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Win rate of favorites / dogs in NHL

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Veteran
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Posted: #1
Guys,

What's the overall win rate of the favorites / dogs in the NHL?

I'll google this question, but I thought that I'd ask, not only for myself, but for other newbies (to NHL) who may have this same question.

I do know that in MLB baseball, the favorites win an average of 58% of the time; the dogs win 42% of the time.

Thanks.
 
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Posted: #2
Well, after 45 minutes of googling, I've YET to find out the average winning percentages of all teams in the NHL, sheesh.

I thought that this would be a piece-of-cake bit of research! Not!

If any of you know, can you kindly chime in? Thanks.
 
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Posted: #3
Ok, I found this site...

https://www.hockey-reference.com/leagues/NHL_2011.html

... that looks promising, so I'm look'n into it.


 
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Posted: #4
Bloody hell!

The Hockey-Reference site has the wins/losses, but NO SU win/loss percentages? WTF?

And I've looked at other sites... NO dice so far. Just that bloody point shit. Sheesh.

It seems that I will have to do each teams win/loss % by my own calculator, one at a frigg'n time, then average it out myself.

Sheesh! WTF?
 
Legend
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Posted: #5
unfortunately https://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nhl/trends/league/season.html has already dumped last season stats. overall it was about 54% vs 46% moneyline favs vs dogs and around those numbers has been pretty much standard for years.
 
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Posted: #6
LeRinkRat --

Thank you for your response and I really appreciate it. I started to think that nobody gave a damn.

I really like those win-loss-tie ML stats... supports underdog betting, big-time. You gave me exactly what I needed -- an overall win-loss-tie ML stat that has held up over the years.

Now I will be looking at some stats through most games last season to see if the pattern that I found in baseball holds up in hockey, and so far, the pattern has held up, so I'll post about that in a new thread when I'm finally done with my research.

Again, thanks for posting, LeRinkRat.
 
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Posted: #7
It might take a bit of time BUT...  You can always use Covers data...

Start by going to https://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/nhl/teams/teams.html
Then click on a specific team and this takes you to the Teams Page. Click on the Past Result tab. Select the year you are interested in... There are 15 years worth of results. copy and paste the data from the table into Excel and you can manipulate any way you wish. As far as the M/L column having both the game result and moneyline in it, it is very easy to just do a "Text to Columns" manipulation and separate the game result from the moneyline into two columns.

What would be interesting is to do this for all teams last year, on a month to month basis and see what the % of wins is for the underdogs for the first month of the season, second month of the season, etc.

Actually 3 years of breaking down the teams on a month to month would be very interesting to see what the variance from year to year is. I have always heard that dogs are the money for the first month or two... I guess I can see to what extent...
 
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Posted: #8
Jan and Feb look good for betting New Jersey underdogs...

Link Will update as I add teams.
 
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Posted: #9
New Link
 
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Posted: #10
New Link

Is anybody looking at this?
 
Prospect
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Posted: #11
Me-- I'm convinced the dogs are early in the season---both BB @ NHL but lack data
 
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Posted: #12
What I got so far... Link

October is best month to bet underdogs.
May is the worse month to bet underdogs.

Never bet NY Islanders as an underdog.

If anyone has a question about the numbers post it...

Comments?
 
Prospect
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Joined: Dec, 2008
Posts: 477
Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by Randisist:


Never bet NY Islanders as an underdog.



lol lol

you are joking i guess??

ny islanders are $$$$$as dog!
 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #14
I'm trying  this year
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