Today Is Wednesday, And These Plays Are GOLD...I Hope

34-23 +32.66 units

3-1 yesterday.

Royals/Tigers Over 9 EVEN
Risking 3 units to win 3 units
Alright...we've learned 1 important thing so far with these Royals. Their bullpen is GARBAGE. And I mean bad. They can't keep a lead to save their lives. Solution? Bet the over of course. And the best part about THIS over...is the fact that we may be seeing the bullpen early in this game. The Tigers' offense against Davies is unreal.
Cabrera       .308 (8-26)       3 HR...4 RBI
Magglio       .364 (8-22)       1 HR...3 RBI
Laird           .333 (5-15)       1 HR...3 RBI
Guillen        .462 (6-13)       1 HR...1 RBI
Inge            .231 (3-13)
Damon         .286 (2-7)
Everett        .667 (4-6)                   1 RBI
Raburn        .500 (3-6)                   1 RBI

Geez...not really a soft spot is there? On top of that is Austin Jackson and Scott Sizemore who both have been hitting the ball very well lately. As far as Porcello goes...in 3 starts against the Royals last season (18 innings), he had a 5.00 ERA. And the Tigers' bullpen isn't so automatic either. This may be a very entertaining slugfest that is worth watching imo.

Red Sox -124
Risking 3.72 units to win 3 units
The Twins had their big win on Monday. They opened the stadium on the right foot. Now...it's time to make their home record .500. The hitting differences against each starting pitcher is just obsurd. While the Red Sox OWN Slowey...the Twins are kinda weak when facing Lackey. Aside from Mauer (obviously) and Cuddyer...everyone else is basically subpar against Lackey.
Morneau     .233 (7-30)     1 HR...5 RBI
Punto         .143 (3-21)     1 HR...5 RBI
Mauer        .450 (9-20)      2 HR...3 RBI
Hudson      .263 (5-19)                2 RBI
Cuddyer     .313 (5-16)      3 HR...5 RBI
Kubel         .200 (3-15)                1 RBI
Young        .250 (3-12)                1 RBI
Span          .167 (1-6)
Harris         .167 (1-6)

Now...Lackey was OUTSTANDING against the Yanks in his opening start. The bad part for him was that either Pettitte was equally good, or the Red Sox' offense was really bad. Time for them to repay him for his efforts and score him some runs. I think he can do that against Slowey who they have some pretty good stats against.
VMart     .556 (5-9)
Scutaro  .222 (2-9)
Cameron .375 (3-8)        1 RBI
Ortiz       .333 (2-6)
Pedroia   .333 (2-6)
Beltre     .600 (3-5)
Drew       .200 (1-5)        1 RBI
Youkilis  .200 (1-5)         2 RBI

Alright...maybe it isn't as hyped up as I may have made it seeing that the power numbers aren't there and this is in limited at bats...but for the most part...it's 2 games at the least for these guys. I have high regards for the Twins this season but I think the Sawx get revenge here.

Cardinals -1.5 EVEN
Risking 4 units to win 4 units
Alright...I think the Cardinals run away with the division. That's my personal feelings about how the NL Central will turn out. With that said...this is a game that they have no excuse if they lose. The Astros' offense is the worst in baseball without Berkman. Now they're in a big pitchers' park with Penny on the mound. He was very impressive in his first start with the Cards...does that mean Dave Duncan turned his career back around 1 last time? Maybe so. Even if he hasn't...I still think he has enough to shut down this inept offense the Astros have, especially with the home crowd supporting him in, what I mentioned before, is a big pitchers ballpark. However...aside from the Astros not being able to hit a lick...the Cardinals dominate Brett Myers.
Pujols          .310 (9-29)        2 HR...4 RBI
Lopez          .286 (8-28)
Molina         .294 (5-17)        1 HR...4 RBI
Schumaker   .462 (6-13)       2 HR...2 RBI
Holliday       .600 (6-10)        2 HR...4 RBI
Ludwick       .625 (5-8)         2 HR...4 RBI

If that's not enough to convince you that this will be a blowout of epic proportions I don't know what will.

For what it's worth...I like the Angels but won't bet them because they were dead all game yesterday until the 9th inning. But all I know is this line is WAY overpriced. I personally think yesterday's line was a lot more accurate than this one is. Pineiro is better than Santana and Vazquez was dreadful in his opener.

BOL All. Have A Great Day.

What about Kazmir vs. Hughes on Thursday ???? First reaction

They play again on Thursday

In my opinion...I don't think Sanchez should be favored by that much...even at home. And at that ballpark...it's really hard to bet a runline unless you have Lincecum or Cain in this matchup...and apparently' Cain wasn't even good enough for this job. And Sanchez does not go deep into games all that often so I really couldn't lay anything on the Giants tomorrow. Especially with the Pirates being able to score in bunches from time to time.

 I just try to give my best for those who happen to be interested in that particular game. And I can't see this Cardinals game being close...so hopefully we're on the right side.

I'll probably be making my first bet against the Yanks on Thursday to be honest. Kazmir wasn't deal with any real "injury" when he went on the DL if I'm not mistaken. I believe it was just a little fatigue which means he should be extra strong coming into this game. As for Hughes...I actually think he'll have a good season. I mean...even a 4.50 ERA would be acceptable for him. But I think the Angels put a hurting on him in his debut as I can see him coming out pretty shakey to start the season.

If anyone is tired...it's the pitching. The Tigers' starters have pitched 5 innings each for the last 5 games and the Royals' starters haven't been giving length in the past 3 games as well AND they used 4 relievers yesterday, even if it was for a short period of time...it's still relevant.

I really don't have a feel on the Marlins yet. I can't make a bet on them just yet. I may have to actually WATCH their game tomorrow to see if I can figure this team out.

While i struggled to lay -200 on your Yankees this morning,my money felt safe the whole time the game was on.

I usually tend to add plays as the day goes on. However...the plays that are on page 1/my initial post are my best plays most of the time. And sometimes I'd add that I'm "leaning" on some other games that may be plays later in the day. But as far as these go...I know for a fact, unless there is a huge pitching change or freak injury, I will not be adding another play today.

If he was so great,he'd be favored and not a dog at home.

Quote Originally Posted by jdnmoney:

GL sparky...i always check your thread and love the info...i have done really well this year myself...

i am against you in the KC v DET o/u and think that the twins will also win tomorrow against the struggling BOSOX....

with that said...best of luck to you sparky...maybe we can get a split huh?  

If need be...I'll take the push on the O/U.

Mo kept us safe in the 9th.