Posted:
#1
Feeling pretty good about the dogs and unders tonight.
Thunder +190
Knicks +170
Thunder u187.5
Knicks u183.5
Parlay of all four: +3030
I basically lean under on every single NBA playoff game by default, but with as much time as these teams have had to rest, I expect them both to maintain defensive intensity for the full 48, which just makes me like them more. Add to the fact that the public is on both overs and the lines have dropped at least a point and they both just seem like standard plays.
As to the Thunder pick, it's my contention that the four days off will give the Thunder enough time to get better adjusted to playing without Westbrook. You could see it since it happened, that they've been trying to figure out other ways to win without him. Scott Brooks is a great coach, and the time to absorb the lessons they've learned in the last few games will give them a chance to improve their play. The only reason the Grizzlies won the last game is the massive amount of points off turnovers they had. I'm giving OKC enough credit to drastically reduce those problems this time around. (The fewer turnovers I'm counting on won't hurt the under play any.)
As for the Knicks pick, I'm again figuring the time off to be a bigger factor for the Knicks than the Pacers. The Knicks have way more miles on their tires, and could use the rest. I consider them the much more talented team and the big difference between their wins and losses is defensive intensity. I'm obviously not concerned about getting Melo or Shumpert four days off, but that could mean the world to guys like KMart, Kidd or Chandler in the fourth quarter.
Just to be clear, I don't think the wrong teams are favored in either of these games, but these are nice prices to be getting on what I think are closer to coin flip games.
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