Saturday Night

Forum: MLB Betting Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Saturday Night
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 5/19/2012 6:55:25 PM

Stros +162

So a 12-9 home team is getting this kind of value against an average pitcher?  Lines a joke IMO.

Phils +126

I don't understand this line at all.  Hot team at home is a dog?  Lester has been average at best so far and his name is laying this number, not his performance or the way the Sox are playing.

KC -1.5 +175

I find this line very interesting.  Usually the RL would be +190 when a team is -106 at home.  Yet at some places it's only +170?  Rare time where the RL is hinting to who they think wins this game.

football_007 PM football_007
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Posted: 5/19/2012 7:11:12 PM
Phi lose tonight then you will understand the line...
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 5/19/2012 7:15:12 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by football_007:

Phi lose tonight then you will understand the line...

 

 

keepitstrict PM keepitstrict
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Posted: 5/19/2012 7:32:00 PM
PapaShango PM PapaShango
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Posted: 5/19/2012 7:37:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 165yds:

Stros +162

So a 12-9 home team is getting this kind of value against an average pitcher?  Lines a joke IMO.

Phils +126

I don't understand this line at all.  Hot team at home is a dog?  Lester has been average at best so far and his name is laying this number, not his performance or the way the Sox are playing.

KC -1.5 +175

I find this line very interesting.  Usually the RL would be +190 when a team is -106 at home.  Yet at some places it's only +170?  Rare time where the RL is hinting to who they think wins this game.



Have you seen Lester's career numbers against the Phillies?
arrowheadpride PM arrowheadpride
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Posted: 5/19/2012 7:38:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PapaShango:



Have you seen Lester's career numbers against the Phillies?


Ding Ding Ding
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 5/19/2012 7:48:36 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by PapaShango:



Have you seen Lester's career numbers against the Phillies?

 

Yes and it means nothing for tonights game, too small a sample size to take seriously.  Those are the kind of numbers that lead to bad bets.  The line is what I care about, not some stats from 4 years ago. 

Sox may win by 10 and they're up 3-0 so it doesn't look good but I won't back down from this kind of play, long term is what I care about.

PapaShango PM PapaShango
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Posted: 5/19/2012 7:50:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 165yds:

Yes and it means nothing for tonights game, too small a sample size to take seriously.  Those are the kind of numbers that lead to bad bets.  The line is what I care about, not some stats from 4 years ago. 

Sox may win by 10 and they're up 3-0 so it doesn't look good but I won't back down from this kind of play, long term is what I care about.



I'm up well over 30 units on the year by capping in ways like that.  How's your record this season?  Wait, you don't post it because it isn't good right?
arrowheadpride PM arrowheadpride
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Posted: 5/19/2012 7:50:59 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PapaShango:



I'm up well over 30 units on the year by capping in ways like that.  How's your record this season?  Wait, you don't post it because it isn't good right?


The more i looked into this game the more i liked the BoSox in more ways than one
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 5/19/2012 8:05:35 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by PapaShango:



I'm up well over 30 units on the year by capping in ways like that.  How's your record this season?  Wait, you don't post it because it isn't good right?

3 years ago I won over 250 units going 2 units a game every game because I flat bet.  Won over 220 units 2 years ago doing the same thing.  I don't post much here anymore because my threads got to be a circus everyday and don't have anything to prove to you or anyone else.

Just know that when I post a play I'm thinking long term.  What would happen if I made this same play a 100 times, not if I win today.  Wow your're up 30 units, I'm so impressed.  You don't win by looking at numbers because they deceive you more than they help you.  The line, how it moves and where the majority is far more important than reading the preview on ESPN or the Covers matchup page.

Theone324 PM Theone324
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Posted: 5/19/2012 8:24:47 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PapaShango:



I'm up well over 30 units on the year by capping in ways like that.  How's your record this season?  Wait, you don't post it because it isn't good right?

Don't question the man, he is the author of a new book coming out on how to cap at a 70% clip.
PapaShango PM PapaShango
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Posted: 5/19/2012 8:30:02 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 165yds:

3 years ago I won over 250 units going 2 units a game every game because I flat bet.  Won over 220 units 2 years ago doing the same thing.  I don't post much here anymore because my threads got to be a circus everyday and don't have anything to prove to you or anyone else.

Just know that when I post a play I'm thinking long term.  What would happen if I made this same play a 100 times, not if I win today.  Wow your're up 30 units, I'm so impressed.  You don't win by looking at numbers because they deceive you more than they help you.  The line, how it moves and where the majority is far more important than reading the preview on ESPN or the Covers matchup page.



Right.
fedex11204 PM fedex11204
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Posted: 5/19/2012 8:37:12 PM
Are you serious you are here again posting 165yds...seriously give it up man ..........you are legendary in how awful and atrocious your picks are....seriously  just hang it up
arrowheadpride PM arrowheadpride
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Posted: 5/19/2012 8:37:33 PM
Man it feels good betting on a team that can hit like the Red Sox. Lately i have been putting my faith in brutal offenses this is a breath of fresh air. Absolutely deadly offense.
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 5/19/2012 9:00:26 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by fedex11204:

Are you serious you are here again posting 165yds...seriously give it up man ..........you are legendary in how awful and atrocious your picks are....seriously  just hang it up

 

Your obsession with me and CharlieM is legendary.  Good to see one of my favorite man love stalkers show up.

Theone324 PM Theone324
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Posted: 5/19/2012 9:04:08 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by fedex11204:

Are you serious you are here again posting 165yds...seriously give it up man ..........you are legendary in how awful and atrocious your picks are....seriously  just hang it up

 

wmi799 PM wmi799
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Posted: 5/19/2012 9:18:24 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 165yds:

Your obsession with me and CharlieM is legendary.  Good to see one of my favorite man love stalkers show up.

You tell em RJ and BOL on your picks! 

Hendog PM Hendog
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Posted: 5/19/2012 9:31:43 PM
football_007 PM football_007
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Posted: 5/19/2012 10:33:49 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 165yds:



I guess I don't need to explain as Papa already said above.
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 5/19/2012 11:06:42 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by football_007:



I guess I don't need to explain as Papa already said above.

 

  Sigh.  Congrats on your lucky win and yes we both know the Sox were lucky to win that game.  The reason you took the game wasn't even the reason you won because Lester pitched like garbage.  Go back to laying road juice and stay out of this thread, it's not for you or the other 95% here in this forum.

 

Theone324 PM Theone324
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Posted: 5/19/2012 11:08:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by football_007:



I guess I don't need to explain as Papa already said above.

fedex11204 PM fedex11204
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Posted: 5/19/2012 11:21:38 PM
If it walks like a duck and talks like a duck and quacks like a duck it's a duck........there is a reason 165yds you are not liked-and as you see it's not just me ....you have quite the dislike following...it's your arrogance and it would be one thing if you won then maybe one can forgive your arrogance but you're a long time loser and you are arrogant............that is unforgiving.
GiLmo574 PM GiLmo574
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Posted: 5/19/2012 11:32:13 PM

Well, I guess I'll say it??

 

Nice hit on the 'Stors ML and the Royals RL 

 

I don't like arrogance, either... 


Hawk04 PM Hawk04
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Posted: 5/20/2012 2:34:03 AM
Wasn't his winning season posted?  It's not like he's lying.  Don't understand the reason behind people hating and bashing on an internet forum.  Unless you tailed and you can't take the loss like a man so you girl and blame them... If you don't like his 'arrogance' than simply ignore his thread.  Very simple.  

Long story short, we're all here for the same reason and that's to make money.  Not sure what possesses people to complain and bash, but what purpose does it serve?  
dxxlan PM dxxlan
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Posted: 5/20/2012 3:34:19 AM
Enjoy reading your posts.  I've been finding your MLB contest picks helpful...nice work.
Sent you a friend request.
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