Today Is Tuesday, And It's All About The Yankees!!!!!!!

31-22 +21.21 units

Well...back to the grind with this monsterous writeup that I hope you ALL enjoy.

Yankees -1.5 +125
Risking 5 units to win 6.25 units
I know what you're going to say. People will think this is a biased pick. People will bring up the fact that the Angels hit Pettitte well. But you know what...that doesn't matter to me. What matters to me is the fact that the Yankees are on a 1 game Opening Day losing streak. That won't happen again. Before last season's loss to Cliff Lee and the Indians, the Yankees were on an 11 game Opening Day winning streak, covering the runline in each game except for 1. That 1 game was against Doc Halladay. Of course...the teams are different from those years compared to this year. However...each team had different players every year and still won. It's tradition. And last season...the Yankees thrived in that new ballpark of theirs, finishing the season with the best home record in baseball. Now...while they lose Damon and Matsui who had perfect swings for that ballpark...they filled those spots with Nick Johnson and Curtis Granderson who also have great swings for that wind tunnel to right field. Now last season...basically the only game that had an ass in every seat was the opener. And maybe some playoff games. I expect the same thing here. I mean...the game is sold out...it's all about if they want to go or sell the tickets. In this case...people will buy the tickets. Who wouldn't want to go to the Season Opener of the New York Yankees after having won a World Series for the first time in nearly a decade? This crowd will be CRAZY. And the Angels don't really have the fan base around here to buy tons of seats to cheer on the Halos like the Red Sox probably could if they were opening here. If you noticed yesterday...I threw all stats out the window when it came to teams winning their home openers. So far this season...most strong teams won their opener. The Tigers, Twins, Red Sox, Angels, Chi.Sox, Giants, Braves, Cubs, Phillies, Rays, Rockies, Diamondbacks, Cardinals and Rangers all won their home openers. The only teams that didn't win that are highly regarded around the league are the Mariners and Brewers. On top of that...11 of the 14 teams covered the runline. The only teams that didn't were the Giants, Rays and Rangers, who all, coincidently, came from behind and won by a walkoff. Now...I want to do a little test here. If you have actually read this writeup, please post a "wink" emoticon in your response. I'm curious to see how many people actually read and how many just say "nice writeup, keep up the great work". So the Yankees don't have mindblowing stats against Santana. Nobody really hits him well aside from Jeter who averages .435. But for some reason or another...he has a 6.94 ERA in 4 starts (23.1 IP) since 2007. The problem though...Pettitte is somehow worse in a bigger sample size. In 8 starts (45 IP) he has a 7.60 ERA since 07'. That's very very bad. Basically...I expect a slugfest that the Yankees win obviously. I mean...who wants to have a slugfest with the Yankees? Who knows...maybe they'll be the ones putting up 22 runs. The Yankees' offense has been ROCKING this season averaging 6 runs a game, while the Angels, who does have a solid offense, has only averaged 3.4 runs per game. Their pitching has been bad and they just haven't been playing good ball starting off with a 2-5 record with both wins coming from Jered Weaver. This is Andy's last season in baseball. It's inevitable and he's basically already said that. Well...what better way to add another home opener win to his resume? He already has a 2-0 record in home openers...lets make it a solid 3. Especially in the "new" Yankee Stadium. Santana is a righty, which is even better for the Yanks. It turns Tex to his right side, allows Granderson to make contact with a pitch, and some righties have a tough time in this ballpark. Especially if you don't have "ACE" kind of stuff, which Santana doesn't. I'm not saying he's a "bad" pitcher...but he's certainly not a guy I'd build my team around. Pettitte dueled with Lackey in his first start of the season and he did something new this Spring that he hasn't done before. He barely pitched. His starts go backed up so many times because of rain he was forced to pitch some intrasquad games and never really got to play in so many actual Spring Training games. Maybe that was a blessing in disguise somehow. The Red Sox have hit Pettitte well in the past, especially in Fenway, and he did a great job shutting them down for the most part. I think he may have a similar season to last year and come retire on top like Mussina did. Maybe not 20 wins...but 15 is not out of the question. The Angels bullpen has not been strong so far this season...and the Yankees have been really working the count. Swisher gets a 3-2 count just about every time. Nick Swisher now has a .360+ OBP with an under .150 BA which is really saying something. So...when it's all said and done...the Yankees will walk away with a win of at least 2 runs here...probably 5 imho, and continue where they left off last season. I now have carpel tunnel so you better appreciate this.

BOL All. Have A Great Day.

Since you didn't put it in proper paragraphs,i'm not reading what you wrote.

Do you really think anybody thought you were going to bet different. 

So do i ,Santana has a winning record against the Yanks.

And they do hit LHP's well.

So Scorpio...how is this any different from writting 1 big paragraph? Are you only going to read 1-2 paragraphs? If that's the case...why read it at all?

I'm glad some people took the time to read it.

Angels/Yankees Over 10 -105
Risking 3.15 units to win 3 units
If you read my inital writeup...you'd know I expect a high scoring blowout...I mean affair.

I wouldn't consider the Rays' series "tough". Game 1 was bad and game's 2 and 3 weren't all that tough. And besides...the Yankees had day's off between all 3 series' so far.

gl 

Quote Originally Posted by BarneysDad:

Yes Sir, the Halo's should be rested to play that 11 AM  ball game. I only got + 110    < ----------------  I was when it came out.    Grab some of  my Dodger Blue RL too Bud , home opener will not let you down with their lefty stud on the hill. .   matter of fact Im taking 4 home lefties tomorrow.

Yea...I took the Dodgers too. Couldn't resist that stat for the home openers from these top clubs.

I'm going to try to read it right now.Thanks

The players play the game,not the fans.

Secondly,who says they can't lose two opening days in a row.

Your writeup has a bunch of hopes and wishes in it.

Good Luck with the your beloved Yankees tomorrow.

Dodgers -1.5 +130
Risking 4 units to win 5.20 units
Like I've been saying...14 of the 16 clubs that I consider "top teams" have won their home opener and 11 of the 14 covered the runline. So...why stop now? This will be the last team on list...so I'll try to cash while I can. Kershaw has faced the DBacks 3 times in his young career and has a 4.40 ERA in 14.1 IP. However...the more important stat, imo, is his 2.48 Home ERA in his career in 27 starts (149 IP). With that said...I think he does his job. He walked 6 batters in his opener. That has been his problem in his young career. He tends to walk a lot of batters from time to time. So far he has a 4.7 BB/9 in his career. He will really have to work on that. It's a big concern. But...that is my only concern here. And with Ian Kennedy opposing him...I think the Dodgers will put a hurting on him to make up for any walks Kershaw gives up. But I personally can't see the DBacks scoring more than 3 runs in this game...and that won't be enough to win this game.

I'm taking the Dodgers also but too scared to take the run line thinking this game goes under.

Well anyone who took the Angels in Game 6 of the ALCS because the Angels "own" Pettitte would have lost then too. And you should know as well as I do that everyone needs hopes and wishes to win bets. It's NEVER "all about the stats". Is it a hope and a wish when I say Nick Johnson and Curtis Granderson's swings are perfect for Yankee Stadium? Are you saying that a strong fan base doesn't pump up the home team? Am I hoping that the Yankees are better than the Angels so far this season...or is that a fact? Of course I have hopes and wishes in my writeups...technically I have had a "hope" and a "wish" in every single big writeup I've made since I've signed up to Covers. Hell...if you look back at my threads I'm sure I say "I expect..." in just about every one. An expectation is the same thing. But if people choose to tail me without reading what I have to say, that's not my fault. If they agree with what I say...I'm glad I can help. If they don't agree...then don't put the play in. But it's how I do every writeup...not just the Yankees. Like I said when I first started typing..."people will think this is a biased pick", which I'm sure you do. And it is what it is I guess. If I win...than it is sure as hell 1 solid biased pick.

Have A Great Day.

The way I see it is if they win...they'll cover the runline. I just can't lay that juice if that's the feeling I have towards it.

NYY are the World Champs,and probably win at least 95 games this year.

So the odds say you'll probably win tomorrow.

Really i should be glad i don't have to lay -200 for the Yanks.