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MLB TUESDAY: Verlander + Short Price = Auto-Play

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Posted: #1
Yesterday: 0-1, -1.00 units
YTD: 205-173-16, +55.46 units

The only thing left to say after last night: Eric Wedge

At least I won't be backing that shitbag team again tonight ... oh wait, never mind, it looks like I will be.


Stl +107

Verlander is on a tear right now.

More losers coming later.


 
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Damnit. What happened to my emoticon:

The only thing left to say after last night: Eric Wedge
 
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Posted: #3
was thinking the same and the line seems soooooo low to me
 
only cause he is going against the human doucebag
 
GL haven't pulled the trigger but really thinking about it and also like no runs in the 1st inning
 
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by Mike_NYC:

Damnit. What happened to my emoticon:

The only thing left to say after last night: Eric Wedge

lou piniella, manny acta, joe girardi, 

add those to the list and there will be many more in the coming weeks

 
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I'm confused....so you explain the reasoning for the other side then throw out your pick without any reasons....

gl I guess
 
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Posted: #6
ive watched verlanders last 4 starts and hes looked amazing but im staying away from this game bc of the small price. I was leaning towards STL tho. I actually like the Under 4 in the first 5 inning.
 
my POD is posted on my covers page if u wanna take a look.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by ApeTit:

M-NYC...New Guy here.  What's your theory of playing the fav minus a run as opposed to the $ line besides the obvious?  Is there a certain criteria that swing it to a run line play...ect?  Just picking your brain.  Thx


That's a good question. Personally, I hate laying more than -120 juice, so if I really like a team that's a heavy favorite, I will make it a -1 run play to reduce the juice, or make it a plus-money play. Like the Indians last night, for example. Or the Rockies, most likely, tonight.

As a heads-up, though, there are more experienced cappers on here like KingScorpio who frown against this strategy because if the team you're backing wins by one run (which happens in, what, 30% of all games), you're throwing away a profit. You don't lose the wager, but you don't win it either. Just presenting the other side.


 
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Posted: #8
GL BRO
 
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Posted: #9
Already lock under 7.5 in this game, but also stl is my lean. GL
 
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GL MIKE
 
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GL MIKE
 
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Home team seeing a 32/68 action split. Line moves from -113/+105 this morning to -129/+121. Right up my alley.

Bal -1 +114


 
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Posted: #13
2-0!  gl mike!
 
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Posted: #14
nice i like st. louis, what happend last time verlander pitched a CG, he lost his next game on the raod,
 
i like fading pitchers after a CG.
 
i
 
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Posted: #15
 
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Pit +123
Tor 1H +175 (1/2 unit)
Tor +180 (1/2 unit)
Cle 1H +128 (1/2 unit)
Cle +136 (1/2 unit)
Fla 1H +148 (1/2 unit)
Fla +158 (1/2 unit)
Hou +127
Arz +140
Col -113

May post a few of the later games ... well ... later.


 
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Posted: #17
Im on the Tigers tonight, BOL bro
 
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Posted: #18
Love all your plays except the O's, Mets are my POD
Gambling is only a problem when your losing!
 
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Posted: #19
Hey Mike 12 pays and counting .  Say it ain't so!!! 
 
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Posted: #20
watch out for Wainwright. His and Verlanders Sagarin Ratings suggest a PASS, but a play on the UNDER is the only play, if there is one......
whatcha gotta do is watch for clues....
 
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by sailing58:

Hey Mike 12 pays and counting .  Say it ain't so!!! 


9, actually, but thanks for keeping track.


 
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Posted: #22
Detroit opened at -120 now down to -114 and poundage on the Tigers side.  80% for ML and RL.  We aren't hitting very well as of late.  No consistent lineup lately and Cabrerra's 1 for 90 with a hamstring problem.  I'm sure St. Louis will start hitting against us.  Verlander is due for the 5 or 6 inning 4 ER line.  Should be enough with our gay bullpen for a St. Louis victory. 
 
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Posted: #23
No ludwick tonight
 
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Posted: #24
i'm taking the cards tonite and hope i don't regret it
 
 
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