Arizona ST and SCarolina look like the best plays this weekend

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Author: [MLB Betting] Topic: Arizona ST and SCarolina look like the best plays this weekend
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2010 12:28:46 AM

Washington just came off a huge road win as a 9 point dog at USC and now at home playing a team on a 3 game losing streak and only giving -1?  I'm not buying it, ASU to me has the better offense and team.  Let down spot for Washington and it's tough for good teams to come back off of huge wins let alone bad teams.  I saw that game vs the Ducks and ASU shot themselves in the foot all game long.  This is the shadiest line of the week and the game I like the most.  Late game on Saturday night just sets up perfectly for all of the chasing going on in these late games. 

SouthCarolina playing their biggest games in what seems like forever has Bama coming in and the line is sitting right below a TD.  Tell me their not begging you to take big bad Bama.  Reminds me of ARK so much as far as the line goes.  What makes it better is that SC lost their last game, if they had won I wouldn't like this game but coming off a loss and Bama looking so great makes this a play for sure.

Tulane - Is there a line that stinks more?

Kentucky +7- More of an anti fade of Auburn who I don't trust on the road.  To me this line seems a bit high.  Used a lot of energy and emotion last week with Arkansas coming up next.

USC if it gets to 10 I think I have to play it.  Coming off a disgusting game like that as a 9 point fav should cover this number.  Seems like Stanford is the hip pick of the week.  Not sure but there is value here and no one will be taking USC.

These are the games that jumped out to me this week.  Who knows WTF I'll be taking on Saturday but since baseball is off the next couple days thought we'd talk some college.

In the NFL I am leaning

Broncos +7

Bills +1

Oh garbage I forgot this is a baseball forum so I'll be taking Reds game 1 +?.  I have just gone to three different forums and 95% of the people talking about this series and opening game are giving them zero chance so naturally I will fade.  No clue about the TB game, I just can't take Lee as a dog for some reason.  I may take the NYY game 1 on the -1.5.  Doubt it though, I do like the over for TB and the Yanks.  Funny I think I took 2 overs the entire year.  As of now only thing for sure is Reds game 1.

SupFresh PM SupFresh
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Posted: 10/5/2010 12:41:31 AM

Hey 165,

been following you for the last half of the season in baseball, wish it was the full season. Some very good calls.

You said before that MLB/NBA/NHL are all easier to cap than NFL, so of those 3 which do you do the best at?

deegen PM deegen
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Posted: 10/5/2010 1:39:36 AM
sorry to be off topic, but any chance you finish your "most important nba" thread?
Jackimo PM Jackimo
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Posted: 10/5/2010 1:44:52 AM
love S Carolina in this spot.  Also like the Reds.  Are you going to  make any series bets?  GL
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2010 9:47:49 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SupFresh:

Hey 165,

been following you for the last half of the season in baseball, wish it was the full season. Some very good calls.

You said before that MLB/NBA/NHL are all easier to cap than NFL, so of those 3 which do you do the best at?

MLB and NBA tied.
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2010 9:50:38 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by deegen:

sorry to be off topic, but any chance you finish your "most important nba" thread?

There's a better chance of Greyhound becoming a good handicapper.  If he comes in here and gets down on his knees and apologizes I may reconsider.  It's a shame, it would've been one of the most important, informative and greatest threads in the history of Covers. 

deegen PM deegen
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Posted: 10/5/2010 11:41:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 165yds:

There's a better chance of Greyhound becoming a good handicapper.  If he comes in here and gets down on his knees and apologizes I may reconsider.  It's a shame, it would've been one of the most important, informative and greatest threads in the history of Covers. 


sorry to hear that, but hope you reconsider somewhere down the line.

and good call on the pregame ceremony fade garbage.

worked against the braves on saturday too.

but i didnt play baseball after the gigantes lost on friday. 

LasVegasLord PM LasVegasLord
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Posted: 10/5/2010 1:29:00 PM
BOL 165.  I'm taking the O's today (j/k no games).  Wish there were MLB games today.   Will have to wait till tomorrow.   Like the Reds play Wed.
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2010 1:43:50 PM

MTSU -3 tonight, surprised it dropped to 3.

33-36 and 1-0 last night

Jackimo PM Jackimo
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Posted: 10/5/2010 1:49:21 PM
What did you take last night?  I got smoked on the friggin under
atl4tigerfan PM atl4tigerfan
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Posted: 10/5/2010 2:01:22 PM
Kentucky +7- More of an anti fade of Auburn who I don't trust on the road.  To me this line seems a bit high.  Used a lot of energy and emotion last week with Arkansas coming up next.
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Auburn pretty much had a bye week last week.  Torched Louisiana-Monroe 52-3.  Starters barely played.  It's been 2 weeks since the South Carolina game.

I'd expect a very focused effort from Auburn here against Kentucky.  Why you ask considering a showdown with Arkansas the next week.  I'll tell you why.................because Auburn lost to Kentucky last year at home for the first time in 40 or 50 years.  They took them very lightly and Kentucky walked into Jordan-Hare and stole a victory.  That won't happen again this year.
LastWeek PM LastWeek
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Posted: 10/5/2010 2:52:55 PM
are you going to make hockey plays for thursday?

BrianLaverty PM BrianLaverty
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Posted: 10/5/2010 2:56:25 PM
Hey 165yds....

I apologize for the garbage in the other thread.  I thought you were coming at me for no reason at all...
hitterno24 PM hitterno24
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:02:06 PM
165 you dont think tampa looks too easy in game 1?
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:33:12 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by BrianLaverty:

Hey 165yds....

I apologize for the garbage in the other thread.  I thought you were coming at me for no reason at all...

No problem, no reason to come at you and was talking to Rostos the whole time who I'm sick of.

165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:34:54 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by atl4tigerfan:

Kentucky +7- More of an anti fade of Auburn who I don't trust on the road.  To me this line seems a bit high.  Used a lot of energy and emotion last week with Arkansas coming up next.
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Auburn pretty much had a bye week last week.  Torched Louisiana-Monroe 52-3.  Starters barely played.  It's been 2 weeks since the South Carolina game.

I'd expect a very focused effort from Auburn here against Kentucky.  Why you ask considering a showdown with Arkansas the next week.  I'll tell you why.................because Auburn lost to Kentucky last year at home for the first time in 40 or 50 years.  They took them very lightly and Kentucky walked into Jordan-Hare and stole a victory.  That won't happen again this year.

Some good points, nothing locked in at all for Saturday.  Still a lot of time left until than and my card will probably change three more times from today.  Only game I really like as of now is AZST.

jhiggz219 PM jhiggz219
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:35:46 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by hitterno24:

165 you dont think tampa looks too easy in game 1?

Just my 2 cents... Disagree completely, think opening Price as -130 fav.. makes it real easy to take Lee at +120.  I feel the Rangers are trendy upset for the series.. don't see it happening. Best of Luck to who you decide
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:35:52 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by Jackimo:

What did you take last night?  I got smoked on the friggin under

Took the Pats but didn't start a thread and posted the play in hitterno's thread.

hitterno24 PM hitterno24
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:38:55 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jhiggz219:


Just my 2 cents... Disagree completely, think opening Price as -130 fav.. makes it real easy to take Lee at +120.  I feel the Rangers are trendy upset for the series.. don't see it happening. Best of Luck to who you decide

yea you may be right.but i mean anyone who knows baseball..knows lee has been struggling and has a back issue..tampa also has beat lee 3 times this year...tampa also plays really well on the road and texas is mediocre on the road..david price is elite status..and taking him at -125 just looks tooooo easy.. 

hitterno24 PM hitterno24
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:43:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by hitterno24:

yea you may be right.but i mean anyone who knows baseball..knows lee has been struggling and has a back issue..tampa also has beat lee 3 times this year...tampa also plays really well on the road and texas is mediocre on the road..david price is elite status..and taking him at -125 just looks tooooo easy.. 

home

165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:43:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by LastWeek:

are you going to make hockey plays for thursday?

Hockey from a value standpoint the best sport to bet on and even better than baseball.  I played ice hockey for several years on a club team as a kid and love the game.  I am going to really put in the work this year and dedicate myself.  I am not going to play much the first couple of weeks and let the season play out a little but I think I will post my plays.  Hockey forum is by far the best here at Covers.
hitterno24 PM hitterno24
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:49:06 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by 165yds:

Hockey from a value standpoint the best sport to bet on and even better than baseball.  I played ice hockey for several years on a club team as a kid and love the game.  I am going to really put in the work this year and dedicate myself.  I am not going to play much the first couple of weeks and let the season play out a little but I think I will post my plays.  Hockey forum is by far the best here at Covers.

agreed..hockey is really fun to bet too..i was on the + side of hockey all year..mid year i was on fireee..but did give back a bit of my profit last few weeks..as i did with baseball too this year..this year im going to definetly tone down my units and plays towards the end of the season..just as i plan to do with football..someting about end of the season in a sport and me sucking

jhiggz219 PM jhiggz219
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:52:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by 165yds:

Oh garbage I forgot this is a baseball forum so I'll be taking Reds game 1 +?.  I have just gone to three different forums and 95% of the people talking about this series and opening game are giving them zero chance so naturally I will fade.  No clue about the TB game, I just can't take Lee as a dog for some reason.  I may take the NYY game 1 on the -1.5.  Doubt it though, I do like the over for TB and the Yanks.  Funny I think I took 2 overs the entire year.  As of now only thing for sure is Reds game 1.


Agree  Dusty Baker should have the quickest hook in the playoffs.  The series is set up, so they can and should be very liberal with their bullpen usage.  The Reds need to take advange of their bullpen depth and surplus bullpen arms, and not count on their young staff to match Philly pitch for pitch.  Wood/Bailey/Masset/Chapman/ Rhodes/ Codero allows the Reds staff to look for 4-5 good innings for their starter.  This schedule gives them a chance to reduce the amount of work that has to be carried by the weak link on this roster - the starting pitching - and they should take full advantage of it.  Might take some of the Series price as well  
iceburg14 PM iceburg14
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:52:28 PM
agree that the hockey is the best (hater-free) forum here
165yds PM 165yds
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Posted: 10/5/2010 3:53:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jhiggz219:


Just my 2 cents... Disagree completely, think opening Price as -130 fav.. makes it real easy to take Lee at +120.  I feel the Rangers are trendy upset for the series.. don't see it happening. Best of Luck to who you decide

 

At first glance I thought the same thing but as I mull it over there is an over whelming amount of TB love game 1, much more than I anticipated.  When people look at the pitching matchup they will see Lee is 0-3 with an ERA over 4.6 against them this year.  I had no opinion on the game yesterday but I feel tomorrow I will be on Texas and the Reds.  If  Texas could ever jump out to a lead I don't think TB's coming back.  To me the real line is a pick and I don't think gamblers like Lee considering how he fucked them all season long with Texas.  GL .

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