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Anyone ever try picking ONLY HOME TEAMS ML's?????

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Views: 288
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Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2008
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Posted: #1
Just a quick question to my fellow cappers.

Has anyone ever picked
ONLY HOME TEAMS ML for every game every day

Kind of the way the grandma capper thing is going on with only dogs...

It looks like over the past 4 days it would clear 60% rather easy...

Any input??  (looking for something new, I am typically a 2-4 play per day)
 
Prospect
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Posted: #2
Yea, I usually favor the home teams on betting but not everyday. Unless I find a streaking team like Colorado or good road teams  with good defense like the Dodgers and Phillys.
 
 I also  think right now is a good time to start pounding on AL teams in their ball park during intreleague play
.NL teams struggle a lot during this stretch.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #3
Thanks KillBee

I might start an only home test after the all-star break

The problem I know is the juice...most times the home teams will have a lot and catch up with the winners is my guess..

I am on all AL but SF tonight

 
Prospect
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Posted: #4
So far this season, playing all home faves would lose you 28.1 units.  Too much juice to overcome most of the time.
 
Last year you would have lost you around 16 units for the season.
 
All things considered, it's a losing proposition. 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #5
Sorry.... read that post wrong.  If you add home dogs as well (so you're playing all home teams like you said), those are running at +12.7 units for the season.  A net loss of 15.4 units.
 
2008 home dogs were +23 units, so you actually would have made 7 units for the year.
 
Still a tough way to go.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #6
wow that's for the great info!

Saved me $ and time....good lookin out
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #7
Agreed with JT, Its never a wise choice to always bet on home teams just the good ones. I meant in a logical stanpoint, its like  picking the good apples from the bad ones. Such as when the dodgers began their home streak of 14 games streak.
 
Also from my standpoint sometimes  you have to bite the bullet and eat the moneylines  of -130,-145, -170 etc. But if you find a dominant team which in my oppinion theyre arent( Since Manram got suspended) bet on the RL.
 
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