Posted:
#1
Record: 10-1-0
Units: +9.70
Another solid day yesterday. My first two come from behind wins as both Oakland & Toronto were down at one point. Only loss came in the Over I had on LAD/SD. Thirteen men were left on base that game, a couple clutch hits and I probably could have still been perfect.
7:07pm: Detroit/Toronto Under 9 (+101) for 1 unit
I'm thinking this game is a gimme for Under backers. Let's start with the Jays. Jesse Litsch has seen the Tigers once and pitched 7 shutout innings, allowing just 4 hits & 2 walks. The Jays have hit four home runs in the first two games of the year. They're way ahead of where they should be and the bats should quiet down to 3-4 runs on Wednesday. On the Tigers' side, Zach Miner takes the ball. He's seen the Jays five times including two starts posting impressive numbers (1.62 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, .226 Opp Avg) along the way. Miguel Cabrera has started hot but I expect a down game on Wednesday. This is a 6-7 run game.
I'm thinking this game is a gimme for Under backers. Let's start with the Jays. Jesse Litsch has seen the Tigers once and pitched 7 shutout innings, allowing just 4 hits & 2 walks. The Jays have hit four home runs in the first two games of the year. They're way ahead of where they should be and the bats should quiet down to 3-4 runs on Wednesday. On the Tigers' side, Zach Miner takes the ball. He's seen the Jays five times including two starts posting impressive numbers (1.62 ERA, 1.08 WHIP, .226 Opp Avg) along the way. Miguel Cabrera has started hot but I expect a down game on Wednesday. This is a 6-7 run game.
7:10pm: Cincinnati Reds ML (-103) for 1 unit
I almost got this at +101 but it changed as I tried to make the bet. Edinson Volquez had trouble with the Mets in his lone start against him but I like the timing of this game more. Volquez is a solid 4-0 through 5 starts in April to accompany a stunning 1.23 ERA & .198 Opposing Average. Pelfrey is the opposite, a 2-3 record in 7 April starts along with a 5.75 ERA & .338 Opposing Average. The Reds are a lot better than people give them credit for too.
I almost got this at +101 but it changed as I tried to make the bet. Edinson Volquez had trouble with the Mets in his lone start against him but I like the timing of this game more. Volquez is a solid 4-0 through 5 starts in April to accompany a stunning 1.23 ERA & .198 Opposing Average. Pelfrey is the opposite, a 2-3 record in 7 April starts along with a 5.75 ERA & .338 Opposing Average. The Reds are a lot better than people give them credit for too.
10:05pm: Oakland/Los Angeles Over 9 (-102) for 1 unit
The bats are alive already for these two teams. Nick Adenhart takes the mound for Los Angeles on Wednesday. He has three career starts, compiling a 9.00 ERA, 2.58 ERA & .360 Opposing Average. One of those starts was against Oakland where he allowed 5 runs on 3 hits & 5 walks in just 2 innings of work. Dana Eveland will be opposite him for the A's. Eveland has seen the Angels three times in his career and has posted a disastorous 6.06 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and a somehow small .242 Opposing Average. There's a reason why he seems to bounce from team to team.
The bats are alive already for these two teams. Nick Adenhart takes the mound for Los Angeles on Wednesday. He has three career starts, compiling a 9.00 ERA, 2.58 ERA & .360 Opposing Average. One of those starts was against Oakland where he allowed 5 runs on 3 hits & 5 walks in just 2 innings of work. Dana Eveland will be opposite him for the A's. Eveland has seen the Angels three times in his career and has posted a disastorous 6.06 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and a somehow small .242 Opposing Average. There's a reason why he seems to bounce from team to team.
10:15pm: San Francisco Giants ML (-104) for 1 unit
I like Randy Johnson to have a great year this year. He enters a ballpark that should help him reach the big 300 easier than if he was still in Arizona. A solid 18-9 career against Milwaukee with a 3.70 ERA & .213 Opposing Average. April numbers are equally impressive with a 3.64 ERA & .217 Opposing Average. I've never been high on Yovani Gallardo, and I still think he's going to bottom out. Through two starts against the Giants he's allowed 8 runs on 11 hits & 6 walks in 9.1 innings. That equals out to a 7.71 ERA, 1.82 WHIP & .297 Opposing Average.
I like Randy Johnson to have a great year this year. He enters a ballpark that should help him reach the big 300 easier than if he was still in Arizona. A solid 18-9 career against Milwaukee with a 3.70 ERA & .213 Opposing Average. April numbers are equally impressive with a 3.64 ERA & .217 Opposing Average. I've never been high on Yovani Gallardo, and I still think he's going to bottom out. Through two starts against the Giants he's allowed 8 runs on 11 hits & 6 walks in 9.1 innings. That equals out to a 7.71 ERA, 1.82 WHIP & .297 Opposing Average.
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