7/7/12 Oakland Athletics Seattle Mariners Review

Seattle Mariners: (+140) Jason Vargas (L)
Oakland Athletics: (-160) Jarrod Parker (R)
Over/Under: 6.5

JASON VARGAS (L) ERA: 4.31 W/L: 7-7
Last 3 games:
Loss 1-2 against Boston, Under hit and Vargas pitched 8 innings
Win against Oakland 3-2 under hit pitched 6 (2/3) innings
Loss against Arizona 10-14 over hit pitched 4 (1/3) innings

JARROD PARKER (R) ERA: 2.47 W/L: 5-3
Last 3 games:
Win against Boston 6-1 game went under Parker pitched 6 (2/3) innings.
Win against Seattle 2-1, 7 innings under
Loss San Fran, 4-5 over 6 IP

BULLPENS:
Seattle Mariners's relievers have pitched 11 innings in the last 3 games. Their bull pen has had a 3.19 ERA averaging 1.04 WHIP and a 37:27 GB:FB ratio which suggests a lower SLG % for the opposing team.

Oakland Athletics's relievers have pitched 10 innings in the last 3 games. OAK bullpen has a .82 ERA with .82 WHIP and 12:22 GB:FB ratio.

Mariners hit .226 BA against Right-handed pitches .295 OBP and averaging 5.1 strikeouts per outing.

Athletics have a .221 BA against Leftys this year, .286 OBP and getting struck out 2.7 times per game.

Betting Trends
Seattle is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Seattle Under 11 of their last 13 games
Total has goneUNDER 6 of the last 7 games vs. oakland
SEA is 3-6 when playin on road vs oakland
Oak is 5-0 last 5 games
UNDER 5 of the last 5 games
UNDER 5 of the last 5 games at home

Over / Under
OVR 6.5	57.4%
UND 6.5	42.6%

Money Line
Seattle Mariners +137	28.0%
Oakland Athletics -146	71.9%

Athletics\' starter Jarrod Parker is forecasted to have a better game than Mariners\' starter Jason Vargas. Jarrod Parker has a 71% chance of having a Quality Start (QS) while Jason Vargas has a 46% chance of a QS.

oakland Athletics is favored for trends according to the current season and first 6 to 8 weeks.

OVER-UNDER TRENDS: This game is trending Under

Jason Vargas has gone over in 44% (8/18) of his starts
Parker has gone over 46% (6/13) of his starts.

Think I am going to have to lean towards the under even if it is ridiculous low.

I also will be considering taking Oakland -160 will update my card when I decide what I am going to do.

Where is the site you get your stats from?  Do you arrange it that way or is there a site that has the info. already in this form ?

Like the under

Good Info, thanks

gl

I get my info from a collection of websites, probably around 4-5, and I arranged it this was this time, normally i do not do this but I realize I can see it better as well as help others and it only took around 30 minutes which I would have put in either way.

Took the under big for $200 and also have them in a parlay with the PHI under of 9, whose riding with me on this one???

BOL to alll!!!

Nice write-up.  you know where I stand on this game

I'm feeling Oakland more then the under in this game.  Not to say the under is a bad play but, you do have a total of 6 1/2 in a AL game which will be tough either way.  I just feel that the A's have been playing some good ball at home of late and riding them to a win is safer I guess then playing a small total IMO.  10-3 at home in their last 13 along with sweeping the Dodgers and Boston.  4 game win streak as well.  Ride that bitch to the wheels fall off!!!! Ya dig!!!.

Also J. Vargas could be the Mariners biggest trade chip that they are willing to give up to get back the most to any player they have at the moment.  Now, he could go either way IMO with the way he pitches, knowing he's probably going to get dealt.  I see a great start or a horrible start not something in the middle jmo.

oak down to -134

Hotshots you may be right, I am leaning towards OAk pretty hard right now and I have been watching the line slowly decrease, I will most likely make a play on them once it gets closer to game time, but you make some great points. I dont like the 6.5 line but have to take the under after the stats i found. BOL to all!!!

Lay off Oakland straight up. Not worthy of juice. Lefties are a real severe problem and that is why the total is so darn low.
BOL

Thanks key how do you feel about the under? I know 6.5 is really low but I feel it should hit I can hedge it down though as well if Philly game/washingto game stays under.