow down process than I am. It's my achilles heel...I seem to fall in love with my leans list.
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