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Thursday night NBA countdown to Top Pick

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Posted: #1
Post your top pick for Thursday
 
we have three game to choose from...
 
lets figure out which team has the best chance to cover the spread...
 
lets start with ATS records:
 
ATS | In-Depth
Overall Home Away
HOU
DEN		 9-15-1
10-14-0		 4-6-1
7-7-0		 5-9-0
3-7-0
 
ATS | In-Depth
Overall Home Away
LAL
CLE		 15-9-0
10-16-0		 8-5-0
3-8-0		 7-4-0
7-8-0
 
ATS | In-Depth
Overall Home Away
NJ
MIA		 8-16-1
12-13-0		 3-11-1
3-8-0		 5-5-0
9-5-0
 
From the above we can see NJ and LAL have the best ATS of the road teams here and they are playing teams with horrible home records ATS...
 
However both home teams, MIA and CLE are coming off losses so lets see how they do off a loss:
 
CLE is 7 - 7 SU after loss and
Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points
 
MIA 6-11 SU after a loss and 3-4 at home after a loss...
 
 
 
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Posted: #2
NJ is also coming off a loss

NJ is5-9 su after a loss but a respectable 3-3 su on the road after a loss

LAL is off a win and is

LAL 9-5 su after a win but just 3 - 4 ont he road

 

 
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Posted: #3
I may be reading this wrong, but how is NJ 3-11 better than Houston's 4-6 away record?
 
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Posted: #4
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:

I may be reading this wrong, but how is NJ 3-11 better than Houston's 4-6 away record?

 

Their record away is 5 - 5 the chart is messed up

 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by Johnnybegame:

 

Their record away is 5 - 5 the chart is messed up

 

NJ record away from home is  5-5

 
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Posted: #7

Trends for and against NJ and MIA:

 

New Jersey

  • Nets are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
  • Nets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Nets are 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games as a road underdog.
  • Nets are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games as an underdog.
  • Nets are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nets are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Nets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. NBA Southeast.
  • Nets are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
Miami
  • Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
  • Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Heat are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
  • Heat are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 games as a favorite.
  • Heat are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Heat are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games as a home favorite.
  • Heat are 6-21-2 ATS in their last 29 vs. Eastern Conference.
  • Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Heat are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 home games.
  • Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
 
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Posted: #8
LAKERS
 
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L.A. Lakers
  • Lakers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
  • Lakers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
  • Lakers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
  • Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. NBA Central.
  • Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
  • Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
  • Lakers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Lakers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.
  • Lakers are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 Thursday games.
  • Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. Eastern Conference.
Cleveland
  • Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
  • Cavaliers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
  • Cavaliers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Pacific.
  • Cavaliers are 17-6 ATS in their last 23 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
  • Cavaliers are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 games as an underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Cavaliers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. Western Conference.
  • Cavaliers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Cavaliers are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games as a home underdog.
  • Cavaliers are 35-17-1 ATS in their last 53 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • Cavaliers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.
  • Cavaliers are 3-8-1 ATS in their last 12 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Cavaliers are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.
  • Cavaliers are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
 
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Posted: #10
CLE as a home dog:
  • Cavaliers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Cavaliers are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games as a home underdog.
    •  
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    Posted: #11
    CLE as a home dog:
  • Cavaliers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Cavaliers are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games as a home underdog.
    •  
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    Posted: #12
    Houston
    • Rockets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
    • Rockets are 18-8-3 ATS in their last 29 Thursday games.
    • Rockets are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games as an underdog.
    • Rockets are 13-30 ATS in their last 43 vs. Western Conference.
    • Rockets are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog.
    • Rockets are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Rockets are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS loss.
    • Rockets are 4-11-1 ATS in their last 16 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Rockets are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games following a S.U. loss.
    • Rockets are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 vs. NBA Northwest.
    • Rockets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    • Rockets are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
    • Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
    • Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
    • Rockets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    Denver
    • Nuggets are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
    • Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 3 or more days rest.
    • Nuggets are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
    • Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
    • Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
    • Nuggets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
    • Nuggets are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 vs. NBA Southwest.
    • Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a favorite.
    • Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
    • Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games.
    • Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite.
    • Nuggets are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Western Conference.
     
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    Posted: #13
    In Summary:  I don't like any of these games
     
    My leans are as follows
     
    NETS
    CAVS
    Nuggets
     
    Now we have to pick which of the above is the strongest play
     
     
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    Posted: #14
    The CAVS were embarrassed last night and are a respectable home dog.
    But they don't play well on no rest and recently they have struggled recently:
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
    •  
    The nets are 5 - 5 on the road: Nets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. , not bad for a sub par team.
    MIA has been horrible at home: Heat are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 home games but play well on no rest
     
    The Nuggets: Nuggets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss and
  • Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
    • But the Rockets:
  • Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Rockets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

    • Nothing is really jumping off the page here.

    Help?!

     
     
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    Posted: #15
    stats are just that  STATS
     
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    Posted: #16
    Quote Originally Posted by Johnnybegame:

    The CAVS were embarrassed last night and are a respectable home dog.
    But they don't play well on no rest and recently they have struggled recently:
  • Cavaliers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Cavaliers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Cavaliers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
    •  
    The nets are 5 - 5 on the road: Nets are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. , not bad for a sub par team.
    MIA has been horrible at home: Heat are 4-17 ATS in their last 21 home games but play well on no rest
     
    The Nuggets: Nuggets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss and
  • Nuggets are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Nuggets are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following a ATS loss.
    • But the Rockets:
  • Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Rockets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Rockets are 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.

    • Nothing is really jumping off the page here.

    Help?!

     

    Lets take a closer look at head to head records:

  • Rockets are 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
  • Rockets are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Denver. .
  • Road team is 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings

    •  

    • Nets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami. .
    • Nets are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
    • Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

     

    .Lakers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings w CLE

    any thoughts?

     

     
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    Posted: #17
    Quote Originally Posted by bukii65:

    stats are just that  STATS

    a good point but isn't past history the best predictor of the future?

     

     
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    Posted: #18
    Based on the Rockets success in Denver the Nuggets are eliminated as the Top Pick of the Day.
     
    So we are left with
    CAVS
    NETS
     
    Lakers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings w CLE
     
    Nets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Miami and Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings
     
    any thoughts?
     
    My final selection to follow
     
     
     
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    Posted: #19

    "Defensively, this is one of the worst performances that I've ever been a part of,' Cavaliers coach Mike Brown said. "And it starts with me.'

    Cleveland allowed the Knicks to shoot a season-high 56 percent from the field. The only team to shoot a higher percentage against the Cavaliers this season was Detroit, which shot 58 percent on Nov. 28 when James sprained his finger.

    "That's not a good defensive effort,' said James, who scored 32 on Wednesday. "I don't know if it's the worst we've ever played defensively. That's what Coach thinks.'

     
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    Posted: #20
    Quote Originally Posted by Johnnybegame:

     

    Their record away is 5 - 5 the chart is messed up

    No worries mate. Good luck with your play

     
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    Posted: #21

    FINAL SELECTION NBA pick of the day:

    NETS + 2 - large play; The Nets good road record especially in MIA and the HEAT's poor home record won out

    CLE + 2 - Average play: CLE is good home dog after embarrassing defeat sets up good, LA hopefully feeling too good and need a reality check.

     

     

  • Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games as a home underdog.
  • Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games following a S.U. loss.
  • Over is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games following a ATS loss.
  • Under is 22-8 in Cavaliers last 30 Thursday games.
  • Over is 10-4 in Cavaliers last 14 games playing on 0 days rest.
  • Over is 5-2 in Cavaliers last 7 home games.

    • Head to Head

    • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
     
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    Posted: #22
    Quote Originally Posted by Johnnybegame:

    FINAL SELECTION NBA pick of the day:

    NETS + 2 - large play; The Nets good road record especially in MIA and the HEAT's poor home record won out

    CLE + 2 - Average play: CLE is good home dog after embarrassing defeat sets up good, LA hopefully feeling too good and need a reality check.

    I like the UNDER in the CLE game as well.  After giving up 108 to NY I see them playing tough D tonight

    CLE/LAL under 204, Large play

     

  • Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Under is 4-1 in Cavaliers last 5 games as a home underdog. .

    • Head to Head

    • Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Cleveland.
     
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    Posted: #23
    2-3 ats last night; 10-4ats overall;
     
    all opinions are welcome
     
    GL
     
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    Posted: #24
    adding:  NJ MONEYLINE - large play
                  CLE ML - avg play
     
     
    IN SUMMARY:  NJ NETS are the pick of the day
     
    Pick of the day record:  0 - 0
     
    good luck
     
     
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    Posted: #25
    Lakers -1.5 /-2
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