All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

I'm tired of watching everyone else crash and burn....

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 1518
Posts: 25
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 61
Posted: #1

 I'm here to help the good people of covers.com make a little cash.  I've been solid in bases and NEVER lay over about -140..most times I'm looking for the best value at plus money...time for me to share the wealth.

In the immortal words of the joker...."We're gonna take it out a whole new door"

7/5 - Seattle -1.5 +105

Record (0-0) +/-

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 7321
Posted: #2
I agree with trying to not lay over -140 for sure but basically you are just taking a -200 FAV at the RL.  And the RL doesn't even have that much value.  KC has quietly gone 7-3 in the last 10 while SEA has gone 4-6.  No one wants to believe it but KC is hot and can put up runs (just not yesterday hahaha)

Obviously, this could hit just like any bet on any day but these are my two cents
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 61
Posted: #3
I agree with your assesment of the Royals to a degree.  They can score and they are 7-3 in the last 10 but the trick to winning at baseball is to estimate how they'll play in the next 10.  They aren't good enough to continue to win 7 of 10 over and over and most teams will find their way to what they truly are.....This play is more about Felix vs Bannister.  A major mismatch.  That said as scary as it is to play Seattle on the runline, it's just as scary to lay -200 with ANY team because you're always one bad bullpen appearance from a disaster....no pitcher or team is worth -200 in my opinion.  I don't usually take High moneyline plays and just play them on the runline......I go through a pretty extensive list of criteria examining all potential wagers including first 5 innings.   If people just want heavy favs on the runline they can visit that runline blitz thread or whatever it's called.
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2009
Posts: 15534
Posted: #4
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2008
Posts: 10098
Posted: #5

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 7321
Posted: #6
I agree...I will never ever lay -200 on any team.  There is no reason to do it.  On any given day there is value to be found.  There is no value in -200. 

In regards to KC, I take the series win against the Angels (at home no less) as an indication of what direction they MIGHT be headed in. Only time will tell... 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 61
Posted: #7
That's what makes baseball betting a challenge....Look at the other day when both Jimenez and Carpenter got their asses handed to them....how many people couldn't wait to get their money down on those guys at -200+?
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 7321
Posted: #8
yeah no shit... I layed off the COL game but i had my money on the Brewers.  Unfortunately i had money on the Crew yesterday as well.  That being said, for those two games i went 1-1 but +.8 units.  I'll take it every time.  If i had bet STL on both i'd be 1-1 but -.43 units...

I think we agree on this shit
 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2003
Posts: 34973
Posted: #9

Hey, man. You sound like a guy who is doing really well.

If its not too much to ask...

...would you be as so kind to lend $5,000 to a fellow covers.com poster who have fallen on hard times?

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2007
Posts: 16954
Posted: #10
Quote Originally Posted by cpk007:

That's what makes baseball betting a challenge....Look at the other day when both Jimenez and Carpenter got their asses handed to them....how many people couldn't wait to get their money down on those guys at -200+?


The same people who can't wait to play Seattle -1.5 + money thinking they aren't laying -200.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 3720
Posted: #11
funny the only 2 other threads you have ever started were you acting like you had a question but were actually touting some sports investing gold site..............
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2008
Posts: 1216
Posted: #12
KC played a St.Louis team that used their weakest line up  this past weekend.  KC was even the favorite,,,dah...looks funny to me.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2008
Posts: 10098
Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by andarmac99:



The same people who can't wait to play Seattle -1.5 + money thinking they aren't laying -200.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 61
Posted: #14

Ok I can see this will be the type of thread that will drive people crazy...

As for the 5000 loan....checks in the mail

As for my previous posts...thanks for your concern...I was pretty naive about covers back then.  i thought if you found something that was worthwhile...you share it with others....boy what an idiot i was.   

I'm not here promoting anything so think what you want....I just know a lot of people have sworn off baseball and are getting killed and I know I can make people some money .

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 314
Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by cpk007:

I agree with your assesment of the Royals to a degree.  They can score and they are 7-3 in the last 10 but the trick to winning at baseball is to estimate how they'll play in the next 10.  They aren't good enough to continue to win 7 of 10 over and over and most teams will find their way to what they truly are.....This play is more about Felix vs Bannister.  A major mismatch.  That said as scary as it is to play Seattle on the runline, it's just as scary to lay -200 with ANY team because you're always one bad bullpen appearance from a disaster....no pitcher or team is worth -200 in my opinion.  I don't usually take High moneyline plays and just play them on the runline......I go through a pretty extensive list of criteria examining all potential wagers including first 5 innings.   If people just want heavy favs on the runline they can visit that runline blitz thread or whatever it's called.

If they are not worth the risk to lay 200 what makes them better at  minus1 1/2--Now your asking them to win by 2 with possibly only 8 at bats if they lead by 1- in the 9th and as you said above

what about that shaky bull pen--it doesn't make the bull pen any better when you lay the 1 1/2?

good luck to you today tho

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 7681
Posted: #16
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 3786
Posted: #17

Good luck

 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2005
Posts: 8797
Posted: #18
may day may day may day..... flight cpk007 is going down i repeat flight cpk007 is going down

whats ur next move to get us out of the hole u put us in?
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2009
Posts: 899
Posted: #19
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 61
Posted: #20

A perfect example of why 80% of my MLB wagers are first 5 innings...Seattle 4- KC -1...then the bullpen got involved.  Oh well a loss is a loss

7/6 - Minnesota 1st 5 innings -135  ( 1.5 Units)

Record (0-1) - 1 unit

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 3720
Posted: #21
LMFAO! was wondering if youd be back. im so glad youre tired of watching everyone here crash and burn that you imparted some of your wisdom on us and gave these guys such a big winner yesterday! even better you come back and say well almost all my picks are 1st 5 inning after that won and your game went down in flames. keep up your winning ways o wise one
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 3720
Posted: #22
p.s. thats a fitting avatar......
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 2231
Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by misfits:

LMFAO! was wondering if youd be back. im so glad youre tired of watching everyone here crash and burn that you imparted some of your wisdom on us and gave these guys such a big winner yesterday! even better you come back and say well almost all my picks are 1st 5 inning after that won and your game went down in flames. keep up your winning ways o wise one
c'mon misfits, leave the dude alone..it happens to everyone, they think they know some secret and end up looking less than knowledgeable..cpk if you ever start a thread again, try to look like you've been there before and don't come in a condescending way, there's guys here that i'm sure have been capping way before you and me..not coming hard on you, as a matter of fact, good luck to you.. word of caution, if you do hit a hot streak and try to tout, this thread will get bumped..
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2008
Posts: 24217
Posted: #24

 
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 3720
Posted: #25

wonder if youre gonna be back for day three of sharin the wealth with your wonderful picks. just as you have stated, you are head and shoulders above the rest of the cappers here who according to you just crash and burn. i wonder what brilliant pick you would like to add to your stellar 0-2 record today?

All Forums | MLB Betting Forum
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Office Pools
The Covers community has
810,221
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 30 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2026 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.