Afternoon Unders Trial

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Author: [NHL Betting] Topic: Afternoon Unders Trial
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/6/2012 10:22:37 PM

Havent back tested this on previous years but gonna start a thread to see if can find filters to make 100% or very close to it.

So far this season:

1 pm ET games: 8 unders 2 overs ( both overs 6 goals )

Next Plays:

Jan 7: Van/Bos Ott/Phi

LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 1/6/2012 10:45:31 PM
matinees have traditionally been UNDERS over the years. think it's because it's a wierd time to play and that gets the players out of sync.
LeRinkRat PM LeRinkRat
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Posted: 1/6/2012 10:46:54 PM
btw GOOD stats and GOOD catch, Burly
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/7/2012 11:58:39 PM

thanks LeRinkRat

Van/Bos

Ott/Phi

Record: 9-3

Next Play

Jan 14 Chi/Det

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/8/2012 12:11:01 AM

Also if all games from 1 pm ET to 4 pm ET the record is 20-11 (65%)

Also I still have to backcheck if a filter of not betting if a starting goalie has a GAA of over 3.00 would improve the record.

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/14/2012 3:21:50 PM
Chi/Det
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/16/2012 7:21:05 PM

Also Jan 14:

3 pm ET Col/Dal

3 pm ET Nj/Win

Jan 15:

1 pm ET Pit/Tb

Jan 16:

1 pm ET Nas/Nyi

4 pm ET Col/Phx

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/16/2012 7:23:06 PM

record 11-4 for 1 pm games

record is 24-13 for 1-4 pm games

 

Getatit PM Getatit
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Posted: 1/16/2012 10:23:24 PM
Like this. 
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/21/2012 2:32:24 PM

sorry these games have already started

Nyr/Bos Phi/NJ 1 pm ET

there is also two 4 pm ET games

SJ/Van Ott/Ana

LuckyNumber9 PM LuckyNumber9
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Posted: 1/21/2012 2:48:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Burly:

sorry these games have already started

Nyr/Bos Phi/NJ 1 pm ET

there is also two 4 pm ET games

SJ/Van Ott/Ana



There goes that idea.
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/21/2012 4:08:40 PM

two 1 pm games

Nyr/Bos

Phi/NJ

13-4 for 1 pm ET games

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/21/2012 4:56:25 PM

Found a filter that would eliminate the three of four losses, it would also eliminate some wins too, but something to watch for.  Take both teams Over/Under totals ( pushes count as unders ) add them together, if the Overs equal more than the Unders its a NO PLAY.  If the Unders equal more than the Overs it is a PLAY.

The only loss that would we still would have had is the Van/Bos game in which the Over/Unders were equal.

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/21/2012 5:00:26 PM

the filter is only for 1 pm ET games, no filter yet for the later games, im sure the filter would help but havent back checked throughly enough, i will post the record for the 1 pm ET games with the new filter once ive gone through all the wins to see how many would be eliminated.

Any input is welcome, and appricated

potvin PM potvin
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Posted: 1/21/2012 5:01:18 PM
good garbage burly!
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/21/2012 8:54:26 PM

Alright done the backchecking heres the outcome:

using filter and including plays when O/U equal: 11-1

using filter and filtering plays when O/U equal: 7-0

 

 

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/21/2012 8:55:53 PM

I will try my best to post the upcoming plays and if they fit the filter or not

Lets win some

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/21/2012 9:26:35 PM

almost missed this one for tomorrow

Was/Pit 43 Overs 45 Unders: Play Under

 

BJaRz PM BJaRz
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Posted: 1/21/2012 9:44:27 PM
BlueHens1640 PM BlueHens1640
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Posted: 1/21/2012 10:50:17 PM
That's a total of 88 games but they played a combined 93 games what am I missing? Liking ur thinking tho buddy!
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BlueHens1640 PM BlueHens1640
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Posted: 1/21/2012 10:57:00 PM
I gotcha the caps pushed 5...

Good stuff let's win some cash tomorrow!
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HockeyTeeth PM HockeyTeeth
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Posted: 1/21/2012 11:06:25 PM
good luck, hope you win a boatload of cash, how do pushes count as unders? or did i misinterpret that? im thinking of riding a side for a month, regardless of teams, goalies, trends. going to do it on the contest thingy no cash involved. i cant pick totals at all. 
realtime28 PM realtime28
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Posted: 1/22/2012 1:06:10 AM
u r a geniusss
Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/22/2012 4:30:37 AM

yes i count pushes as unders

just an addition all plays should be made at 5.5 if possible

Burly PM Burly
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Posted: 1/22/2012 3:29:22 PM

Was/Pit

11-2 when unders total higher or equal

7-1 when unders total higher

sorry guys

 

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