Messages

Overall : 101-83-1 +253.99 units

Favorites : 15-12-0 +1.37 units

Run Lines : 11-15-0 (14.90 units)

Underdogs : 30-22-0 +148.72 units

Alt RL : 1-0-0 +7.20 units

Totals : 44-32-1 +125.60 units

Props : 0-2-0 (14.00 units)

Detroit Tigers +105 (10 units to win 10.50)

If Kyle Lohse is not on your radar as a SP to fade just yet, he should make his way to that list soon.  He danced this dance last year, starting off 7-2 in the month of April and May before hitting some bumps in June and July.  He's managed to hold form through the first half of June, but it would be only natural to see some regression from him in the not so distant future.  I'll take a shot that today is one of those days with + money on a team still looking to find their way.  The Tigers are sniffing the .500 mark and have scored at least 4 runs in 10 of their last 13 games.  Always a dangeroud lineup to navigate and if my read on Lohse is accurate we shouldn't need dominance from the young Jacob Turner

Damn you!  I KNEW you were going to bring that garbage.

Crap. May decrease my Cards wger no but can't back this Turner kid...or can I.

GL

switchwalk - thanks buddy

cowboydave - trust your gut, I usually fall on my face after a solid night. Backing Turner scares me a bit, but trusting the stats.

GiLmo - you read my mind,  That under post is coming up shortly and it's all bout Kershaw

Los Angeles / Oakland UNDER 6.5 (15 units to win 13.64)

Los Angeles Dodgers -155 (25 units to win 16.13)

All of the above comes down to full backing of Clayton Kershaw.  I'm not thrilled to be backing a weak Dodgers offense on the road, but I think Kershaw will be so good this afternoon that I'm willing to take a shot.  Since 2010, Kershaw is 5-1 with a 2.09 ERA and 0.87 WHIP in starts following ones where he allowed 4 earned runs or more.  In these 14 starts, he has allowed more than 2 earned runs only three times.  On top of this, in his career, Kershaw is 4-2 with a 1.74 ERA and 0.93 WHIP in starts following ones where he allowed 2 or more home runs.  In these 8 starts, he has allowed more than 2 earned runs only once and has only yielded one HR in 57 innings. 

The A's are hitting the ball well lately, going 7-1 in their last 8 games, but the entrees they were feasting on over this span are not quite up to snuff of what they will see today - Guthrie, Outman, White, Bass, Ohlendorf, Richard, Harang and Eovaldi.  I trust Kershaw when he says the injury has no impact on his pitching and I'll prove my faith by diving in big on this one.