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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: 6/25 - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:33:29 AM


6-25





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#2
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:36:47 AM
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#3
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:38:55 AM
Thanks for the files! 
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#4
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:41:02 AM
I don't understand the Mets or Cardinals lines.  Where's Tone?   
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#5
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:41:07 AM
Mets looking nice today.
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#6
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:42:23 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

I don't understand the Mets or Cardinals lines.  Where's Tone?   

I can see the cubs pulling one off very similar to sf line yesterday...
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#7
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:43:56 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by utfootball4:


I can see the cubs pulling one off very similar to sf line yesterday...

Same with the fish.
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#8
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:46:48 AM
Have you kept track of your leans? Seems like they hit at a high rate too bad you're so disciplined and selective.
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#9
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:48:40 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


Same with the fish.


Any early leans?
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#10
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:49:40 AM
Like the Cards team total over 4.5

Roof should be closed as well.
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#11
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:50:48 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Kaka123:

Have you kept track of your leans? Seems like they hit at a high rate too bad you're so disciplined and selective.

No I have enough to keep track of.  I just have a good grasp on this sport.  For some reason it just makes a hell of a lot of sense to me.  I wish I had this sort of confidence in the NFL and NBA.
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#12
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:50:51 AM
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#13
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:51:27 AM
I know the Marlins starting hitting the ball yesterday but that was against a reliever making his first start and the rest of the Jays terrible pen
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#14
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:52:04 AM
Well, the Mets are 10-16 against lefties and 16-17 on the road.  I know the Cubs are 3-16 against lefties but teams always have a shot at home.  That line makes sense to me.  I'm not sure about the Cards.  They should be a bigger favorite even if Westbrook is an average pitcher.
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#15
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:52:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DanTos8715:

Like the Cards team total over 4.5

Roof should be closed as well.

I like the over in this game.  Westbrook not great on the road and he's a contact pitcher with the 25th ranked fielding team behind him.  Mets have a lot of decent contact hitters and their home field has been very hitter friendly in it's short lifespan.  This has the makings of a 6-5 game.
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#16
Posted: 6/25/2012 10:59:31 AM
Im confused. I'm seeing Westbrook's numbers as being better on the road
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#17
Posted: 6/25/2012 11:02:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align:

Im confused. I'm seeing Westbrook's numbers as being better on the road

Westbrook's career FIP is 4.4 and xFIP 4.0 
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#18
Posted: 6/25/2012 11:03:12 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

I don't understand the Mets or Cardinals lines.  Where's Tone?   


Tone10 got the Marlins +105 on the overnight line.
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#19
Posted: 6/25/2012 11:03:37 AM
oh.. for career.  I'm looking at this season 
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#20
Posted: 6/25/2012 11:04:07 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:

I don't understand the Mets or Cardinals lines.  Where's Tone?   

I was going to ask you the same thing. Such a huge discrepancy. Seems like a slam dunk to pick these 2 games but I know something isn't right. 

The Bos, Hou, and Phi games seem right in line with value and juice amount  
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#21
Posted: 6/25/2012 11:05:40 AM
Westbrook coming off a CG, 1 ER performance in DET.  Maybe he threw a ton of pitches or something
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#22
Posted: 6/25/2012 11:07:03 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly:


I like the over in this game.  Westbrook not great on the road and he's a contact pitcher with the 25th ranked fielding team behind him.  Mets have a lot of decent contact hitters and their home field has been very hitter friendly in it's short lifespan.  This has the makings of a 6-5 game.


I'm not a Westbrook fan but it's not fair to say he's not great on the road.  He's actually been very good this year on the road so far with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.174 WHIP.  The team is only 3-4 in those games so yeah, they're not getting the job done but it's not his fault.
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#23
Posted: 6/25/2012 11:12:42 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by eyemtlaw:


I was going to ask you the same thing. Such a huge discrepancy. Seems like a slam dunk to pick these 2 games but I know something isn't right. 

The Bos, Hou, and Phi games seem right in line with value and juice amount  

I'm on Philadelphia -140

Passing on Houston

How does Boston react after the trade?  Might be best to take a day off of backing them
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#24
Posted: 6/25/2012 11:21:23 AM
I see some value on milw as well..guess you are passing on Houston because of limited numbers on padre pitcher? 
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#25
Posted: 6/25/2012 11:23:14 AM
Houston should be a nice play tonight...
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