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Author: [NHL Betting] Topic: LA KINGS FUTURES TICKET
KVEGAS send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 5/23/2012 10:45:56 PM
Have the Kings to win the Stanley Cup @ 34/1.

$50 to win $1,700

How should I go about Hedging this?

Some Insight?

I think the Kings win the cup, any way I can hedge this on a game to game basis?

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#2
Posted: 5/23/2012 10:53:19 PM
I got almost same ticket. My $50 only pays about $992. I'm hoping for a game 7 Jersey win for better value to hedge.
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LeRinkRat
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#3
Posted: 5/23/2012 10:58:37 PM
Kings SHOULD be a slight fav in the finals considering their road record. just bet either the Devils or Rangers series at +$$$
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#4
Posted: 5/23/2012 11:07:09 PM
Yeah, I know rat. Just not one to hedge normally. Hate doing things the "right way" . was thinking about taking the other team should an elimination game come the Kings way. Do you think that's too risky? 
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#5
Posted: 5/23/2012 11:42:01 PM
Ive got a Devils 35-1 going
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LeRinkRat
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#6
Posted: 5/23/2012 11:47:36 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by KVEGAS:

Yeah, I know rat. Just not one to hedge normally. Hate doing things the "right way" . was thinking about taking the other team should an elimination game come the Kings way. Do you think that's too risky? 

Ahh, I'm OLD and CAUTIOUS. I agree that the Kings SHOULD be able to beat either the Devils or Rangers BUT you NEVER KNOW, I would probably put enough to at LEAST get a dime out of it IF something shitty happens. HEY you got the ADVANTAGE @ +$$$

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#7
Posted: 5/24/2012 12:19:51 AM
I agree with LERINK, even if you put a few hundred on the team from the east, I assume you would still be happy with the large amount that you will get if the kings wi. btw the oilers in '83 had only 1 playoff loss going into the Stanley Cup finals and they got swept by the Islanders who had 5 losses going into it. Just saying anything is possible but if you want to take the risk on LA then go for it. I got a series bet on them too and I plan to take the east team in 7 games at much better odds then the flat series price
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#8
Posted: 5/24/2012 1:10:47 AM
[Quote: Originally Posted by LeRinkRat] Kings SHOULD be a slight fav in the finals considering their road record. just bet either the Devils or Rangers series at +$$$ [/Quot
i think kings wont be the favorite
its pick em at max. probably slight dog.
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vegasdennis
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#9
Posted: 5/24/2012 1:42:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kevinkim:

Originally Posted by LeRinkRat] Kings SHOULD be a slight fav in the finals considering their road record. just bet either the Devils or Rangers series at +$$$ [/Quot
i think kings wont be the favorite
its pick em at max. probably slight dog.

Kings will be favored
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#10
Posted: 5/24/2012 1:45:35 AM

hedge a 500 dollar bet on devils or rangers, you will probably be able to get the eastern team at about +800 so your worst case scenario is you win 800 bucks lol...

But i think kings win easily no matter who it is, but i think its the devils

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#11
Posted: 5/24/2012 1:46:36 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Ferguson_Funk:

hedge a 500 dollar bet on devils or rangers, you will probably be able to get the eastern team at about +130 so your worst case scenario is you win 800 bucks lol...

But i think kings win easily no matter who it is, but i think its the devils

FIXED lol

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#12
Posted: 5/24/2012 2:11:43 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vegasdennis:


Kings will be favored
because public will hit the kings no matter what...?
for me the home ice is still there for the devils and the rangers, coyotes is coyotes 
anyway i think kings will not win the cup.
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#13
Posted: 5/24/2012 2:14:06 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kevinkim:

because public will hit the kings no matter what...?
for me the home ice is still there for the devils and the rangers, coyotes is coyotes 
anyway i think kings will not win the cup.

Couple reasons in my mind.

1 only 2 loses in playoffs

2 undefeated on road

As a kings fan hope you are right love to get them at + money 
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#14
Posted: 5/24/2012 2:17:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vegasdennis:


Couple reasons in my mind.

1 only 2 loses in playoffs

2 undefeated on road

As a kings fan hope you are right love to get them at + money 
honestly i think its a pickem in the final.
i still think the rangers win the cup.
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#15
Posted: 5/24/2012 2:19:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kevinkim:

honestly i think its a pickem in the final.
i still think the rangers win the cup.

GL will be fun 
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#16
Posted: 5/24/2012 3:32:41 AM
Yeah, I guess you're all right. Would be foolish not to hedge somewhat. Here's to hoping I can get the Eastern conference champion at + Money. 
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El_Terrifico
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#17
Posted: 5/24/2012 6:57:57 AM
I have a futures on New Jersey, Im going to hedge it, I dont see the Kings losing in the finals, the LA steamroll continues I think. So if I had an LA futures, Id roll with it.
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#18
Posted: 5/24/2012 9:11:09 AM
It's 50 bucks!  No hedge necessary.  Let it roll.  Good luck with whatever you decide to do! 
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#19
Posted: 5/24/2012 9:22:24 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by drivetime:

It's 50 bucks!  No hedge necessary.  Let it roll.  Good luck with whatever you decide to do! 

I would definitely not take this advice.  Why not guarantee yourself a profit?  Just because your original stake wasn't very much doesn't mean you shouldn't guarantee yourself a handsome profit.  It all comes down to personal greed here.

Right now the Rangers are +600 and the Devils are +210.

Why not put $200 on The devils and $100 on the Rangers right now?

Kings win- $1700 - $200- $100 = $1400

Devils Win- $620 - $50 - $100 = $470 profit

Rangers Win - $700 - $50 - $200 = $450 profit

You're telling me you still wouldn't take $1,400 of profit if your original bet wins, knowing you can't lose?

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#20
Posted: 5/24/2012 2:06:01 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by kevinkim:

honestly i think its a pickem in the final.
i still think the rangers win the cup.

Rangers have to do a 1994 to even GET there

and duke8628 makes a good point. "You're telling me you still wouldn't take $1,400 of profit if your original bet wins, knowing you can't lose?"

 

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#21
Posted: 5/24/2012 2:42:05 PM
Wait till finals are set and slap $800 on the east at probably even money. Profit of $750 at least if the east wins.
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#22
Posted: 5/24/2012 3:02:38 PM
assuming the east team is +120ish i'd put $700 on the east

if east wins the cup profit = 800ish

if kings wins the cup profit = 1000ish

if you do that you're basically putting in a new bet:
Risk 0
To Win 800 or 1000

seems like a no brainer...
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