Overall : 40-41-0 +23.05 units
Favorites : 7-4-0 +19.61 units
Run Lines : 4-7-0 (17.45 units)
Underdogs : 11-13-0 +9.80 units
Totals : 18-15-0 +25.09 units
Props : 0-2-0 (14.00 units)
Still can't seem to get over the .500 hump, I feel like ___________ (insert your favorite knuckleball pitcher here - they all fit the analogy). Some days the knuckle is working, other days I'm getting knocked around. Still up for the year, so no complaints, but looking to improve the spots I play and the ones I don't.
Atlanta Braves -120 (24 units to win 20)
Starting the day off with a big one and this is mostly me backing one of my favorite bounce back pitchers, but doesn't hurt the Braves have been killing lefties over their last 5 games. Additionally, though I don't have much in the way of stats to support it, I'm picking on Paul Maholm a bit as well. Certainly has been riding well over his last three starts and while I don't play the due factor, he typically is a pitcher whose inconsistencies usually surface every few starts.
Since 2005, Tim Hudson is 11-2 with a 1.91 ERA and 1.15 WHIP following a start where he gave up 6+ earned runs. In these 17 starts, Hudson has allowed more than 2 earned runs only three times. Effectively, in 82% of his starts in these situations, Hudson is allowing 2 earned runs or less. And in 71% he is allowing 1 earned run or less. And before you clain he isn't the same pitcher he was in 2006, which I somewhat agree, he is 5-0 with a 0.94 ERA and 1.02 WHIP in the same situatuion since 2008. Slight concern that he is behind where other pitchers are to this point due to his injury, but the stats above speak to Hudson as a gamer and I'll invest he bounces back from a terrible outing.
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