happycap's totals - Oct 27

 ... 6 plays?

Some interesting selections cap.

GL my friend

It isn't 6 plays - its really 2 plays - 2 games approached this way to include a HEDGE in each

Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

LAST SEASON (TOTALS): 55%

 

YESTERDAY: 3-1 ( +1.96 UNITS)

 

SEASON: 27-22 (+2.65 UNITS)

 

I DECIDED TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF AN INTERESTING LOOPHOLE IN THE LINES OF THESE 2 GAMES TODAY; BY DOING SO I CAN LOSE NO MORE THAN 2 UNITS ON THE CARD, NOR CAN I WIN MORE THAN 2.5 OR SO...HOWEVER, A 3-3 WOULD BE PROFITABLE (BY NECESSITY) SO I PLAY IT THIS WAY; WORST CASE SCENARIO ALL 4 TEAMS SCORE 3 OR MORE GOALS 

 

 

AVS U2.5 +115

 

OILERS U2.5 +137

 

AVS/OILERS O5.5 -117

 

WINGS U2.5 +125

 

CANUCKS U2.5 +122

 

WINGS/CANUCKS O5.5 -110

 

 

ALL PLAYS ARE FOR 1 UNIT, WAGERED AT PINNACLE

 

GOOD LUCK TO ALL

these look a little convoluted bro...

you have these going over yet you have the TTU???

Cap may be on to something ...

Quote Originally Posted by Johnnypicks:

I would hate to see a 4-3 in both...u'd lose 2U

True, but that is a calculated risk:

4-3 (or more), even a 3-2 game and I lose 2/3... anything else I make a profit.  That goes for each game.  Perhaps that is the simplest way of looking at it.  Anything over the total, or even a 3-2 game, and I lose.

Quote Originally Posted by happycap:

Go back and read my analysis - I think I explained it adequately if you care to read it... though I expect some IQ to be brought to the table, sorry

I'm not drunk, its 1045 am and I still dont see the logic taking TTU and games over.... simply to hedge????....I'm not a hedge fan uness it a huge kick back...lets say   5 dimes for example...I would go half way.....I hope this works for you man!

I'm all about calculated risks....

JP

I'm not urging this on anyone, but for those who like a fairly low risk proposition to win a few bucks, this is your play

Here are your winning numbers in each game:

1-0, 2-0, 2-1, 3-1, 4-2, 5-1, 5-2, 6-0, 6-1, 6-2, 7-2, 8-2

That's exactly what I thought when I went back and read cap's analysis...

Certainly not my style

Here are your losing numbers in each game:

3-2, 4-1, 4-3 (and up)

Thanks Cap... I'm going to be using these nombers for this wednesday's 6/49 draw 

Hedging is clearly the worst alternative unless something has fundamentally changed such as the line, injuries, weather, or your financial situation has created utility that you cant pass up.  But if you are saying to yourself before you bet that you are going to hedge a game – JUST LEAVE THAT GAME OFF OFF IN THE FIRST PLACE.  UNDERSTAND THAT HEDGING COMES AT A PRICE, YOU WILL PAY EXTRA IN ORDER TO HEDGE.

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