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Author:	[MLB Betting] Topic: Lets talk baseball, what are the winners for Tuesday?
EastOakland	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 3560 Location: California	#1 Posted: 6/12/2012 3:24:41 AM Right now I really like Arizona and Pittsburgh. Kinda paranoid about Pittsburgh because Lincoln isnt a full game pitcher which he showed last outing. At first glane I liked CHW, but now I feel completely opposite. I like for the #1 offense to bounce back at home and absolutely crush Quintana. Too much juice on that game, I would have to do -1/2 1st 5 Innings or RL. I'm going to look into Boston because at first glance I like the way Buchholez is pitching lately. I also like Under 6.5 in Giants game depending on if Melky Cabrera is in the line up and the wind factor. I see that being a 2-1, 3-1 game.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#2 Posted: 6/12/2012 3:29:51 AM Wow, just telling 2 other people those are my early leans on dogs. Go with Yanks, Brewers, and Tigers tomorrow.
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EastOakland	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 3560 Location: California	#3 Posted: 6/12/2012 3:37:13 AM Yanks have too much juice and Im waiting for Minor to finally come around. I also never bet CC because sometimes he gets rocked for 5 runs and Yanks cant score to win. Also with Chipper in the line up they will not lose two in a row. I would say do not take them. Kinda like Brewers because KC is horrible and even worse on the road. Too much juice for me though bruh. You have to win too many games to make a profit betting those big dogs. Go 3-1 and only make a small profit. Detroit is a little better because they are much less juice. Is Sherzer comming off the DL?
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#4 Posted: 6/12/2012 3:42:22 AM Max wasn't on the DL he just hasn't been as effective. Cubs are probably going to have problems with him, even though he is about as inconsistent as you can get. Plus Austin Jackson is back for Detroit, which is huge. Detroit will put up some runs against us. I understand the juice, but I am parlaying some of those games.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#5 Posted: 6/12/2012 3:45:59 AM I am hoping Grienke pitches what he is capable of and doesn't have a Beckett like effort tomorrow. KC bats have never really woken up still, even though they have the potential to. I am not really worried about the Yanks. It's almost the same situation as yesterday. If they are patient, they will cream Minor. If you want less juice on that I am not opposed to the RL. I doubt, however, that the Braves are going to win that game.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#6 Posted: 6/12/2012 3:47:45 AM Also, as far as the Milwaukee bats go, I believe they will do just fine tomorrow. I have to do some research and look into a bit more detail at some stats to determine the best value games. Those 3 games are just the one's that jumped out at me as the highest chances of winning.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#7 Posted: 6/12/2012 3:49:57 AM Plus they even have less juice than the Cle/Cinci game where I could see the Reds losing.
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EastOakland	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 3560 Location: California	#8 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:07:37 AM Yeah, the thing is I think the highest dog that has the best chance of winning is Cardinals. They are going to wake up and kill Quintana who isnt a natural starting pictures. Also remember Grienke pitches absolutely horrible on the road thats why that line keeps moving in Brewers favor.
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EastOakland	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 3560 Location: California	#9 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:16:21 AM I think I am going to take Cards -1 or Cards -1/2. Chicago playing in a NL park will lead to some errors which will lead to runs. St Louis is the best offense in the NL. Chicago will start Adam Dunn in left field will be a funny sight to watch. Beltran is on fire, Freese and Furcal are slumping so I feel like they will wake up tomorrow. I want to see if Holliday is playing that will be a huge plus for me. Thats the only favorite I see has value tomorrow.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#10 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:17:00 AM I think that is a large misconception. His ERA is actually scewed from getting blown up only a few times. I checked back and in general, he really isn't that bad on the road. If you look over the games from last year, you'll understand what I'm saying. Couple that with the fact that KC isn't as much as a hitter's field as Miller Park and I think he should be fine.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#11 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:20:49 AM Very good point of the defensive area. White Sox offense still scares me, but I do understand where you are coming from. I wouldn't take the RL on them tomorrow though. If I had to lean towards a side, it would be STL. I wouldn't touch that game, however, unless they have their full lineup.
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Fuzzrod	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2011 Posts: 1750 Location: Canada	#12 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:21:36 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by EastOakland: Right now I really like Arizona and Pittsburgh. Kinda paranoid about Pittsburgh because Lincoln isnt a full game pitcher which he showed last outing. At first glane I liked CHW, but now I feel completely opposite. I like for the #1 offense to bounce back at home and absolutely crush Quintana. Too much juice on that game, I would have to do -1/2 1st 5 Innings or RL. I'm going to look into Boston because at first glance I like the way Buchholez is pitching lately. I also like Under 6.5 in Giants game depending on if Melky Cabrera is in the line up and the wind factor. I see that being a 2-1, 3-1 game. Dont bet on Pittsburgh man... Baltimore has this one... Chens a great young pitcher... Pittsburgh wont get anything done against him
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EastOakland	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 3560 Location: California	#13 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:27:38 AM I havent bet against the O's this year and have made good money off Chen, I know exactly who he is and what he is capable of. Pittsburgh is hot, Mccutchen is on absolute fire and this is a good chance for them to bat a full line up. Chen has pitched well at home though, that is what scares me. I think there is too much value in a 1st place team to pass it up.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#14 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:32:24 AM Agreed with everything you said there. Can't really think off the top of my head though who they will be adding to the lineup...
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#15 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:33:55 AM Wouldn't be contemplating Pit as much if Markakis was still around. I think Hardy might have a nice game tomorrow though and hope that Adam Jones could be kept in check a bit.
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EastOakland	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 3560 Location: California	#16 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:34:07 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by bettinbig5: Very good point of the defensive area. White Sox offense still scares me, but I do understand where you are coming from. I wouldn't take the RL on them tomorrow though. If I had to lean towards a side, it would be STL. I wouldn't touch that game, however, unless they have their full lineup. Even without Holliday, I am going to take the Cards -1. I feel like they are going to pound this guy mixed with a couple big mistakes on defense for CHW.
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EastOakland	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 3560 Location: California	#17 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:35:26 AM I like Arizona more than Pitt just because Ian Kennedy has pitched so well. The way the Rangers hit though will make it hard for me to bet against them. I really hate betting against this team. You can pitch a gem and still give up 1 homerun and lose the game.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#18 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:36:21 AM Anyone can pick extreme favs, but finding the value and getting it right at a high clip is the hard thing. Will have to look into this game and others before really coming to a concrete decision. I'm just kind of worn out from tonight's game a bit and it's getting late.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#19 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:39:23 AM Not really sure how that Ari/Tex game will work out and haven't looked into that one much yet either, however, that is a really nice line at +155 to back a capable ace and an offense that has been underperforming.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#20 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:43:51 AM Plus, I honestly trust Kennedy more than Lewis. Come to think of it (as far as the offense goes), there are not many better places to hit than Texas. That over still seems pretty high at 10 though. Don't know what I would do there.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#21 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:44:50 AM Cardinal's lineup is a great one, even without him. Just saying I would feel much more comfortable if he was there.
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EastOakland	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 3560 Location: California	#22 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:47:48 AM Colby Lewis gives up a lot of homeruns and Arizona is a team that swings for the fences more than anyone. I like their chances here thinking they will hit at least 2 bombs tomorrow. Arizona's offense came to life last series. Im thinking about taking them ML or +1.5 at -123
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#23 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:53:22 AM So with the basketball game, one of my wagers I teased the game with OKC and the over. Made it OKC -1 and over 190.5. It is basically $110 to win $100. I am absolutely convinced that the Thunder are taking this one, so I am liking the extra cushion it is providing me. Let's call this an insurance policy. I know you were on the under, but is 190.5 more to your liking?
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EastOakland	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Covers Rehab Joined: Feb 2012 Posts: 3560 Location: California	#24 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:54:36 AM Arizona will be fighting this game because they need to make a run before the all star break to catch Giants and Dodgers. Around this same time last year DBacks picked up a head of steam and starting winning and their offense was scoring big. Good hitting park for a homerun type team. The extra batter will help them like any other NL team that is used to the pitcher hitting which is a rally killer.
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bettinbig5	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: 5Dimes \|
Rookie Joined: Apr 2012 Posts: 682 Location: Arizona	#25 Posted: 6/12/2012 4:56:01 AM Perhaps you would want to do a prop bet then as well on total bases with whoever you feel has the best shot at crushing that HR for ARI?
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