Playoff basketball brings the the table sudden-death basketball, which is a scenario perfect for the manifestation of Under results - tight players executing deliberate plays isn't the ground upon which liberal scoring is made.
*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.
Since keeping records starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows:
Overall
All Elimination Games: U/O 91-59-3
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 37-36-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 54-23-2
1st Round of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 51-31-2
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 28-20-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 23-11-1
2nd Round & onwards of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 40-28-1
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O _9-16 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 31-12-1
Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a losing rate of only 27.2%), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.
The one team to prove the exception to the above trends over the time span to which these stats apply (and whose results I've not included above) was the Amar'e Stoudemire era...
Phoenix Suns
Elimination games they won SU: U/O 2-8 Elimination games they lost SU: U/O 4-2
For this incarnation of the Phoenix Suns it didn't matter the nature of the game (4, 5, 6 or 7) they were playing in, or what Round they're playing it in, as related to their final total result: it came down to their SU performance.
Playoff basketball brings the the table sudden-death basketball, which is a scenario perfect for the manifestation of Under results - tight players executing deliberate plays isn't the ground upon which liberal scoring is made.
*An elimination game is when at least 1 team faces an end to their post season should they lose the game concerned straight-up.
Since keeping records starting with the 03-04 post season, the stats I've accumulated for all Elimination games total results are as follows:
Overall
All Elimination Games: U/O 91-59-3
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 37-36-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 54-23-2
1st Round of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 51-31-2
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 28-20-1 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 23-11-1
2nd Round & onwards of playoffs
All Elimination Games: U/O 40-28-1
Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O _9-16 Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 31-12-1
Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7 taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a losing rate of only 27.2%), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.
The one team to prove the exception to the above trends over the time span to which these stats apply (and whose results I've not included above) was the Amar'e Stoudemire era...
Phoenix Suns
Elimination games they won SU: U/O 2-8 Elimination games they lost SU: U/O 4-2
For this incarnation of the Phoenix Suns it didn't matter the nature of the game (4, 5, 6 or 7) they were playing in, or what Round they're playing it in, as related to their final total result: it came down to their SU performance.
SAS @LAL - Game 4: Under MIA @MIL - Game 4: Under OKC @HOU - Game 4: Over NYK @BOS - Game 4: Over (Under in regulation) CHI @BKN - Game 5: Over GDS @DEN - Game 5: Under BOS @NYK - Game 5: Under HOU @OKC - Game 5: Under BKN @CHC - Game 6: Over DEN @GDS - Game 6: Under
Friday -
NYK @BOS - Game 6: IND @ATL - Game 6: OKC @HOU - Game 6: LAC @MEM - Game 6:
SAS @LAL - Game 4: Under MIA @MIL - Game 4: Under OKC @HOU - Game 4: Over NYK @BOS - Game 4: Over (Under in regulation) CHI @BKN - Game 5: Over GDS @DEN - Game 5: Under BOS @NYK - Game 5: Under HOU @OKC - Game 5: Under BKN @CHC - Game 6: Over DEN @GDS - Game 6: Under
Friday -
NYK @BOS - Game 6: IND @ATL - Game 6: OKC @HOU - Game 6: LAC @MEM - Game 6:
Nets/Bull ugly series totals wise. They've been all over the place (110 pt halves followed by 70 pt halves, 150 pt games followed by 220 pt games). Very hard to get ahandle on what they're going to dish up. Best to wait til the half from my pov.
Nets/Bull ugly series totals wise. They've been all over the place (110 pt halves followed by 70 pt halves, 150 pt games followed by 220 pt games). Very hard to get ahandle on what they're going to dish up. Best to wait til the half from my pov.
SAS @LAL - Game 4: Under MIA @MIL - Game 4: Under OKC @HOU - Game 4: Over NYK @BOS - Game 4: Over (Under in regulation) CHI @BKN - Game 5: Over GDS @DEN - Game 5: Under BOS @NYK - Game 5: Under HOU @OKC - Game 5: Under BKN @CHC - Game 6: Over DEN @GDS - Game 6: Under NYK @BOS - Game 6: Under IND @ATL - Game 6: Under OKC @HOU - Game 6: Under LAC @MEM - Game 6: Over CHC @BKN - Game 7: Over
Round 2
CHC @MIA - Game 5: Over MEM @OKC - Game 5: Under IND @NYK - Game 5: SAS @GDS - Game 6:
SAS @LAL - Game 4: Under MIA @MIL - Game 4: Under OKC @HOU - Game 4: Over NYK @BOS - Game 4: Over (Under in regulation) CHI @BKN - Game 5: Over GDS @DEN - Game 5: Under BOS @NYK - Game 5: Under HOU @OKC - Game 5: Under BKN @CHC - Game 6: Over DEN @GDS - Game 6: Under NYK @BOS - Game 6: Under IND @ATL - Game 6: Under OKC @HOU - Game 6: Under LAC @MEM - Game 6: Over CHC @BKN - Game 7: Over
Round 2
CHC @MIA - Game 5: Over MEM @OKC - Game 5: Under IND @NYK - Game 5: SAS @GDS - Game 6:
SAS @LAL - Game 4: Under MIA @MIL - Game 4: Under OKC @HOU - Game 4: Over NYK @BOS - Game 4: Over (Under in regulation) CHI @BKN - Game 5: Over GDS @DEN - Game 5: Under BOS @NYK - Game 5: Under HOU @OKC - Game 5: Under BKN @CHC - Game 6: Over DEN @GDS - Game 6: Under NYK @BOS - Game 6: Under IND @ATL - Game 6: Under OKC @HOU - Game 6: Under LAC @MEM - Game 6: Over CHC @BKN - Game 7: Over
Round 2
CHC @MIA - Game 5: Over MEM @OKC - Game 5: Under IND @NYK - Game 5: Under SAS @GDS - Game 6: Under NYK @IND - Game 6: Over
Round 3
SAS @MEM - Game 4:Under MIA @IND - Game 6: Under IND @MIA - Game 7: Under
Round 4
SAS @MIA - Game 6: Over (Under in regulation) SAS @MIA - Game 7:
------------------------------------------------
Here's a link recording all the Game 7s in NBA Finals history.
Most relevant scoring cliff note: since the 80's Showtime era ended, there have been 3 x Game 7s:
90-84, 81-74 & 83-79 have been the final scorelines.
SAS @LAL - Game 4: Under MIA @MIL - Game 4: Under OKC @HOU - Game 4: Over NYK @BOS - Game 4: Over (Under in regulation) CHI @BKN - Game 5: Over GDS @DEN - Game 5: Under BOS @NYK - Game 5: Under HOU @OKC - Game 5: Under BKN @CHC - Game 6: Over DEN @GDS - Game 6: Under NYK @BOS - Game 6: Under IND @ATL - Game 6: Under OKC @HOU - Game 6: Under LAC @MEM - Game 6: Over CHC @BKN - Game 7: Over
Round 2
CHC @MIA - Game 5: Over MEM @OKC - Game 5: Under IND @NYK - Game 5: Under SAS @GDS - Game 6: Under NYK @IND - Game 6: Over
Round 3
SAS @MEM - Game 4:Under MIA @IND - Game 6: Under IND @MIA - Game 7: Under
Round 4
SAS @MIA - Game 6: Over (Under in regulation) SAS @MIA - Game 7:
------------------------------------------------
Here's a link recording all the Game 7s in NBA Finals history.
Most relevant scoring cliff note: since the 80's Showtime era ended, there have been 3 x Game 7s:
90-84, 81-74 & 83-79 have been the final scorelines.
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