Posted:
#1
2011 MLB Record:
83 - 61 @ 57% for +15.22 Units
Wed, 06/08
#1: Chicago White Sox -142
I see Sox getting a sweep of the Mariners here. Floyd is coming off a poor outing and I see him rebounding here tonight. In his last 3 starts against the Mariners he has allowed 13 hits and ZERO ER's in 22 innings of work. He has a 18 K to 3 BB ratio in that span against them. Pretty impressive. Vargas, on the other hand, is coming off an outing in which he went the distance and only allowed 4 hits and 0 ER's. Problem is, he threw 115 pitches in that one. Typically Vargas does not throw this many pitches in outing. Heck, last year, the most he's thrown in one game was 110. And in a start following that one he gave up 9 hits and 5 ER's in 6 innings. This year, Vargas threw 114+ pitches twice already. Interestingly enough, he got 'shelled' in both of his starts following those outings: 5 inn / 6 hits / 1 HR / 6 ER's in one and 4.2 inn / 7 hits / 2 HR / 5 ER's in the other. He had 5 K's to 7 BB's in those. What's even more interesting is that those starts came against Oakland and Minnesota, 2 of the worst offensive teams in the league. White Sox are ranked #12 according to wOBA (OAK #27 / MIN #28) and have hit 3 HR's the past 2 games at home. In his last start in Chicago, in July of 2010 (hot day, simlar to today), Vargas gave up 8 hits for 5 ER's in only 4.1 innings pitched. 3 of those 8 hits were homeruns. White Sox are 11-1 at home against the Mariners in their last 12. They have a great shot to make it 12-1 after tonight.
#2: UNDER 8 ARZ/PIT -115
Zach Duke is coming back to Pittsburgh to pitch his first game against his former teammates in this one. I expect him to have success, especially since most of the current Pirates hitters haven't seen him before (obviously). Malholm is on the mound for the Pirates and he's coming off a terrible outing. I expect him to rebound tonight, against a team he hasn't faced since 2007. Both team are excellent at fielding the ball and have strong bullpens. With PNC park being one of the toughest to hit in and weather not being an issue, I see a low scoring game in this one. My model has this one at 6.5 total runs, and 9 would need to be scored for this wager to lose. Under is the play in this one.
Good luck!
83 - 61 @ 57% for +15.22 Units
Wed, 06/08
#1: Chicago White Sox -142
I see Sox getting a sweep of the Mariners here. Floyd is coming off a poor outing and I see him rebounding here tonight. In his last 3 starts against the Mariners he has allowed 13 hits and ZERO ER's in 22 innings of work. He has a 18 K to 3 BB ratio in that span against them. Pretty impressive. Vargas, on the other hand, is coming off an outing in which he went the distance and only allowed 4 hits and 0 ER's. Problem is, he threw 115 pitches in that one. Typically Vargas does not throw this many pitches in outing. Heck, last year, the most he's thrown in one game was 110. And in a start following that one he gave up 9 hits and 5 ER's in 6 innings. This year, Vargas threw 114+ pitches twice already. Interestingly enough, he got 'shelled' in both of his starts following those outings: 5 inn / 6 hits / 1 HR / 6 ER's in one and 4.2 inn / 7 hits / 2 HR / 5 ER's in the other. He had 5 K's to 7 BB's in those. What's even more interesting is that those starts came against Oakland and Minnesota, 2 of the worst offensive teams in the league. White Sox are ranked #12 according to wOBA (OAK #27 / MIN #28) and have hit 3 HR's the past 2 games at home. In his last start in Chicago, in July of 2010 (hot day, simlar to today), Vargas gave up 8 hits for 5 ER's in only 4.1 innings pitched. 3 of those 8 hits were homeruns. White Sox are 11-1 at home against the Mariners in their last 12. They have a great shot to make it 12-1 after tonight.
#2: UNDER 8 ARZ/PIT -115
Zach Duke is coming back to Pittsburgh to pitch his first game against his former teammates in this one. I expect him to have success, especially since most of the current Pirates hitters haven't seen him before (obviously). Malholm is on the mound for the Pirates and he's coming off a terrible outing. I expect him to rebound tonight, against a team he hasn't faced since 2007. Both team are excellent at fielding the ball and have strong bullpens. With PNC park being one of the toughest to hit in and weather not being an issue, I see a low scoring game in this one. My model has this one at 6.5 total runs, and 9 would need to be scored for this wager to lose. Under is the play in this one.
Good luck!
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
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'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."
0
I like it boodio
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