Everybody Read Concerning -1 run lines.....

Question

if your book dosnt offer -1 runlines and you want to play them, you can make your own -1 runline in any book that offers both -1.5 and moneyline...

you bet both m/l and -1.5, so that if you win by 1 run, you will win your m/l bet and lose your -1.5 bet, so really you push.

there is a formula on how to work it out but i dont have it, but its easy enough to work out how much to bet on m/l and -1.5...

Big_Brownman · Answer

if your book dosnt offer -1 runlines and you want to play them, you can make your own -1 runline in any book that offers both -1.5 and moneyline...

you bet both m/l and -1.5, so that if you win by 1 run, you will win your m/l bet and lose your -1.5 bet, so really you push.

there is a formula on how to work it out but i dont have it, but its easy enough to work out how much to bet on m/l and -1.5...

bejabbers · Answer

The problem is, if your team loses the game, you lose 2 bets instead of just one.

depressed · Answer

You are betting the same amount...

komot · Answer

i believe all you have to do is bet the ML enough so that it covers the total of both bets, the RL and ML. i.e. you want to bet 10$, make sure your ML bet covers the total 10$ then bet the rest on the RL. not sure if thats how it works, i don't know of any books that offer -1 to test it.

Big_Brownman · Answer

lets say you want to risk100 on a -1...&#xD;&#xA;m/l is 1.52&#xD;&#xA;-1.5 is 2.65&#xD;&#xA;to make it a -1 you would bet it like this&#xD;&#xA;$65 on m/l @ 1.52&#xD;&#xA;$35 on -1.5 @ 2.65&#xD;&#xA;risking 100 all up, and making it a -1 @ around 1.91.&#xD;&#xA;if you win by 1, you will win around $35 on your money line bet, which turns it into a push...&#xD;&#xA;it works, i do it all the time.

Barnstorm · Answer

Here is a formula for getting a -1 Run Line:

Say the Money line is -190

Take 100/190 = 0.53

take the 0.53 and add 1 = 1.53

then take the 1.53 and divide it again.. 100/1.53 = 65.39

now 65.39 is what you are going to risk on the ML... what ever the payout of that, you take that and risk it on the RL

and thats how you get the -1 RL

Today's Example:

St. Louis -220 ML

100/220 = .4545

100/1.45 = 68.96

Risk $68.96 on the -220 ML to win $31.35

Risk $31.35 on the +103 -1.5 RL to win $32.29

If St. Louis wins by 1, you push by winning $31.35 on the ML but losing $31.35 on the -1.5 RL.

If St. Louis wins by two or more, you win $63.64 on a $100 risk which is like a ML -158.

Basically, whatever you would win on the ML, you risk that on the RL -1.5 and if your team wins by 1 you push and if your team wins by 2 or more you will win more than the ML payout but a little less than the RL -1.5 payout. Of course, you can lose both, but the above formula reduces the amount you would have bet on the ML -220 and puts some on the RL -1.5.

Sure you can risk less and win more by just taking the -1.5 RL, but we see how many games end up by one run - especially home teams. St. Louis, Cubbies and Colorado yesterday.

It sure is enticing to be offered the favored team and better pitcher, the home crowd AND some + juice. But that -1.5 is the great equalizer.

I'd like to find a trend or formula for picking the best RLs.

GL

Everybody Read Concerning -1 run lines.....

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