Posted: 10/2/2011 11:08:42 AM
My favorite future bet of the year is Phoenix not to make the playoffs at +140
Their point total is only 87.5 (could go either way), but they're giving me +140 for them not to make the playoffs??????
Right now I have these teams and a couple more ahead of them:
The Yotes made the playoffs last year with mirrors. They were only +5 in goal differential and were middle of the road in goals per game and goals against. Their special teams were also lousy, but somehow they hit 99 points and made the playoffs. Bryzgalov is gone and now Mike Smith is now their #1 goalie and he has never played 50 games in a season before. LaBarbera is the backup.
Phoenix has as few skilled forwards as any team in the league. Doan was their leading scorer with only 20 goals and 60 points. They did it by committee and got a real nice year from Yandle to go with Brzgalov's typical solid play.
I think Phoenix will be closer to a top 5 pick in next years draft than making the playoffs. I absolutely love getting that kind of plus money on this wager.
The other non season point total bet I placed that I really like is St. Louis to make the playoffs at +240
Most people forget that when the Blues were healthy last year to start the season they got out of the gate with a 9-1-2 record after beating the B's and the NYR on back to back nights on the road. They were riding high with the best record in the league at that moment.
That all came crashing down in the next game when they got blown out by Columbus and lost Oshie to a broken ankle. They also realized that the concussion that David Perron suffered a few games earlier was much worse than originally thought. McDonald was then lost for a long stretch as well. Also many of their defensemen started dropping like flies. Coincidently the play of Halak also went in the shitter and they never recovered. Any team that loses their top 3 skilled wingers simultaneously will struggle.
St. Louis now has Chris Stewart as their top winger. Oshie is healthy and in the best shape of his life, while there is now hope that Perron will be coming back sooner than later. I still like this bet even if Perron never comes back. The signing of Arnott and Langenbrunner gave the Blues much needed veteran leadership and also helped with the depth on the 3rd line.
Oshie Berglund Stewart
McDonald Backes D'Agostini
Steen Arnott Langenbrunner
That is three lines that can score. Berglund and Stewart had instant chemistry. If, and once Perron comes back, the lines will be that much stronger because it will allow Oshie to slide down and play on the 2nd line, while Dago can play on the 3rd line to give Langenbrunner rest.
Perron Berglund Stewart
McDonald Backes Oshie
Steen Arnott D'Agostini
Having the very underrated Steen as a 3rd line winger shows this team now has good forward depth. Backes is one of the best two way centers in the NHL.
Injuries always occur, but the Blues are much more equipped this year to handle some injuries. The only thing I'm really concerned about right now is if Halak plays poorly and/or gets hurt. Elliot is the backup, but if Halak goes down for a long time don't be surprised to see the Blues call up Jake Allen to see how he would handle the role as their #1 goalie.
The bottom line is that I see St. Louis making the playoffs this year and I'm getting +240 to see if I'm right!