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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: 6/25 - MLB Breakdown Sheets
si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#1 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:33:29 AM 6-25
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5t4r5align	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 9293 Location: Virginia	#2 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:36:47 AM
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Paidonjok	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: bet365 \|
Captain Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 7986 Location:	#3 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:38:55 AM Thanks for the files!
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#4 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:41:02 AM I don't understand the Mets or Cardinals lines. Where's Tone?
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Kaka123	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2011 Posts: 2404 Location:	#5 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:41:07 AM Mets looking nice today.
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utfootball4	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 16188 Location: North Carolina	#6 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:42:23 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly: I don't understand the Mets or Cardinals lines. Where's Tone? I can see the cubs pulling one off very similar to sf line yesterday...
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#7 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:43:56 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by utfootball4: I can see the cubs pulling one off very similar to sf line yesterday... Same with the fish.
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Kaka123	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jul 2011 Posts: 2404 Location:	#8 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:46:48 AM Have you kept track of your leans? Seems like they hit at a high rate too bad you're so disciplined and selective.
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utfootball4	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 16188 Location: North Carolina	#9 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:48:40 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly: Same with the fish. Any early leans?
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DanTos8715	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Captain Joined: Sep 2009 Posts: 8372 Location: Michigan	#10 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:49:40 AM Like the Cards team total over 4.5 Roof should be closed as well.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#11 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:50:48 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Kaka123: Have you kept track of your leans? Seems like they hit at a high rate too bad you're so disciplined and selective. No I have enough to keep track of. I just have a good grasp on this sport. For some reason it just makes a hell of a lot of sense to me. I wish I had this sort of confidence in the NFL and NBA.
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LoserNation	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Nov 2007 Posts: 3547 Location: Missouri	#12 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:50:51 AM
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5t4r5align	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 9293 Location: Virginia	#13 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:51:27 AM I know the Marlins starting hitting the ball yesterday but that was against a reliever making his first start and the rest of the Jays terrible pen
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sicknesscity	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 666 Location: United States	#14 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:52:04 AM Well, the Mets are 10-16 against lefties and 16-17 on the road. I know the Cubs are 3-16 against lefties but teams always have a shot at home. That line makes sense to me. I'm not sure about the Cards. They should be a bigger favorite even if Westbrook is an average pitcher.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#15 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:52:12 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by DanTos8715: Like the Cards team total over 4.5 Roof should be closed as well. I like the over in this game. Westbrook not great on the road and he's a contact pitcher with the 25th ranked fielding team behind him. Mets have a lot of decent contact hitters and their home field has been very hitter friendly in it's short lifespan. This has the makings of a 6-5 game.
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5t4r5align	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 9293 Location: Virginia	#16 Posted: 6/25/2012 10:59:31 AM Im confused. I'm seeing Westbrook's numbers as being better on the road
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#17 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:02:16 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by 5t4r5align: Im confused. I'm seeing Westbrook's numbers as being better on the road Westbrook's career FIP is 4.4 and xFIP 4.0
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kimoinsd808	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2008 Posts: 3105 Location:	#18 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:03:12 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly: I don't understand the Mets or Cardinals lines. Where's Tone? Tone10 got the Marlins +105 on the overnight line.
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5t4r5align	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 9293 Location: Virginia	#19 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:03:37 AM oh.. for career. I'm looking at this season
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eyemtlaw	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Jan 2011 Posts: 1266 Location: California	#20 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:04:07 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly: I don't understand the Mets or Cardinals lines. Where's Tone? I was going to ask you the same thing. Such a huge discrepancy. Seems like a slam dunk to pick these 2 games but I know something isn't right. The Bos, Hou, and Phi games seem right in line with value and juice amount
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5t4r5align	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2011 Posts: 9293 Location: Virginia	#21 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:05:40 AM Westbrook coming off a CG, 1 ER performance in DET. Maybe he threw a ton of pitches or something
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sicknesscity	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Rookie Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 666 Location: United States	#22 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:07:03 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by si1ly: I like the over in this game. Westbrook not great on the road and he's a contact pitcher with the 25th ranked fielding team behind him. Mets have a lot of decent contact hitters and their home field has been very hitter friendly in it's short lifespan. This has the makings of a 6-5 game. I'm not a Westbrook fan but it's not fair to say he's not great on the road. He's actually been very good this year on the road so far with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.174 WHIP. The team is only 3-4 in those games so yeah, they're not getting the job done but it's not his fault.
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si1ly	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Banned Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 12061 Location: Florida	#23 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:12:42 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by eyemtlaw: I was going to ask you the same thing. Such a huge discrepancy. Seems like a slam dunk to pick these 2 games but I know something isn't right. The Bos, Hou, and Phi games seem right in line with value and juice amount I'm on Philadelphia -140 Passing on Houston How does Boston react after the trade? Might be best to take a day off of backing them
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whisperman	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Mar 2009 Posts: 364 Location:	#24 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:21:23 AM I see some value on milw as well..guess you are passing on Houston because of limited numbers on padre pitcher?
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utfootball4	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: Jan 2012 Posts: 16188 Location: North Carolina	#25 Posted: 6/25/2012 11:23:14 AM Houston should be a nice play tonight...
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