Posted: 7/17/2012 6:00:16 PM
Good Afternoon, All!
Though it might not seem like it 'cause
two of my selections lost (I knew I shouldn't be giving out games!),
I did quite well yesterday, as you can see from Covers' daily record.
Would be much higher if Ax hadn't blown it for kid pitcher Fiers of
Brewers. Could have been death knell for Milwaukee.
I think you'll find the following
interesting. I tried to cut down from my book length post of
yesterday. I'm a writer, and I know “Less is more” in writing!
Well, now I go and try to win a million by picking all 15 winners in
MLB.com's contest. (Yeah, I know: I have a better chance of ScarJo
buying me a drink!
--Marlins will face red-hot Chicago
left-hander Travis Wood, who has won his last four starts. Wood will
oppose Florida’s Anibal Sanchez, who has won only twice in his last
12 starts. Chicago is 4-0 in Wood’s last four starts (three as
underdog) and the lefty has produced a quality start in six of his
last seven trips to the bump.
--The Cardinals are scheduled to turn
Kelly (1-1, 2.70 ERA), who hasn't allowed more than three runs in
any of his six starts since being recalled from Triple-A Memphis last
month. The Brewers are scheduled to give the ball to Randy
Wolf (2-6, 5.80), who hasn't won since beating San Diego on April
30. He's 0-4 with a 5.42 ERA in 13 games -- 12 starts -- since that
victory. The left-hander has been particularly bad over his last four
starts, compiling an 8.34 ERA while yielding seven homers in 22 2/3
--Oakland seeks to improve to 10-1 this
month while Bartolo
Colon looks to continue his dominance of visiting Texas in the
opener of a two-game set Tuesday night. The right-hander's 18 wins
over Texas are his most versus any team. He allowed five hits in
eight innings of a 2-0 win over the Rangers on June 6, improving to
13-1 with a 2.98 ERA in his last 15 starts against them.
had a bounce-back outing his last time out, and he'll look to build
on that effort Tuesday.Oswalt (2-1, 6.26) gave up one run in 5 2/3
innings of a 4-3, 13-inning win over Minnesota on July 8 -- five days
after allowing a career-high 11 runs in a 19-2 loss to the White Sox.
Oakland 12 of 13 at home versus
--With the rest of the Pirates’
rotation 27-14, Bedard is the weakest link. He has allowed 14 runs
(13 earned) and 20 hits in 14 1/3 innings over his last three starts.
Bedard is 2-7 with a 6.60 ERA in nine road starts this season and
has lost his last five outings on the road.
--Opposing hurler a tad better, which
isn't saying much. Since the Rockies began using a four-man rotation
on June 19, Friedrich is 1-3 with a 5.61 ERA in five starts. He has
allowed 16 runs, 31 hits, walked five and struck out 31 in 25 2/3
innings during that span.
--Reds 10 and 1 in Cueto's last 11 home
--CWS' Humber posted a 7.47 ERA in 10
starts before the disabled list stint, with the worst coming against
the Red Sox on April 26. Probably why BoSox are -176, BUT Red Sox
are 1-9 in Lesters last 10 home starts vs. a team with a winning
record. (I'm taking CWS on a flyer.)
--Braves' Jurrjens impressed in four
starts following a two-month minor-league stint to fix his mechanics.
The right-hander is 3-0 with a 2.13 ERA since returning from the
minors, allowing only one homer in 25 1/3 innings. Braves are 7 and
0 last 7, and 7 and 1 last 8 Jurrjens' home starts vs. team with a
winning record. (All probable reasons why Braves -142 vs. division
--Tampa Bay's Moore has walked 14 and
struck out 17 in his last four outings after walking nine and
striking out 31 in his previous four games. Tampa Bay is 0-4 against
the American League Central in games started by Moore. And Rays are
2-10 in their last 12 games as a favorite. Yet TB -152 today.
--Astros' Lyles, who gave up two runs
over seven innings against Milwaukee in his final start before the
All-Star break, has a 6.67 ERA in six road outings. Padres' Ohlendorf
is 0-6 with a 6.43 ERA in 12 career appearances (10 starts) against
Houston. Ohlendorf’s last two appearances have come in relief, with
his last start coming on June 25 against the Astros when he gave up
five runs over 3 2/3 innings.
And the Over/Under in this one is only 7, despite the spacious San
Speaking of totals, here are two
possible Overs if, unlike most of us, you have some discretionary
money to blow:
--Over SF/Atlanta. San Francisco 15
and 3 Over this season on a road game coming after a home win.
Philly/LA. Philly 33 and 13 Over this season when playing a team
with a winning record. (Negative: Halladay returning for Phillies;
Positive: Barney Fife relative on the bump for Dodgers.)