Suicide Parlays

Suicide Run to $10,000 down to a suicide run to $6,585 with a 2 - 1 day yesterday. Should be more but for the damn Mets' lack of effort.

This is going too slowly, so I'm going to stretch a little. The other thing is that this time of year the lines on the favorites get really out of whack. Ergo... I will use parlays on three games to reduce my risk.

Milwaukee - 230 is my "base" game. I don't see Colorado beating Milwaukee in Milwaukee, given the home - road difference in these two teams. Add the pitching advantage for Milwaukee, and you have a compelling bet for the Brewers. But I don't want to lay $2.30 to win $1.00.

So, I will parlay Milwaukee with:

1)  Tampa Bay - 205. Taking Price over Simon and Tampa's overall better talent. They can still make the post-season if Boston continues to flounder. The last time Tampa faced Simon, they got 6 runs in 5 innings.

2) Boston - 140. Sooner or later Boston has to wake up and make a run for either the division or the wild card. Toronto pitcher Morrow has given up 8 home runs in his last 4 starts. He gave up 8 runs to Boston in 4.1 innings pitched on September 7th.

3) St. Louis - 165. Last night's loss by the Cards' bullpen sets up this play. St. Louis still has a shot at the post-season, and are winning more consistently now. I like Carpenter over Karstens.

Betting Arizona - 135 over LA as a straight bet. Kennedy is Cy Young material, and Arizona has a better road record than LA's home record.

As long as Milwaukee wins tonight, it should be a good night.

Good luck, whatever you decide to do.

Man are all those 1000 parlays?

Yeah, and that was very tense.     

Don't think I'll do that again.