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neverlayoff's NHL SUNDAY PICKS w/ 60* play and GAME of the YEAR! HUGE CARD !

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SATURDAY RESULTS:
Sides: 2-4 -3110
PL Plays: 1-1 +500
OVER/UNDERS: 0-2 -3000
OVERALL: -5610

2011 Results TO DATE:
Sides: 75-77
12-6 PL PLAYS
22-32-5 Over/Unders
OVERALL: -$12385

SUNDAYS CARD:

BUFFALO 6000/3000  ***Game of the year***
BUFFALO -.5 (reg)5000/4000
BUFFALO -1.5 2000/3000

BOSTON 1000/1100
NYR -.5 (reg) 1000/1150
CAROLINA 2000/2300
CAROLINA -.5 (reg) 1000/1500
SAN JOSE 3500/2500
SAN JOSE -.5 (reg) 1500/1650
ANAHEIM 2700/2000
ANAHEIM -.5 (reg) 1000/1150


REALLY LIKE THIS CARD AND VERY CONFIDENT WITH THE TPICKS. IF I GET SMASHED TODAY I'LL HAVE TO START NEW AND DROP MY BETS OR QUIT BETTING NHL FOR AWHILE. BOL
 
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Posted: #2
26700 $ in play, you think anyone believes this shit?
 
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MVP
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Posted: #4

GL NLO

your GOT BIG  today  if you hit the buf game on the p.l. you will be fine

 
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Posted: #5

Thats just under 27k wagered for today. 

Just curious what book are you using?

 

You learn more from losing than winning. You learn how to keep going.
 
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Posted: #6

Quote Originally Posted by Dith:

26700 $ in play, you think anyone believes this shit?

I hear ya...And down 12k already in just over a month

You learn more from losing than winning. You learn how to keep going.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by thehuntman:

Thats just under 27k wagered for today. 

Just curious what book are you using?

 



TY all. Local obv, 10K max wager

Need a big day
 
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Posted: #8

Quote Originally Posted by neverlayoff:



TY all. Local obv, 10K max wager

Need a big day

 

 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by Dith:

26700 $ in play, you think anyone believes this shit?


Nothing against neverlayoff but...

I sure don't.

If he does happen to be telling the truth about his betting amounts, not sure why they would be posted on covers.

GL regardless.


 
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Posted: #10
The thing to me is...

If you are betting this high, you HAVE to be doing it on matchbook. On every single bet you place you are costing yourself 5-10 cents juice. Over the long haul that is going to destroy you. (if you really are betting tens of thousands of dollars)
 
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Posted: #11
im on buffalooo myself !! hopefully layin this much juiceee , a better outcome
 
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Posted: #12

Anybody who is betting this kinda $$$$$ daily would not be posting on a public forum.

GL with the plays

 

 
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Posted: #13
Ty for the advice rangerz.

Adding one 5 game parlay for 3PM on games:

BUFF/NYR/CAR/SJ/ANA 1100 pays 14,800


SUNDAYS FINAL CARD:

BUFFALO 6000/3000  ***Game of the year***
BUFFALO -.5 (reg)5000/4000
BUFFALO -1.5 2000/3000
BOSTON 1000/1100
NYR -.5 (reg) 1000/1150
CAROLINA 2000/2300
CAROLINA -.5 (reg) 1000/1500
SAN JOSE 3500/2500
SAN JOSE -.5 (reg) 1500/1650
ANAHEIM 2700/2000
ANAHEIM -.5 (reg) 1000/1150

Parlay:
BUFF/NYR/CAR/SJ/ANA 1100 pays 14,800

Back later GL all


 
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Posted: #14

wow

 

 

 
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Posted: #15

Good Luck my friend !!!

 
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Posted: #16

I for one don't care or believe 3/4's of the people when they state the amount they are wagering.

When people say they are betting 50 UNITS, I have to laugh.

Wish you nothing but luck though bro......whether it's a dollar (literally) or 1,000

 
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Posted: #17
Good luck today bro !!! 
 
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Posted: #18
GOOD LUCK NLO

   
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Posted: #20

Buffalo is 19-26 against the money line in home games after winning their previous game in overtime since 1996.


 

 
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Good luck today
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Societic-Hustle:

Buffalo is 19-26 against the money line in home games after winning their previous game in overtime since 1996.


 



Lol these trends are meaningless.

Teams change from year to year. When I cap a game im not looking at 1996 or 2002 results for example. I'm looking at the current present day conditions and teams. Im also looking at the fact that Islanders had 183PIMs last game and are playing Koskinen vs Miller in a must 2 points for Buffalo on home ice.

Does that trend take into account that? No.


 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by neverlayoff:



Lol these trends are meaningless.

Teams change from year to year. When I cap a game im not looking at 1996 or 2002 results for example. I'm looking at the current present day conditions and teams. Im also looking at the fact that Islanders had 183PIMs last game and are playing Koskinen vs Miller in a must 2 points for Buffalo on home ice.

Does that trend take into account that? No.




Nothing you said here is wrong, but it all has to be relative to the line. You can ALWAYS pick the team you think is going to win, that will never change. But the question is what do you think this line should be? Obviously to bet it at -200 you think Buffalo should be higher. So the question is, what should the line be? Simply betting on personal opinions of who wins the game without making it relative to the line just doesn't work.
 
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Posted: #24
This is who Islanders lost on Friday:

Player            
Trevor Gillies     LW     Elig March 1 - Suspension - 2/13/11    
Jack Hillen     D     Ques Sun - Concussion - 2/12/11    
Matt Martin     LW     Elig Feb 22 - Suspension - 2/13/11
Blake Comeau     RW     Out indefinitely - Concussion - 2/11/11

Buffalo off 3 days rest and apparently you chose one menaingless trend that is really laughable and missed out the actual important ones that reflect present day and most of their play in February and 2011 which is relevant:

Sabres are 4-0 in their last 4 games as a favorite.
Sabres are 5-1 in their last 6 overall.
Sabres are 5-1 in their last 6 Sunday games.
Sabres are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference.
Sabres are 6-2 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Sabres are 8-3 in their last 11 games as a home favorite.
Sabres are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a favorite of -201 or greater.
Sabres are 5-2 in their last 7 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater.


Thanks for your best wishes.
Seems like since, "Buffalo is 19-26 against the money line in home games after winning their previous game in overtime since 1996" you should make a large wager on the Islanders in this spot.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Just for comparisons sake....

You bet Buffalo -200 for $6000 to win $3000.

The current matchbook price for Buffalo ML is -183.

-If you put that $6000 on the matchbook price, you would get back $3278.

-Or you could have done to win $3000 and would have only had to put down $5490.

To summarize, you could have added $278 to your profit, or shaved $510 off your risk.

I know me telling you the difference in price isn't breaking news to you. BUT a guy who is betting as much as you claim to be betting HAS to do whatever it takes to get the best line. There is no way you will turn long haul profit by taking the lines you do when the true value of the line is far away from the line you are getting. Just no way.
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