Yesterday: 1-0, +1.33 units Season: 121-115, +7.63 units
Pirates/Cubs under 7 -105 (Intertops) -- The average game at PNC Park this year has had an amazingly low 5.86 runs per game. Today they have one of the weakest hitting opponents they could have, other than an intrasquad game, coming in to play in the Cubs. And an excellent pitcher on the mound for Chicago in Dempster. Only 4 games all year in this ballpark have gone over 7 runs, out of 23.
Marlins/Giants over 7 -110 (Intertops) -- It is beginning to eppear that the new ballpark in South Florida is hitter friendly, with an average of 9.9 runs per game (compared to under 7 in Marlin road games!!!) Meanwhile, the opponent has AVERAGED 5.8 runs per game in Tim Lincecum's starts this year. Neither bullpen is great (WHIPs of 1.38 & 1.40), and both pens are a bit stressed after the 3-touchdown game last night. Yes, maybe Josh Johnson's last two starts are a sign he is turning it around, but I still think over is the solid play here.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Yesterday: 1-0, +1.33 units Season: 121-115, +7.63 units
Pirates/Cubs under 7 -105 (Intertops) -- The average game at PNC Park this year has had an amazingly low 5.86 runs per game. Today they have one of the weakest hitting opponents they could have, other than an intrasquad game, coming in to play in the Cubs. And an excellent pitcher on the mound for Chicago in Dempster. Only 4 games all year in this ballpark have gone over 7 runs, out of 23.
Marlins/Giants over 7 -110 (Intertops) -- It is beginning to eppear that the new ballpark in South Florida is hitter friendly, with an average of 9.9 runs per game (compared to under 7 in Marlin road games!!!) Meanwhile, the opponent has AVERAGED 5.8 runs per game in Tim Lincecum's starts this year. Neither bullpen is great (WHIPs of 1.38 & 1.40), and both pens are a bit stressed after the 3-touchdown game last night. Yes, maybe Josh Johnson's last two starts are a sign he is turning it around, but I still think over is the solid play here.
Padres +108 vs Mets (Intertops) -- Bass has significantly outpitched Gee. Yeah, the Padres offense is pretty sad, but the Mets don't exactly light up the scoreboard either. So when I can get the superior starter, and the FAR superior bullpen, at an underdog price, I gotta take a shot.
Reds -1.5 runs +135 vs Rockies (Intertops)
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7:10 starts:
Padres +108 vs Mets (Intertops) -- Bass has significantly outpitched Gee. Yeah, the Padres offense is pretty sad, but the Mets don't exactly light up the scoreboard either. So when I can get the superior starter, and the FAR superior bullpen, at an underdog price, I gotta take a shot.
Blue Jays +123 vs Rangers (Intertops) -- Brandon Morrow has been lights out all year, and the Toronto offense has picked it up considerably behind the hot bat of Jose Bautista.
Cardinals +108 vs Phillies (Intertops) -- A very good team as a home underdog, with a pitcher having a great season on the mound.
Dodgers -1.5 runs +110 vs Astros (Intertops) -- Hmmm... a team that is 19-4 at home vs a team that is 5-13 on the road. A team that hits a pathetic .218 with an equally pathetic .294 onbase percentage against lefties, facing baseball's best lefthanded pitcher. ERA differential of the starting pitchers is over 2 runs; Astros score a full run less on the road on average than Dodgers do at home. No such thing as an easy win in baseball but this one is as close as you will see.
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Adding:
Blue Jays +123 vs Rangers (Intertops) -- Brandon Morrow has been lights out all year, and the Toronto offense has picked it up considerably behind the hot bat of Jose Bautista.
Cardinals +108 vs Phillies (Intertops) -- A very good team as a home underdog, with a pitcher having a great season on the mound.
Dodgers -1.5 runs +110 vs Astros (Intertops) -- Hmmm... a team that is 19-4 at home vs a team that is 5-13 on the road. A team that hits a pathetic .218 with an equally pathetic .294 onbase percentage against lefties, facing baseball's best lefthanded pitcher. ERA differential of the starting pitchers is over 2 runs; Astros score a full run less on the road on average than Dodgers do at home. No such thing as an easy win in baseball but this one is as close as you will see.
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