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Author: [NBA Betting] Topic: CrazyMilkMan's NBA Playoff Tuesday
CrazyMilkMan
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CrazyMilkMan
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#1
Posted: 4/30/2013 3:21:00 AM
Golden State Warriors +7.5
I really tried looking at any angle to bet the Nuggets. I have this feeling that the Warriors will finally wear down and start feeling the fatigue from the past 4 games. But the thing is 7.5 points is too much and the Nuggets only managed to cover the number twice. First one is earlier in the season where they are still adjusting to the new coach/system. Denver got 58 points in the paint and got 20 from Gallinari and 29 from AI. Steph was held to only 6 points. Denver rallied and outscored the Warriors 55-38 in the second half to win by 11. The second game was in January where the Nuggets saw 6 players in double digit and got 3 players just a basket away from it. Curry exploded to 29 but saw an 18-37 4th quarter. So far in the series, it's been back and forth and it's safe to say that we see the same thing as with the rest of the series so far. I'm comfortable with the 7.5-point bonus with the Warriors.
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stevenp
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#2
Posted: 4/30/2013 3:37:37 AM
it's the only pick in that game for every reason you've given.  i'll sit on the side and root for my warriors.  i went large on the dubs at home as small dogs.
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CrazyMilkMan
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#3
Posted: 4/30/2013 3:50:28 AM
I keep on looking for stats to fade the Warriors. I keep on thinking "something's got to give"
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#4
Posted: 4/30/2013 3:54:01 AM
sometimes stats jus dont matter just ride the hot team till they lose
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#5
Posted: 4/30/2013 8:16:13 AM
It will be rare in a game 5 but I just feel like its either a Warrior win straight up or a Denver blowout will take place. Best bet might be the Over. Good luck.
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#6
Posted: 4/30/2013 9:11:32 AM
memphis also
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CrazyMilkMan
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#7
Posted: 4/30/2013 9:55:55 AM
Memphis is peaking at the right time (at home) i just dont know if they can translate it on the road like how the pacers-hawks series have been
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#8
Posted: 4/30/2013 10:11:12 AM
i got in at +8


im worried this gm is rigged though...
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#9
Posted: 4/30/2013 11:47:59 AM
Milk u there? Think GS can win because if so books grossly miscalculated and the public did not fall for it
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#10
Posted: 4/30/2013 11:51:36 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by hotdamn85:

i got in at +8


im worried this gm is rigged though...


C'mon Man.. this is the NBA PLAYOFFS NOT RUSSIAN PREMIERE LEAGUE SOCCER
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#11
Posted: 4/30/2013 12:33:16 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CrazyMilkMan:

I keep on looking for stats to fade the Warriors. I keep on thinking "something's got to give"


Perhaps Curry's ankle?  He had to get a shot before gametime and his movement was noticeably hindered in the 1H.  High altitude can be a trigger for additional swelling as well.  Just a thought, but personally, I'm riding the dubz 'til the wheels fall off.
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#12
Posted: 4/30/2013 12:40:46 PM

Gs +7.5 and clipper -5 ml

both win tonight

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#13
Posted: 4/30/2013 12:41:31 PM
dont forget his eyes messed up too
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#14
Posted: 4/30/2013 12:47:52 PM
So is curry plauing tonight?
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#15
Posted: 4/30/2013 12:48:34 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by dustyvaultz:

Milk u there? Think GS can win because if so books grossly miscalculated and the public did not fall for it
 

when would people realise the books are gambling too...its not grossly miscalculated, according to stats and analysis its where it should be, books loses big too, 
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#16
Posted: 4/30/2013 12:58:56 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by InvestIdontChase:



C'mon Man.. this is the NBA PLAYOFFS NOT RUSSIAN PREMIERE LEAGUE SOCCER


And your point is??

http://deadspin.com/5392067/excerpts-from-the-book-the-nba-doesnt-want-you-to-read
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Philll4205
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#17
Posted: 4/30/2013 2:03:53 PM
@milk Been capping this game and, really, cant figure this line out. I would lean warriors and the points but I feel like a bit of a trap is set here for the public..
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#18
Posted: 4/30/2013 2:06:48 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Philll4205:

@milk Been capping this game and, really, cant figure this line out. I would lean warriors and the points but I feel like a bit of a trap is set here for the public..


they want you to think its a trap set for the public but u know dam well there is equal money going both ways especially with a "very good home" denver team.. this is the playoffs gs won game 2 why not do it again to close the series. so many people on denver here i think denver is the trap golden state will take this game. they are far the better team.
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#19
Posted: 4/30/2013 2:07:31 PM
if not for andre miller denver would have been swept.
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stevenp
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#20
Posted: 4/30/2013 3:23:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by CrazyMilkMan:

I keep on looking for stats to fade the Warriors. I keep on thinking "something's got to give"
me too.  mark jackson has these youngsters motivated.  in a huddle, he said, "i'm jealous of y'all. you are balling.  i wish i could suit up and play with you."
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tinfoils
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#21
Posted: 4/30/2013 3:40:58 PM
Good luck CMM!
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#22
Posted: 4/30/2013 6:50:46 PM
BOL
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#23
Posted: 4/30/2013 6:51:05 PM
s stevenp said sometimes you just have to go with your gut no matter what the public money is doing. I sure have made a butt load of money this year playing the warriors more at home but still they are my gut as well. Thanks for all your threads milkman love your plays....
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#24
Posted: 4/30/2013 6:52:37 PM
Bol


Pal


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Posted: 4/30/2013 7:31:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Gogic:



And your point is??

http://deadspin.com/5392067/excerpts-from-the-book-the-nba-doesnt-want-you-to-read

Wow this is amazing. So, what game Bavetta officiating tonight? 
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