6 and 1 yesterday, now that was FUN. Also parlayed some of these together, which returned a high rate on the investment. If I have a high confidence with picks, I do that from time to time, and also add some non posted plays close to game time to juice it up. The one Under loss I did not parlay, so not much damage done there. These are small percentage wins, so I don't loose much or get aggravated if they don't come in, but when they do, it make a good day great, like yesterday. And I add futures I like in them, to make the percentage of wager to return very sweat if the future hits. Wow, the line for the Kings to win the series with NJ went from 125 early in the day to 170 by night's end. So I have some plays from yesterday finishing with that future at 125 for a couple big winners, hope that hits. Kings are much better team offense and goalie than rangers, so this might be over in 5. On to today.
note: 12 out of the 15 games yesterday went over. I wish I had a chart for over unders day to day, going back ten seasons, percentage unders to overs. My guess is, obviously, as weather warms, overs increase. But also, as arms get "dead" about this time of year to some, helps overs, also I've noticed the umpire over under ratios from 2011 are out of whack so far for 2011 year to date, and will trend to their past seasons norms from now on, so I am starting to factor that into my system stats for a play or not, also helps decide on sides. Early season hamstrings and injuries from not being season ready out of spring training are healing, mostly bats, not arms - arms are less likely to be out of shape or injured than hitters and fielding issues, so big name and bench bats are returning to line ups and making a big difference in totals i.e. washington ants - check their game total last 30 days with now Zim back, Morse almost ready too, also i.e. phils are hitting now finally. Just like in a game, when a hitter has seen the pitcher, maybe for the first time, the third time, it is easier to hit. but when he has seen him now a few times, it is also easier to hit him, even the studs like verlander. My guess is there are more no hitters and perfect games pitched early season than late. Final thought on this. When a call up or bench guy gets at bats, more than he is expecting, he gets his timing down and confidence and it usually works out. Then the problem for the coach is what to do with him. This creates competition when the big name IR guy returns. Even if he is sent down or just rides the bench, he has his timing at the big league level down, has seen some pitchers, and will have a better offensive year than if the injuries had not happened. it creates depth now on offense, and plays into the totals all year favoring overs. Although i do play sides more than over unders, these trends are a major factor in choosing a side.
anybody that can share something on this would be appreciated.
yesterday was a high confidence, today I researched more time and found little to have high hopes in. These are very small plays.
New York Mets -134*vs San Diego Padres Tampa Bay Rays/Boston Red Sox Under 10½ -130* Baltimore Orioles -137*vs Kansas City Royals Pittsburgh Pirates -117*vs Chicago Cubs
parlay San Francisco Giants/Miami Marlins Over 6½ -160* Cincinnati Reds -180*vs Colorado Rockies
best of fortunes everyone.
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
6 and 1 yesterday, now that was FUN. Also parlayed some of these together, which returned a high rate on the investment. If I have a high confidence with picks, I do that from time to time, and also add some non posted plays close to game time to juice it up. The one Under loss I did not parlay, so not much damage done there. These are small percentage wins, so I don't loose much or get aggravated if they don't come in, but when they do, it make a good day great, like yesterday. And I add futures I like in them, to make the percentage of wager to return very sweat if the future hits. Wow, the line for the Kings to win the series with NJ went from 125 early in the day to 170 by night's end. So I have some plays from yesterday finishing with that future at 125 for a couple big winners, hope that hits. Kings are much better team offense and goalie than rangers, so this might be over in 5. On to today.
note: 12 out of the 15 games yesterday went over. I wish I had a chart for over unders day to day, going back ten seasons, percentage unders to overs. My guess is, obviously, as weather warms, overs increase. But also, as arms get "dead" about this time of year to some, helps overs, also I've noticed the umpire over under ratios from 2011 are out of whack so far for 2011 year to date, and will trend to their past seasons norms from now on, so I am starting to factor that into my system stats for a play or not, also helps decide on sides. Early season hamstrings and injuries from not being season ready out of spring training are healing, mostly bats, not arms - arms are less likely to be out of shape or injured than hitters and fielding issues, so big name and bench bats are returning to line ups and making a big difference in totals i.e. washington ants - check their game total last 30 days with now Zim back, Morse almost ready too, also i.e. phils are hitting now finally. Just like in a game, when a hitter has seen the pitcher, maybe for the first time, the third time, it is easier to hit. but when he has seen him now a few times, it is also easier to hit him, even the studs like verlander. My guess is there are more no hitters and perfect games pitched early season than late. Final thought on this. When a call up or bench guy gets at bats, more than he is expecting, he gets his timing down and confidence and it usually works out. Then the problem for the coach is what to do with him. This creates competition when the big name IR guy returns. Even if he is sent down or just rides the bench, he has his timing at the big league level down, has seen some pitchers, and will have a better offensive year than if the injuries had not happened. it creates depth now on offense, and plays into the totals all year favoring overs. Although i do play sides more than over unders, these trends are a major factor in choosing a side.
anybody that can share something on this would be appreciated.
yesterday was a high confidence, today I researched more time and found little to have high hopes in. These are very small plays.
New York Mets -134*vs San Diego Padres Tampa Bay Rays/Boston Red Sox Under 10½ -130* Baltimore Orioles -137*vs Kansas City Royals Pittsburgh Pirates -117*vs Chicago Cubs
parlay San Francisco Giants/Miami Marlins Over 6½ -160* Cincinnati Reds -180*vs Colorado Rockies
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