The “COVERS BLOODBATH” Angle.

You’ve seen it time and time again.

For example, you check Bodio’s post and he has the New York Yankees.

No problem.

You check Louis_IV post and he has New York Yankees.

Okay, a trend is brewing.

You check tidefan07’s post and he has the New York Yankees.

Yikes.

You check depbmoc’s post and he has the New York Yankees.

Oh, boy.

A couple minutes later, someone throws up a thread entitled, “COVERS BLOODBATH ON THE NEW YORK YANKEES!” They may mix in some profanity, but let’s keep this PG-13.

The “Covers Bloodbath” theory stresses that when the majority of the forum is on a particular team, the opposing team will win the game.

When the “Covers Bloodbath” holds true, the originating poster will return and scream at the top of their lungs how people were idiotic to all play the same side of a particular game. If you’ve missed them, the posts are pretty classy. They usually are in all caps and they tend to use everyone’s favorite phrase, “I told you so.” It’s a sophisticated approach to posting for sure.

So, is this a wise strategy? Of course not.

I tracked the “Covers Bloodbath” type posts as best I could for the last 3 weeks or so, and of course, the “Covers Bloodbath” angle went 6-11.

I'm not going to lie. I was actually quite taken back. It seems like the majority of the time a side is dominantly played, the opposite wins, right? Not so fast. On the days someone screams out bloody murder against a dominant side, when it loses, the post fades away. When it wins, the original poster bumps their win to top of the forum the rest of the night.

The moral of the story: If you like a game, bet it.

If you end up a bloody mess, it’s not because the forum was dominantly on that side.

I love this post.

So true, this is funny.

you should track this in the system and strategies section of the forum...

2hollywood2

4 years 6 posts

sup billyO

Great post

Agree completely.

If many knowledgable people like the same game, there's no reason to think its a fade.  The game just sticks out as a strong play, and if it looks good to you, take it.....

well said!

Good post!  People just remember train wrecks.

17 games is an extremely small sample size.

And (6 - 11) in baseball could actually yield a profit. I'm not saying that it did in this particular example, but you get my point.

If you like it, bet it, I like that...............................

Boberts: I know, I know. Believe it or not, I've read these forums every day since I signed up. Been a die hard here and I've done very well the past year or so and thought it's time I started posting my plays everyday for what it's worth.

Lots of cool cats on here actually. 4 years ago it seemed a little, shall we say, less classy.

Off to a 14-7 start on posted plays.

Anyway, off topic - I think this "Blood Bath" post is great because I've seen it time and time again and unofficially keep track by seeing what happens that night and I actually would have guess the dominant favorite won more than the 11 out of 16.

And who decided which games qualify for the bloodbath games

 

 

 

You're a Simpleton

 

These threads are ridiculous. Moral of the story if u like a game bet it?

No fucking shit

I could see how could this could hold true if it was just avg Joes talking about a game.  But if you see the best cappers on here all on the same play to me it makes it a stronger play because they're the best cappers on here for a reason. 

 

 

if bodio and target9 share my same pick thats all i need.

Thank you for your research and time put into this! 

The games with threads that say, "COVERS BLOODBATH ON ____________"

They're pretty easy to identify.

Way to state the obvious here.

So you are telling me that I would be 11-6 if I faded.  But you are telling me to not play that angle?